East Carolina Pirates vs. Tulane Green Wave Picks and Prediction for Thursday, October 9th, 2025
Use Code WWWC The East Carolina Pirates (3-2, 4-1 ATS, 1-4 O/U) meet the Tulane Green Wave (4-1, 3-2 ATS, 2-3 O/U) in an AAC clash on Thursday night, and we have you covered with the prediction. The Pirates recorded a win against Army in their recent action. The Green Wave issued a road win against Tulsa. These squads last met in 2023 in a game Tulane won.
Can East Carolina come away with their second conference win on the road on Thursday? Check out the East Carolina vs. Tulane prediction. Do you need a boost in your handicapping? Try our NCAAF Picks
East Carolina Rebounds with Dominating Win
The East Carolina Pirates are targeting their second conference win of the season. The Pirates have enjoyed an encouraging first month. They narrowly lost to NC State and posted a dominating road win against Coastal Carolina. They lost a home meeting against a strong BYU squad and rebounded with a 28-6 home win against Army to begin conference play two weeks ago. The Pirates had their bye last week. The Pirates have covered the spread in their two road games on the season.
Katin Houser has been dangerous under center. The senior QB has netted 251 or more passing yards in all five performances. Houser posted 293 against Coastal Carolina and has generated 1509 passing yards and a 7:4 TD to INT ratio on the year. The rushing offense is not as potent. London Montgomery issued 59 yards against C.C. and leads the squad with rushing 209 yards.
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The East Carolina receiving core is stacked. They have three players wth 300+ yards. Anthony Smith has brought in 66 or more yards on three occasions and has 352 receiving yards on the season. Yannick Smith has 338 yards. The ECU offense piled on 430 yards against Army. They are averaging 456 yards on the year.
The Pirates' defense is stingy. The unit has contained everyone except for BYU. They kept Army to just 290 total yards in the recent win. Ja’Marley Riddle has 27 tackles and five deflected passes. Raheem Craig has made 21 tackles. The Pirates are holding opponents to 304 yards per game. The pass defense is rated 40th, while the rush defense is marked 45th.
East Carolina is averaging 30.4 points on the year, ranking them 60th. The Pirates are keeping opponents 13.4 points, good for 11th.
Tulane Rebounds with Win in Conference Opener
The Tulane Green Wave are seeking its fifth win of the season. Tulane was 3-0 to begin the year, including a win against Northwestern. They also managed a victory against Duke of the ACC. The only defeat of the year was a 45-10 road defeat against Ole Miss. Next, Tulane answered with a 31-14 blowout road win against Tulsa to cover the 15-point spread. They also had their bye last week. The Green Wave are 1-0 in AAC play. They have covered the spread in three of five games.
Jake Retzlaff has been sharp. The junior QB has reached 240 passing yards on two occasions, including 242 yards in the recent win. Retzlaff has posted 820 passing yards with two TDs against zero picks on the season. He is most dangerous when mobile and leads the squad with 368 rushing yards. Javin Gordon recorded 78 yards against Tulsa. The freshman has managed 235 rushing yards on 4.7 yards per rush.
Omari Hayes is targeted heavily in the air. The sophomore WR has reached 69 or more receiving yards in all but one game and has 254 receiving yards on the season. Shazz Preston is also having a strong year, issuing 202 receiving yards. Tulane exposed Tulsa for a total of 437 yards. The offense is averaging 395 yards on the year.
The Green Wave defense is subpar. This is a squad that relies on its offense to win games. The group had one of its better games of the season last week, giving up just 337 yards. They are squandering an average of 399 yards per game. Dickson Agu leads the team with 36 tackles. The pass defense is pegged at 109th. The rush defense is a bit stronger, coming in at 73rd.
Tulane is scoring an average of 26.2 points on the year, marking them 85th. The Green Wave are conceding an average of 24 points, pegging them 70th.
East Carolina vs. Tulane Pick
Spread Pick for East Carolina vs. Tulane
- East Carolina +6.5 (5 units)
The East Carolina Pirates are playing with confidence. The squad has won three of its past four games. Their two defeats were against strong opponents, dropping clashes against NC State and a dominant BYU squad that remains undefeated. The Tulane Green Wave is also enjoying a strong month, but none of their stats stand out, and they are weak defensively.
Furthermore, East Carolina has a potent passing offense led by Katin Houser, who has racked up 1500 passing yards on the season, ranking the passing offense 10th in the country. This is a great matchup for East Carolina against a weak Green Wave pass defense. They are squandering an average of 251 passing yards per game, pegging them 109th in the FBS. Also, Tulane relies heavily on its running game to score. This is more good news for the Pirates, who stand 45th in the country against the run.
Over/Under Pick for East Carolina vs. Tulane
- Over 55 (5 units)
I expect this one to go over. As mentioned, East Carolina has a strong offense with a QB who has reached 290 + passing yards in three games this season. The Green Wave defense is a huge weakness. They surrendered 31 points against South Alabama and 45 points against Ole Miss.
In addition, Tulane will contribute to this number. They have a potent offense that has scored 31 or more points in three of their past four games. Also, these squads have fast offenses and can generate quick scoring drives. The East Carolina offense is ranked fifth in plays per game, while Tulane stands at 36th in plays per game.
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