Georgia State vs. Troy, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, November 22, 2025
Use Code WWWC Georgia State (1-9, 0-6 Sun Belt) will be trying to pick up their first road win of the season when they visit Veterans Memorial Stadium on Saturday afternoon to face Troy (6-4, 4-2 Sun Belt) at 4 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Panthers vs. Trojans prediction. When it comes to NCAAF selections, our College Football Picks are stellar.
The Panthers are coming off a 30-18 loss to Marshall as 9.5-point underdogs. The Trojans are coming off a 33-0 loss to Old Dominion as 9.5-point underdogs.
Troy is 6-4 in its last 10 games against Georgia State. The Trojans won the last meeting in 2023, 28-7.
Georgia State Trying To Snap Seven-Game Losing Streak
The Panthers haven’t had much go their way this season, with one win in 10 games. They have lost seven straight games and will try to put an end to the streak with a win on Saturday.
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Georgia State averages 20.8 points per game, which is 113th in the nation. They throw for 253.5 yards and rush for 120.4 yards per game.
TJ Finley has completed 63 percent of his passes for 1,244 yards, six touchdowns, and seven interceptions. Jordan Simmons leads the team with 63 carries for 388 yards and two touchdowns, while Ted Hurst leads the team with 64 catches for 928 yards and six touchdowns.
Georgia State is giving up 39.6 points per game, which is 136th in the nation. They’re giving up 251.4 passing yards and 224.1 rushing yards per game.
Key Injuries for Georgia State:
QB-Cameran Brown (Undisclosed), TE-Wesley Campbell (Undisclosed), and Djay Braswell (Undisclosed) are questionable for this game.
Troy Trying To Snap Two-Game Losing Streak
The Trojans followed up their five-game winning streak with losses to Arkansas State and Old Dominion. They will try to put an end to the losing streak and pick up their sixth win in their last eight games when they play on Saturday. At least they are bowl-eligible, but they can't catch 7-0 JMU for the top of the Sun Belt as they are tied for fourth with ODU and Arkansas State.
Troy averages 24.3 points per game, which is 90th in the nation. They throw for 194 yards and rush for 111.6 yards per game.
Tucker Kilcrease has completed 60 percent of his passes for 1,414 yards, nine touchdowns, and four interceptions. Tae Meadows leads the team with 118 carries for 556 yards and four touchdowns, while Tray Taylor has 20 catches for 402 yards and three touchdowns.
Troy is giving up 25 points per game, which is 72nd in the nation. They’re giving up 192 passing yards and 192.9 rushing yards per game.
Key Injuries for Troy:
WR-Mojo Dortch (Undisclosed) is questionable for this game. QB-Tucker Kilcrease (Upper Body) and WR-Jackson Thomas (Undisclosed) are probable for this game.
Georgia State vs. Troy Picks
Point Spread Pick for Georgia State vs. Troy
- Troy Trojans -10.5 (4 Units)
The Trojans have won five of their last seven games, while the Panthers have lost seven straight games. Troy has the edge here because they’re playing well offensively. They don’t run the ball well, but they have a decent passing game and will be able to pick up a lot of yards through the air against one of the worst pass defenses in the nation.
The Panthers will have a hard time keeping up with the Trojans because they rely heavily on their passing game, but they won’t be able to move the ball through the air against the Trojans, who have one of the best pass defenses in the nation, so expect their offensive struggles to continue in this game. Go with Troy to cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for Georgia State vs. Troy
- Under 51.5 (4 Units)
The Trojans played under the total in their last two games. Troy averages 24.3 points per game. They run the ball 51 percent of the time with the 127th-ranked ground game in the country, and they’re facing a team that is 133rd against the run, and is giving up 39.6 points per game. The Panthers average 20.8 points per game. They throw the ball 58 percent of the time with the 41st-ranked passing game in the nation, and they’re facing a team that is 25th against the pass, and is giving up 25 points per game. Don’t expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total. The Panthers and Trojans played under the total in their last two meetings.
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