Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico Lobos Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 15th, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Colorado State Rams (2-7, 3-6 ATS, 3-6 O/U) meet the New Mexico Lobos (6-3, 5-4 ATS, 5-4 O/U) in an MWC clash on Saturday afternoon, and we have you covered with the prediction. Last week, the Rams dropped a home meeting against UNLV. The Lobos posted a win against UNLV two weeks ago and had their bye last week. The Rams defeated New Mexico in the meeting last season.
Can the Rams keep the score within reach on the road on Saturday? Check out the New Mexico vs. Colorado State prediction. Do you need a boost in your handicapping? Try our NCAAF Picks!
Colorado State Eyes Second Conference Win
The Colorado State Rams are searching for their second conference win of the season. The squad is having a hard time winning games due to its offense. Their only conference win occurred against Fresno State a month ago. They were dealt a 28-0 loss against Wyoming two weeks ago and were hit with a 42-10 home loss against UNLV last week in a clash that had the Rams marked as six-point dogs. The Rams are 1-4 in conference play. They have covered the spread in just one of their past five games.
Jackson Brousseau has seen most of the reps under center. The sophomore QB has yet to reach 200 passing yards in a game. He has managed 993 passing yards and a 7:3 TD to INT ratio on the season. Brayden Fowler-Nicolosi was the starting QB but has left the program.
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Colorado State runs quite heavily. Jalen Dupree is the big threat on the ground. The freshman has reached 100 yards in a defeat vs. San Diego State last month and has reported 508 rushing yards on an average of 5.2 yards per rush. The receiving core lacks depth. They don’t have any receivers with 300 yards. Armani Winfield has netted 30 or fewer yards in three straight games and leads the team with 268 receiving yards. Tommy Maher has managed 239 yards. The CSU offense managed 292 total yards against UNV last week. They are posting an average of 324 yards per game.
The Rams' defense has stumbled in most of conference play. They conceded 571 total yards in the loss last week. They are squandering 423 yards per game. Lemondre Joe has been a threat, making 40 tackles and deflecting 11 passes. The pass defense is marked 79th, and the rush defense is pegged at 125th.
Colorado State is only averaging 18.1 points on the year, ranking them 125th. The Rams are squandering an average of 28.8 points, pegging them 95th in the country.
New Mexico Posts Third Straight Win
The New Mexico Lobos are attempting to extend their winning streak. New Mexico has won three straight games led by the offense. They earned home wins against Nevada and Utah State in their last two games in October. The Lobos kicked off November with a 40-35 road win against UNLV in a bout that had the Lobos marked as five-point dogs. They stand at 3-2 in MWC play this season. New Mexico had its bye last week. The Lobos have covered the spread in two of their past five games.
Jack Layne has been steady in the past few weeks. The junior QB posted 342 yards in the most recent win and has reached 300 yards in three games this season. Layne has recorded 1940 passing yards and a 12:9 TD to INT ratio.
New Mexico runs more than passes. Damon Bankston leads the squad with 418 rushing yards. Scottie Humphreys is also a threat, posting 347 yards on the year. The receiving corps has three players with more than 300 yards. Keagan Johnson has surpassed 100 yards on three occasions and has netted 573 yards. The New Mexico offense piled on 532 total yards against UNLV. They are averaging 390 yards per game.
The Lobos' defense is inconsistent. They gave up 474 yards in the recent defeat and are conceding an average of 375 yards per game. Jaxton Eck is having a great season, posting 90 tackles. The pass defense is a weakness, ranking 118th, while the rush defense is a strength, coming in at 30th.
New Mexico is averaging 30.2 points on the season, rating them 55th. The Lobos are squandering an average of 25.9 points, placing them 79th in the country.
Colorado State Rams vs. New Mexico Lobos Pick
Spread Pick for Colorado State vs. New Mexico
- New Mexico Lobos -15 (5 units)
The New Mexico Lobos are in a groove, winning three straight games. They are rested after enjoying their bye last week. The Colorado State Rams are having a disappointing season. They have managed just one conference win and have dropped three straight games.
Furthermore, New Mexico will run more than pass. This is good news going up against a weak rush defense. The Rams are conceding 193 rushing yards per game, pegging them 125th in the country. Also, Colorado State’s top strength has been the running game. They have a daunting task against a stingy Lobos rush defense that is keeping opponents to 116 rushing yards per game, ranking them 30th. Each of the Rams' past five defeats has been by 11 or more points. Also, New Mexico is undefeated at home with three of the four wins by double digits.
Over/Under Pick for Colorado State vs. New Mexico
- Over 52.5 (5 units)
I expect a ton of scoring. New Mexico has piled on the points in conference play. They have scored 28 or more points in four of their past six games. This includes 33 and 40 points in their past two games. The Rams' defense has squandered an average of 37 points on the road.
In addition, Colorado State will contribute to this total. They have reached 21 points in two of their last three road games. The Lobos have squandered 35 or more points in three of their past five games. The over is a convincing 5-1 in the Lobos' previous six games in November.
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