Indiana Hoosiers vs. Maryland Terrapins, Preview, Picks, Odds and Prediction, Saturday, November 1, 2025
Use Code WWWC No. 2 Indiana (8-0, 5-0 B10) travels to College Park to take on Maryland (4-3, 1-3 B10) on Saturday afternoon at 3:30pmET from SECU Stadium. The Terps have won three of the last four in this series, but fell to the Hoosiers 42-28 from Bloomington in 2024. Who will win this Indiana vs. Maryland prediction in 2025? Maryland has lost three straight games before a bye last week. They lost at UCLA 20-17 on Oct. 18, which is the same team Indiana crushed on Oct. 25, 56-6 at home. Looking to win big this football season? We have the best College Football Picks to help you out!
Indiana is trying to avoid letdown
Indiana is playing at a level that only their basketball program could relate to. Curt Cignetti's squad isn't just beating teams; they're destroying them. The Hoosiers were running on all cylinders when they destroyed UCLA last week by 50 points at home. The Bruins were not a championship contender, but they've improved a lot since they fired head coach DeShaun Foster about a month ago and had won three straight. Fernando Mendoza threw for 168 yards and three TDs, before leaving late in the third quarter due to his team being up 49-3. IU also rushed for 262 yards, led by Maryland transfer Roman Hemby, who rushed for 81 yards and a TD.
Indiana could easily be 12-0 after the regular season with Penn State (road), Wisconsin (home) and Purdue (road) coming up after Maryland.
The defense was dominant in that game, holding the Bruins to just 12 first downs and 201 total yards. Linebacker Aiden Fisher, who has 20 tackles and 2.5 sacks, had a pick-six on the first UCLA pass of the game, 57 seconds into the first quarter. However, Fisher suffered a knee injury after the next series but is listed as "probable" by Cignetti to play against Maryland.
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So, Indiana is relatively healthy heading into this game. They have a balanced attack, averaging 264 yards per game in the air and 230.5 yards on the ground. Mendoza is a legitimate Heisman candidate, completing 72.9% of his passes, while leading the nation with 24 TD passes and having just three picks. He's also second in the nation in pass rating (188.5)
Defensively, the Hoosiers allow just 10.9 points per game (3rd), 85.4 rushing yards (5th) and 157.4 passing yards (13th).
Terps continue to struggle in the fourth quarter
Maryland has lost three straight games before their bye and every game was winnable. In their last game on Oct. 18, the Terps struggled offensively, but found a way down 17-10 to tie it up with 40 seconds left on an 8-yard pass from Malik Washington to Jalil Farooq. But the Bruins were able to drive the ball down the field and booted a 23-yard field goal with two seconds left to get the victory. Washington struggled, completing 23 of 48 for 210 yards with a TD and a pick. However, he did rush for 67 yards, including many on that final drive.
Maryland has been outscored 44-7 in its last three fourth quarters, allowing 31 first downs to produce just 10 of its own. In the first three quarters of those games, they've recorded 43 first downs.
Washington has been one of the best true freshmen in the nation at quarterback. He's had to produce because the running game has been erratic. Dejuan Williams leads the ground game with 292 yards, but is averaging just 3.5 yards per carry. Washington is completing 59.7% of his passes for 1,716 yards with 11 TDs and three picks. His top target has been Farooq, an Oklahoma transfer, who has 31 catches for 277 yards and a TD.
Maryland is pretty good against the run (124.3ypg), but they've struggled against the pass, allowing 227 yards per contest (75th). They also have one of the worst rushing teams in the nation, averaging just 101.3 yards per game (129th). Washington has rushed for just 98 yards this season with three TDs, but 67 of those yards came against UCLA, so he might have to use his legs more in this game to give the Terps a chance.
The Terps should be pretty healthy coming off the bye week. DL Zahir Mathis (undisclosed) is questionable.
Indiana vs. Maryland pick
Spread Pick for Indiana vs. Maryland
- Maryland +21.5 (5 units)
When trying to handicap this game, Indiana has the edge on most factors and should win this game to go to 9-0. But this is a Super Bowl game for Maryland, which is coming off a bye and should be fresher. This is a team that could easily have the same record heading into this game had they shown up in the fourth quarter and finished games. They led Washington 20-0 in the second half of that game before collapsing in the fourth quarter. Yet they covered that game along with the Nebraska game and pushed/won over UCLA (line was +3/4). Maryland leads the nation in turnover margin per game (+1.7), so they force turnovers and usually take care of the ball. Don't expect a blowout by the Hoosiers, but they'll find a way to win the fourth quarter.
Total Pick for Indiana vs. Maryland
- Under 50.5 (4 units)
Maryland's only chance to win is to keep the score low. They can't win a track meet against Indiana and will need to throw short passes and slow down Hemby in the ground attack to keep it close. The Terps will get pressure on Mendoza and slow down their running game. I don't see Maryland scoring a ton against the Hoosiers. In conference, they've averaged 23.8 points per game and this is the best defense they'll face this year before they face Michigan on Nov. 22. They've gone under in three of their last four games and five of seven.
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