Central Arkansas vs Florida State Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 26, 2026

The Central Arkansas Bears visit the Florida State Seminoles on Saturday at Doak Campbell Stadium in Tallahassee, with the opening kickoff at 3:00 PM ET and televised on ACC Network. Central Arkansas is 2-2 overall and 0-1 in the United Athletic Conference after a 27-9 loss at Southeast Missouri State. Florida State is 1-2 overall and 0-1 in the ACC after consecutive losses to SMU and Alabama. The Seminoles fell 50-36 at Alabama in their latest game, while Central Arkansas has split its first four contests. Get ready for Saturday’s matchup with our free NCAAF picks.

Central Arkansas Bears Trying to Respond After a Road Loss

Central Arkansas has alternated wins and losses, including a 59-20 victory over Central Oklahoma followed by the 27-9 defeat at Southeast Missouri State. Donovyn Omolo has completed 64 of 100 passes for 671 yards, six touchdowns and four interceptions. Omolo also leads the Bears on the ground with 360 yards and two touchdowns on 47 carries, averaging 7.7 yards per attempt. Tyrell Pollard leads the receivers with 200 yards on 10 catches, while Dakarai Anderson has 20 receptions for 166 yards and a touchdown.

The Bears have rushed for 953 yards and seven touchdowns on 154 attempts, averaging 6.2 yards per carry. James Jointer has added 95 yards on 20 attempts, while Enoch Assan has 64 yards and a touchdown on only three carries. Central Arkansas has recorded seven sacks and six interceptions on defense. Bryson Adamoh leads the secondary with three interceptions, while Jacob Sekiyoba has two. Ashtyn Williams has recorded 47 tackles and one sack, and Deorius Cobbs leads the Bears with 1.5 sacks.

Injuries: No injuries to report.

Florida State Seminoles Trying to Stop a Two-Game Slide

Florida State opened the season with a 34-17 win over New Mexico State before losing 27-24 to SMU and 50-36 at Alabama. Ashton Daniels has completed 46 of 79 passes for 704 yards, four touchdowns and four interceptions, averaging 8.9 yards per attempt. Duce Robinson leads the receiving corps with 210 yards and one touchdown on 11 catches. Samuel Singleton Jr. has eight receptions for 162 yards and two touchdowns, while Micahi Danzy has recorded 158 yards on nine catches.

Florida State has rushed for 510 yards and eight touchdowns on 119 attempts. Ousmane Kromah leads the Seminoles with 311 yards and three touchdowns on 53 carries, averaging 5.9 yards per attempt. Daniels has added 108 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Florida State has recorded four sacks and three interceptions on defense. Ja'Bril Rawls leads the unit with 22 tackles and one sack, while CJ Richard Jr. has 21 tackles. Ashlynd Barker, Nehemiah Chandler and Quindarrius Jones have each recorded an interception.

Injuries: Gavin Markey (questionable), Tae'Shaun Gelsey (questionable), Samuel Singleton Jr. (questionable), Darion Carter (out).

Key to the Game

Florida State’s defense needs to contain Omolo as a runner without losing track of his passing options. The Central Arkansas quarterback has 360 rushing yards at 7.7 yards per carry and accounts for a large part of an attack averaging 6.2 yards per rushing attempt. Florida State can answer with Kromah, who has 311 yards at 5.9 per carry. Turnovers also matter because Omolo and Daniels have each thrown four interceptions. The quarterback who protects the football while creating yards on the ground can place his offense in favorable situations.

Central Arkansas vs Florida State Game Pick

• Florida State

Florida State is the pick at home. The Seminoles have faced SMU and Alabama in their last two games and scored 36 points in Tuscaloosa despite the loss. Daniels has thrown for 704 yards at 8.9 yards per attempt, and Kromah adds a productive rushing option with 311 yards and three touchdowns. Central Arkansas has six defensive interceptions, but Florida State has several explosive receiving options. The Seminoles have enough offensive production to take control of this matchup at Doak Campbell Stadium.

Central Arkansas vs Florida State Over/Under Pick

• Over

The play is over. Florida State has scored 34, 24, and 36 points in its three games, while its defense allowed 50 points at Alabama and 27 against SMU. Central Arkansas has also shown scoring ability with 36 points against UT Martin and 59 against Central Oklahoma. Both teams have quarterbacks who contribute as runners, and the Bears are averaging 6.2 yards per rushing attempt. With several productive rushing and receiving options on each offense, the scoring numbers favor a higher-scoring game.