FIU Panthers vs Liberty Flames Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 15, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Liberty Flames (4-5, 3-2 CUSA) visit Miami and Pitbull Stadium on Saturday for a Conference USA battle with the Florida International Panthers (4-5, 2-3 CUSA). Liberty lost to Missouri State 21-17 last week, snapping a three-game winning streak and dropping the Flames to fifth in the conference standings, while two wins away from bowl eligibility with three to play. FIU defeated Middle Tennessee 56-30 last time out, snapping a two-game losing streak, but the Panthers are well down in the standings in the conference and battling for bowl eligibility. Liberty has six players out, while five are questionable. FIU will play without WR Juju Lewis, while two others are questionable. Make sure to read this in-depth Liberty Flames vs FIU Panthers prediction. Exciting vibes? Get ready with our free NCAAF picks for the Liberty Flames vs. FIU Panthers prediction and stay ahead of the game.
Liberty’s offense needs help, while the defense is solid
The Liberty Flames are 100th in scoring, averaging 23.3 points per game, while 52nd in points allowed at 22.4 points per game. Liberty averages 374.3 yards of total offense per day, which is 78th, while the Flames are 48th in rushing and 103rd in passing yards per game. The Liberty defense allows an average of 361.9 yards per game, which is 60th, while the defense is 91st in rushing and 40th in passing yards allowed per game. They still have a chance of earning a bowl bid with Louisiana Tech and Kennesaw State coming up after FIU.
Liberty quarterback Ethan Vasko has 1,600 yards passing with eight touchdowns and six interceptions. Vasko has been sacked 13 times in nine games. The Liberty ground game is led by Evan Dickens with 738 yards, nine touchdowns, and an average of 5.8 yards per carry. Liberty's aerial attack is led by Donte Lee Jr, with 493 yards receiving, averaging at 19.0 yards per reception, and four touchdown catches. Linebacker Joseph Carter is the leading tackler with 53. The Liberty defense has made 16 quarterback sacks and intercepted six passes.
FIU is below average on both sides of the line of scrimmage
The FIU Panthers score an average of 26.0 points per game, which is 82nd, while allowing an average of 29.9 points per game, which is 104th. FIU averages 393.2 yards of total offense per game, which is 66th. The Panthers are 46th in rushing and 89th in passing yards per game. FIU’s defense allows an average of 409.2 yards per game, which is 106th. The Panthers are 71st in rushing and 121st in passing yards allowed per game.
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FIU quarterback Joe Pesansky started last time out against Middle Tennessee. On the season, Pesansky has 517 yards passing with five touchdowns and four interceptions. Keyone Jenkins, who was out last game with a groin injury, has 1,400 yards passing with six touchdowns and four interceptions. Jenkins is expected to start versus Liberty on Saturday. Kejon Owens is the leading rusher with 955 yards and nine touchdowns, while the leading receiver is Alex Perry with 479 yards and five touchdown receptions. Linebacker Johnny Chaney Jr is the leading tackler with 79. The FIU defense has made 18 quarterback sacks and intercepted eight passes.
FIU Panthers vs. Liberty Flames Pick
Spread Pick for FIU vs. Liberty
- FIU Panthers +2.5 (4 units)
FIU is coming off a big victory over Middle Tennessee in which the Panthers scored 56 points, while Liberty was defeated last time out by Missouri State 21-17. FIU has covered the spread in six of its last 10 overall and six of its last eight games played at home, while Liberty has covered the spread in just three of its last 10. FIU is scoring an average of 26.0 points per game, while Liberty scores an average of 23.3 points per game. FIU has a solid ground game, averaging 178.7 yards per game, which is 46th in the nation, and will go up against a Liberty defense that is just 91st against the run, allowing an average of 162.2 points per game. Look for FIU to run the ball as much as possible and use Keyone Jenkins to pass the ball when needed to keep Liberty’s defense honest.
Over/Under Pick for FIU vs. Liberty
- Under 52 (4 units)
Liberty is scoring an average of 23.3 points per game and allowing an average of only 22.4 points per game. The total has finished under in eight of Liberty's last 11 games and in four of Liberty's last five games played on the road. FIU will use its running game to move the chains, and that will create time-consuming drives and fewer possessions for both teams.
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