Florida Gators vs. Ole Miss Rebels Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 15th, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Florida Gators (3-6, 3-6 ATS, 3-6 O/U) take on the Ole Miss Rebels (9-1, 6-4 ATS, 5-5 O/U) in an SEC showdown on Saturday evening, and we have everything to need to know and the prediction. The Gators dropped a road meeting against Kentucky last week. The Rebels posted an easy win against The Citadel in their previous action. Florida netted a home win against Ole Miss last season.
Can the Ole Miss Rebels take this one by more than 16 points and secure their 10th win of the season on Saturday? Keep reading for the Gators vs. Rebels prediction. When it comes to college football selections, our NCAAF Predictions are stellar.
Florida Charged with Second Straight Defeat
The Florida Gators need a winning streak here. They have only managed three wins and need six wins on the season to secure bowl eligibility. Florida is having difficulty winning games in conference play due to its offense. They stand at 2-4 in SEC action and interim coach Billy Gonzales is 0-2 after taking over for the fired Billy Napier. The Gators managed a win against Mississippi State recently, but have since dropped two straight games. They were dealt a 24-20 road loss against Georgia and an ugly 38-7 road loss against Kentucky last week in a meeting that had the Gators marked as five-point favorites. The Gators have covered the spread in two of their past five games,
DJ Lagway is having an inconsistent season. The sophomore QB has tossed five picks in his past three games. Lagway has surpassed 200 yards in five games and has posted 1762 passing yards and an 11:12 TD to INT ratio on the season. He'll remain the starting quarterback despite his struggles.
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Jadan Baugh has been steady on the ground. The sophomore RB has issued 60 or more yards in six straight games, including 150 yards against Mississippi State. Baugh has delivered 747 yards on the season. The receiving core has depth. Vernell Brown III managed just 22 yards last week. The freshman has registered 473 yards. J.Michael Sturdivant has 265 yards. The Florida offense was silenced last week, managing only 247 total yards. They are averaging 341 yards per game on the season.
The Gators’ defense is competitive. They kept Texas and Mississippi State to 21 points. The defense was exposed against Kentucky last week, surrendering 401 total yards. This brings their season average to 337 yards per game. Myles Graham leads all Gators' players with 51 tackles. The pass defense is marked 61st while the rush defense is 46th.
Florida is scoring an average of 20.4 points, ranking them 116th. The Gators are squandering an average of 22.5 points, positioning them 53rd in the country.
Ole Miss Eyes Top Spot in SEC
The Ole Miss Rebels are battling for important positioning in the SEC standings and CFP Playoff rankings. Ole Miss has won three straight games led by the offense. This includes a road win against Oklahoma and a 30-14 win against South Carolina earlier this month. Next, the Rebels had an easy one, earning a 49-0 home win against The Citadel last week, one point shy of covering the huge 50-point spread. The Rebels have covered the spread in two of their past five games. The Rebels are 5-1 in SEC play and ranked 6th in the AP Top 25.
Trinidad Chambliss is an exciting talent. He is having an outstanding season. The senior QB has surpassed 300 passing yards in five games this season. Chambliss has reported 2356 passing yards, accompanied by a 13:2 TD to INT ratio. He is dangerous on the ground, adding 434 rushing yards.
The Rebels run more than they pass. Kewan Lacy posted 167 yards in the recent win against South Carolina earlier this month and has netted 912 rushing yards on the season. The receiving group is elite. They have five players with at least 390 receiving yards. Harrison Wallace III leads the squad with 579 receiving yards. Deuce Alexander is also hard to defend, yielding 467 yards. The Ole Miss offense had no challenge last week, posting 603 yards. This improves their season average to 490 yards per game.
The Rebels' defense is also a strength. They had some issues defending Georgia, but have contained most other opponents. They only gave up 106 yards against the Citadel in what can be considered more of a practice for the Rebels. They are holding opponents to 323 yards per game. TJ Dottery is having a strong year, making 63 tackles. The pass defense is among the best, standing 19th, while the rush defense is placed 65th.
Ole Miss is posting an average of 37.5 points on the season, rating them 12th. The Rebels are keeping opponents to 19.8 points, good for 25th in the country.
Florida vs. Ole Miss Pick
Spread Pick for Florida vs. Ole Miss
- Ole Miss Rebels -15 (5 units)
The Florida Gators are having a disappointing season and have not displayed any improvement. They have dropped three of their past four games. The Ole Miss Rebels are one of the best teams in the country and have won three straight games. These are big games for Ole Miss, which wants to remain near the top of the CFP Playoff rankings.
Furthermore, Florida leans on its passing offense to generate points. They opt for the pass in 53% of their plays. Florida won’t have success against a stingy Rebels pass defense that keeps opponents to an average of 179 passing yards per game, ranking them 19th in the country. Also, Ole Miss has a dangerous passing game, and the Gators' pass defense stands 60th. The Gators have not been competitive on the road. They have yet to cover the spread on the road, and each road defeat was by double digits.
Over/Under Pick for Florida vs. Ole Miss
- Under 53.5 (5 units)
I expect this one to go under. Florida rarely scores more than 20+ points. They have been kept to 20 or fewer points in three of their last four games. It doesn’t help that they have a slower offense that ranks 106th in the country in offensive plays per game.
In addition, the Gators' defense has been a strength, conceding 24 or fewer points in two of their past three games. Also, the Rebels' defense has been stingy against most of its SEC opponents. They have conceded 21 or fewer points in four of their past six games. Ole Miss continues to have huge totals, which is not hitting. The under is a convincing 5-0 in the Rebels’ past five home games.
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