Bowling Green vs. UMass, Picks and Prediction, Tuesday, November 25, 2025
Bowling Green (3-8, 1-6 MAC) will be trying to close out their season with a win when they visit Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium on Tuesday afternoon at 4:30 in rainy Amherst to face UMass (0-11, 0-7 MAC) at 4:30 PM. ET. Bowling Green is a 14.5-point favorite and the total is 45.5. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Falcons vs. Minutemen prediction. If you are struggling to pick winners, you've come to the right place. We have the strongest College Football Picks.
The Falcons are coming off a 19-16 loss to Akron as 2.5-point favorites. The Minutemen are coming off a 42-14 loss to Ohio as 34-point underdogs.
Bowling Green is 4-0 in four games against UMass. The last meeting between the two teams was in 2015.
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Bowling Green Trying To Snap Five-Game Losing Streak
The Falcons bounced back from their win over Toledo on Oct. 11 with five straight losses, including a defeat at Eastern Michigan by six on Nov. 8. They have also lost five straight road games. They will try to put an end to both streaks and pick up their first road win of the season when they play on Tuesday.
Bowling Green averages 18.3 points per game, which is 124th in the nation. They throw for 153.4 yards and rush for 144.4 yards per game.
Drew Pyne has completed 62.3 percent of his passes for 882 yards, four touchdowns, and five interceptions. Austyn Dendy leads the team with 86 catches for 378 yards and three touchdowns, while Jyrin Johnson leads the team with 35 catches for 446 yards and two touchdowns.
Bowling Green is giving up 25.2 points per game, which is 74th in the nation. They’re giving up 207.9 passing yards and 156.8 rushing yards per game.
Key Injuries for Bowling Green:
QB-Lucian Anderson III (Undisclosed), QB-Baron May (Undisclosed), QB-Drew Pyne (Ankle) are questionable for this game.
UMass Trying To Snap 11-Game Losing Streak
The Minutemen haven’t had much go their way this season, and they’ve lost all 11 games they have played. They haven't won an FBS game since 2023. They will try to put an end to the streak and close out their season with a win when they play on Tuesday.
UMass averages just 10.8 points per game, which is 136th in the nation. They throw for 159.8 yards and rush for 83.6 yards per game.
AJ Hairston has completed 50 percent of his passes for 957 yards, four touchdowns, and four interceptions. Brandon Hood leads the team with 93 carries for 359 yards and two touchdowns, while Jacquon Gibson leads the team with 53 catches for 478 yards.
UMass is giving up 38 points per game, which is 134th in the nation. They’re giving up 210.4 passing yards and 229.7 rushing yards per game.
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Key Injuries for UMass:
TE-Reece Adkins (Undisclosed), WR-Kenyon Massey (Undisclosed), and RB-Da’Marion Alberic (Undisclosed) are questionable for this game.
Bowling Green vs. UMass Picks
Point Spread Pick for Bowling Green vs. UMass
- Bowling Green Falcons -14.5 (4 Units)
The Falcons have the edge here because they’re the better offensive team. They like to run the ball and won’t have trouble moving the ball effectively on the ground against a defense that has been unable to stop the run and is giving up more than 220 yards per game on the ground.
UMass will have a hard time keeping up with the Falcon because they have one of the worst offenses in the country. They rush for less than 85 yards per game, and they throw for less than 200 yards per game. The Falcons are very good at defending the pass, and they’ve also been efficient against the run. With the Minutemen not posing a threat to them through the air, expect them to stack the box and limit the damage the Minutemen do on the ground. Go with Bowling Green to cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for Bowling Green vs. UMass
- Over 45.5 (4 Units)
The Falcons average 18.3 points per game. They run the ball 57 percent of the time with the 72nd-ranked ground game in the nation, and they’re facing a team that is 135th against the run and is giving up 38 points per game. The Minutemen average 10.8 points per game. They throw the ball 57 percent of the time with the 126th-ranked passing game in the nation, and they’re facing a team that is 48th against the pass and is giving up 25.2 points per game. Expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total. The Falcons and Minutemen played over the total in their last two meetings.
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