Bowling Green vs. Cincinnati Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 6, 2025
The Bowling Green Falcons (1-0, 0-1 ATS, 0-1 O/U) meet with the Cincinnati Bearcats (0-1, 1-0 ATS, 0-1 O/U) in a week two clash on Saturday afternoon, and we have everything you need to know and the prediction. The Falcons won their season opener against Lafayette. The Bearcats dropped a decision against Nebraska to begin their season.
Can the Bearcats rebound after dropping their season opener with a blowout home win? Check out the Bowling Green vs. Cincinnati prediction. When it comes to college football selections, our College Football predictions are stellar.
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Bowling Green Opens Season with Easy Win
The Bowling Green Falcons are seeking their second win of the young season. Bowling Green had a strong 2024 season, including a 7-6 record and a loss in their bowl game. The program has a new coach in former NFL star Eddie George. The Falcons opened the season with a dominating 26-7 home win against Lafayette, a team that does not play in the FBS. The Falcons were marked as 21-point favourites in that one. The Falcons were voted to finish 6th in the MAC preseason poll, chosen by coaches.
Bowling Green has a new QB in Drew Pyne. The senior QB has spent his previous seasons with Notre Dame and Missouri. He posted 391 passing yards in a few games played last year. Pyne recorded 109 passing yards in the win on Thursday. If last week was any indication, the Bowling Green offense will run more than pass. They do not have a set #1 running back and are using Chris McMillian and Kaderris Roberts. McMillian played in junior college last year. Roberts spent last season with Seton and amassed 66 rushing yards last week.
Bowling Green lost last year’s receiving leader but brought in key transfers. RJ Garcia II played for Kansas State last season. Jyrin Johnson recorded 271 yards with Texas Southern last season and brought in one reception for 22 yards last week. The Bowling Green offense averaged 369 yards per game last season and managed 267 total yards last week.
The Falcons' defense is strong. They did lose a ton of key pieces, including their top few linebackers. They have a proven cornerback in the secondary in Darius McClemson, who broke up one pass in the win last week. The Falcons' pass defense was among the best in the country last season. The Falcons conceded 327 yards last week and kept Lafayette to only 185 total yards in the opener. This game will paint a more accurate picture of the strength of this defense.
Bowling Green averaged 25.9 points last season, ranking them 72nd. The Falcons conceded an average of 22 points, good for 25th.
Cincinnati Nearly Posts Minor Upset Win In Opener
The Cincinnati Bearcats are seeking their first win of the season. They nearly posted a minor upset win to kick off the season on Thursday. Cincinnati was charged with a narrow 20-17 defeat against Nebraska in a clash that had the Bearcats as six-point dogs. Cincinnati posted a 5-7 record last season, and they could have a difficult time reaching six wins in a tough conference this season. The Bearcats were ranked 11th in the conference in the ESPN Big 12 power rankings.
Brendan Sorsby is back as the #1 QB. Theunior spent his first few years with Indiana. He transferred to Cincinnati last season and posted encouraging numbers, amassing 2800+ passing yards and an 18:7 TD to INT ratio. Sorsby had some trouble against the Cornhuskers' defense last week, converting on just 52 % of his passes for 69 yards.
Cincinnati opted for the run heavily in the defeat last week. They lost the 2024 rushing leader but have plenty of talent in the backfield. Evan Pryor is back after posting 400+ yards last season. Tawee Walker arrives in a key transfer from Wisconsin. He netted 864 rushing yards with Wisconsin last year and rushed for 53 yards in the opener. The receiving core is mediocre. Last year’s receivers leader has departed, but the good news is Joe Royer is back. The senior tight end was second in team receiving with 522 yards in 2024. The Cincinnati offense posted 399 yards per game last year and recorded 271 total yards last week.
The Bearcats' defense came through with a promising effort in the opener against Nebraska, conceding 365 total yards. They kept Nebraska to only 3.2 yards per rush on the ground. Cincinnati was hit with transfers in the secondary and has three safeties heading to the NFL. The Bearcats also had their 2024 sack leader depart. The Bearcats attracted Matthew McDoom on a transfer. The senior CB is enjoying a few big seasons with Coastal Carolina. The defense conceded 380 yards per game in 2024. They held Nebraska to 356 yards.
Cincinnati scored an average of 24 points per game last year, marking them 24th. The Bearcats kept opponents to an average of 25 points, placing them 57th.
Bowling Green vs. Cincinnati pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rob Vinciletti | +1,570.00 |
| 2 |  Dan Kaiser | +1,223.00 |
| 3 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,000.00 |
| 4 |  Earle Sports Bets | +916.00 |
| 5 |  David Hess | +706.00 |
Spread Pick for Bowling Green vs. Cincinnati
- Bowling Green Falcons +21.5 (5 units)
The Bowling Green Falcons are not an easy team to beat. They went 6-2 in conference play last season and have an established QB in Drew Pyne, who spent time with Notre Dame. A few years ago, Pyne recorded 2021 passing yards with a 22:6 TD to INT ratio with Notre Dame. The Bearcats' pass defense was subpar last year, ranking 62nd. The unit was shaky in the opener against Nebraska, squandering 242 passing yards.
Furthermore, Bowling Green has a stingy defense that is hard to beat in the air. They were ranked 24th in the entire country against the pass last season. Cincinnati QB Brendan Sorsby was shaky last week, converting on 52% of his passes. Cincinnati will run a ton. The Falcons' rush defense was sharp last week, conceding only 66 rushing yards. Go with the Falcons to keep this game with 21 points.
Over/Under Pick for Bowling Green vs. Cincinnati
- Total: Under 46.5 (5 units)
I expect this one to go under. The Falcons kept Lafayette to just seven points in the win last week. While Cincinnati obviously poses a bigger challenge, the Falcons' top strength is the defense. Cincinnati QB Brendan Sorsby only managed 69 passing yards in the defeat last week
In addition, Cincinnati is probably going to run a ton in this one, considering the strength of the Falcons' pass defense, and will have extended drives as a result. Similar to the Falcons, the Bearcats' top strength is the defense. The unit was a positive in the defeat last week, keeping a potent offense to just 20 points. The under is a convincing 5-1 in the Bearcats’ past six home games.
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