Florida State vs Pittsburgh Picks and Predictions for Friday, November 13, 2026

By: David Anicetti Published 11/10/2026, 12:53 PM ET
Pitt quarterback throwing the ball down field.

Florida State visits Pittsburgh Friday at Acrisure Stadium. The Seminoles are 4-5 and 2-4 in ACC play after beating Boston College 31-24 last Saturday. Pittsburgh is 6-3, 3-3 in the ACC, after a 34-11 victory over Georgia Tech on October 31. Florida State snapped a three-game losing streak, while Pitt ended a three-game slide. Kickoff is 7:00 pm ET on ESPN. The Panthers are favored by 3.5 points, with the total at 54.5. Looking for a Friday winner? Check our free college football picks.

Florida State Trying to Keep It Going

Florida State won last Saturday, beating Boston College 31-24 on the road. That ended three losses, including a 36-24 setback against Clemson and a 43-35 double-overtime defeat at Miami. The Seminoles have scored at least 24 points in four of their last five games, keeping them competitive. Stopping opponents has been tougher. Florida State surrendered 36 to Clemson, 43 to Miami and 44 to Louisville before holding Boston College to 24.

Ashton Daniels has thrown for 2,146 yards and 14 touchdowns, but his 12 interceptions remain a concern. He can run, too, with 413 yards and 13 rushing scores. Ousmane Kromah leads the team with 609 rushing yards, but he's out. Micahi Danzy has 487 receiving yards, with Duce Robinson close behind at 438. On defense, Rylan Kennedy has six sacks and Chris Jones leads the tackles with 64. Pitt has nine interceptions, so ball security matters.

Injuries: Ousmane Kromah, D. Carter, T. Gelsey, G. Markey and Samuel Singleton Jr. are out.

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Pittsburgh Looking to Build on a Win

Pitt beat Georgia Tech on October 31. The Panthers won 34-11, ending three straight defeats against North Carolina, Boston College and Miami. That 52-23 loss to Miami was particularly rough, but Pittsburgh responded by holding Georgia Tech to just 11 points. The Panthers now seek consecutive wins. Offensive consistency remains an issue.

Mason Heintschel has completed 66.2% of his passes for 1,304 yards, 14 touchdowns and only one interception. His status is questionable, making his availability worth watching. Damon Ferguson Jr. leads the ground game with 662 yards and six touchdowns. Cataurus Hicks has stretched defenses with 698 receiving yards and six scores, averaging 20.5 yards per catch. Defensively, Jaeden Moore has 4.5 sacks, while Raion Strader owns three interceptions. Cruce Brookins leads the team with 61 tackles, and the Panthers have recorded 25 sacks across nine games. That pressure could make Daniels uncomfortable, when he tries to extend plays outside the pocket. Pitt has options throughout its lineup.

Injuries: Mason Heintschel, M. Hunt, Elijah Lagg and J. Turner are questionable.

Key To The Game

Florida State has struggled defensively, allowing at least 36 points in three of its last four games. Pitt can attack downfield through Hicks, but Heintschel's availability matters. The Seminoles need Daniels to avoid turnovers and sustain drives, especially with Kromah unavailable in the backfield.

Florida State vs Pittsburgh Game Pick

  • Pittsburgh Panthers -3.5

Florida State's win at Boston College was needed, but the Seminoles have given up plenty of points in recent weeks. Pitt has the better record and comes off a convincing 34-11 win over Georgia Tech. Ferguson's running and Hicks' big-play ability should give Pittsburgh ways to move the ball. Daniels can create trouble with his legs, although 12 interceptions make him a risk against this defense. Heintschel's questionable status deserves attention before kickoff. Even so, Pittsburgh looks better equipped to win a close game. I'll take the Panthers to cover 3.5.

Florida State vs Pittsburgh Over/Under Pick

  • Over 54.5

Florida State's last four games have finished with at least 55 combined points, and the Seminoles have allowed 24 or more in each one. Daniels has 13 rushing touchdowns, giving Florida State a scoring option when the passing game gets crowded. Pitt has its own threats in Ferguson and Hicks, who averages 20.5 yards per catch. The Panthers held Georgia Tech to 11, but Miami put 52 on them the game before. Both defenses have shown cracks against stronger offenses. I'm expecting enough scoring from each side to push this over 54.5.

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