Florida vs. Texas A&M Picks and Prediction for Saturday, October 11, 2025
Use Code WWWC Florida Gators (2-3) vs. Texas A&M Aggies (5-0)
Week 7 of the 2025 college football season brings plenty of interesting matchups on Saturday, October 11, including the SEC showdown from Kyle Field in College Station, TX, so here’s our Florida vs. Texas A&M prediction.
The Aggies look for their second straight victory over the Gators. Last year, Texas A&M beat Florida 33-20 as a 3-point road fave, and the game went over the 45.5-point line.
This time around, the Aggies are 7.5-point home favorites with a total of 47.5 points. Read more about this Florida vs. Texas A&M prediction, and check out all our NCAAF picks for Week 7. The kick-off at Kyle Field is set at 7:00 PM ET.
Florida is coming off a huge win
The Florida Gators (2-3; 2-3 ATS; 1-4 O/U) put an end to their three-game losing streak this past Saturday. After consecutive defeats against South Florida 18-16, LSU 20-10, and Miami 26-7, the Gators upset Texas 29-21 as 4.5-point home underdogs.
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It was Florida’s third straight game against a top 10 team in the country, and the Gators outgained the Longhorns 457-341 in total yards. Florida finally got things going on the offensive side of the ball. Freshman WR Dallas Wilson had six receptions for 111 yards and two touchdowns in his college debut, while sophomore RB Jadan Baugh posted 27 carries for 107 yards and a touchdown.
“Good SEC football game out there today,” Florida coach Billy Napier said. “I think it came down to the things it typically does. We rushed the ball for 159 yards to their 53. The turnover margin was 2-2. DJ was a 180 quarterback rating, played really clean for the most part.”
According to Napier, sophomore signal-caller DJ Lagway battled through a leg injury in Week 6. Lagway completed 21 of his 28 passing attempts against Texas, throwing for 298 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception. He’s struggled for most of the season, tossing for 988 yards, seven touchdowns, and seven interceptions across five appearances.
Florida tallies 23.4 points per game (tied for 98th in the nation) on 130.2 rushing yards (101st) and 223.8 passing yards (74th). The Gators lean on their defense, allowing 17.0 points (tied for 26th) on 99.4 rushing yards (26th) and 196.2 passing yards (49th).
Texas A&M continues to shine
The No. 5 Texas A&M Aggies (5-0; 2-3 ATS; 3-2 O/U) will search for their sixth win in a row when they host the Gators. After a couple of tight battles against Notre Dame 41-40 in Week 3 and Auburn 16-10 in Week 5, the Aggies steamrolled Mississippi State 31-9 in Week 6.
Texas A&M allowed just 219 total yards to Mississippi State. The Aggies racked up 483 total yards in return and won the turnover battle 2-1. Sophomore RB Rueben Owens II carried the pigskin 21 times for 142 yards, while junior wideout KC Concepcion had four catches for 61 yards and a couple of touchdowns.
“We’ve just got to keep grinding and continuing to get better,” A&M second-year coach Mike Elko said. “When one side of the ball has been struggling, the other side of the ball has stood up. You’re in an SEC football game, and SEC football games are not easy.”
Sophomore QB Marcel Reed went 13-of-23 for 180 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception last week. He scored once on his own, and Reed now has two rushing touchdowns in 2025. Reed has thrown for 1,256 yards, 11 touchdowns, and three interceptions so far this season.
The Aggies score 34.8 points per game (42nd in the nation) on 195.4 rushing yards (37th) and 271.4 passing yards (35th). They surrender 21.0 points in return (48th) on 109.2 rushing yards (32nd) and 180.4 passing yards (also 32nd).
Florida vs. Texas A&M Pick
Spread Pick for Florida vs. Texas A&M
- Texas A&M -7.5 (5 units)
Florida certainly has weapons to slow the Aggies’ offense down, but I’m not sure that the Gators will be able to cope with Texas A&M on the other side of the ball. The Aggies’ defense has improved a lot since that firecracker at Notre Dame. Texas A&M ranks fifth in the country in opposing third-down percentage (22.4%) and sixth in sacks (18).
I expect the Aggies to shut the Gators down and beat the number. Florida took full advantage of its bye week and played well against Texas, but this looks like a much taller task for the Gators’ offense.
Over/Under Pick for Florida vs. Texas A&M
- Under 47.5 (5 units)
The bookies are looking for a low-scoring affair, and I cannot argue about it. As I mentioned, the Aggies have done a great job on the defensive side of the ball over their previous two outings, and the Gators heavily lean on their defensive unit.
It’s hard to rush efficiently against these two teams. Florida will find a way to contain the Aggies’ powerful ground game. The Gators will struggle to move the ball both on the ground and through the air, so give me the under on the total. The under has hit in eight of Florida’s last nine games overall.
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