FIU vs. Sam Houston State, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, November 29, 2025
Florida International 6-5, 4-3 C-USA) will be going for their second consecutive road win when they visit Shell Energy Stadium on Saturday afternoon to face Sam Houston State (2-9, 1-6 C-USA) at 1 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Panthers vs. Bearkats prediction. When it comes to NCAAF selections, our College Football Picks are stellar.
The Panthers are coming off a 27-21 win over Jacksonville State as 1.5-point favorites. The Bearkats are coming off a 31-17 loss to Middle Tennessee State as 6.5-point underdogs.
Florida International and Sam Houston State split their two meetings. The Bearkats won last season’s meeting, 10-7.
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FIU Going For Fourth Consecutive Win
The Panthers followed up their two-game losing streak with wins over Middle Tennessee State, Liberty, and Jacksonville State to become bowl eligible. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their fourth straight win when they play on Saturday.
Florida International is averaging 26.8 points per game, which is 74th in the nation. They throw for 212.1 yards and rush for 179.9 yards per game.
Keyone Jenkins has completed 63.1 percent of his passes for 1,402 yards, six touchdowns, and four interceptions. Kejon Owens leads the teams with 190 carries for 1,174 yards and 11 touchdowns, while Alex Perry leads the team with 46 catches for 676 yards and seven touchdowns.
FIU is giving up 28.8 points per game, which is 98th in the nation. They’re giving up 255.7 passing yards and 161.4 rushing yards per game.
Injuries: QB-Keyone Jenkins (Undisclosed) and WR-Tar’Varish Dawson (Undisclosed) are questionable for this game. TE-Braiden Staten (Undisclosed) has been ruled out.
Sam Houston State Trying To Bounce Back From Loss
The Bearkats had their two-game winning streak snapped by Middle Tennessee State in their last game. They will try to bounce back from the loss and pick up their third win in their last four games when they play on Saturday.
Sam Houston State averages 18.1 points per game, which is 127th in the nation. They throw for 186 yards and rush for 126.2 yards per game.
Hunter Watson has completed 57 percent of his passes for 1,108 yards, five touchdowns, and four interceptions. He also has 276 rushing yards and two touchdowns. Landan Brown leads the team with 77 carries for 453 yards and four touchdowns, while Chris Reed leads the team with 26 catches for 411 yards and five touchdowns.
Sam Houston State is giving up 36.2 points per game, which is 132nd in the nation. They’re giving up 274.5 passing yards and 198.8 rushing yards per game.
Injuries: QB-Hunter Watson (Knee), WR-Terrence Guillory II (Undisclosed), and WR-London Deyon (Undisclosed) have been ruled out of this game. K-RJ Lopez (Undisclosed), RB-Elijah Lee (Undisclosed), WR-Michael Phoenix II (Undisclosed), and TE-Thomas Jewett (Undisclosed) are questionable for this game.
Florida International vs. Sam Houston State Picks
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rob Vinciletti | +1,570.00 |
| 2 |  Dan Kaiser | +1,223.00 |
| 3 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,000.00 |
| 4 |  Earle Sports Bets | +916.00 |
| 5 |  David Hess | +706.00 |
Point Spread Pick for FIU vs. Sam Houston State
- FIU Panthers -9.5 (4 Units)
The Panthers have the edge here because they’re playing well offensively, with a solid passing game and a great ground game. They are facing a team that is one of the worst in the country at defending the pass and run, so expect them to have their way offensively in this game.
Sam Houston State will have a hard time keeping up in this game because they’re one of the worst teams in the country when it comes to passing and running the ball. With the Panthers not having to worry about them beating them through the air, they will stack the box and limit the damage the Bearkats do on the ground. Go with Florida International to cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for FIU vs. Sam Houston State
- Over 51.5 (4 Units)
The Panthers played over the total in two of their last three games. Florida International averages 26.8 points per game. They run the ball 52 percent of the time with the 41st-ranked ground game in the country, and they’re facing a team that is 121st against the run and is giving up 36.2 points per game. The Bearkats average 18.1 points per game. They throw the ball 54 percent of the time with the 107th-ranked passing attack in the country, and they’re facing a team that is 113th against the pass and is giving up 28.8 points per game. Expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total.
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