Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennessee State, Picks and Prediction, Wednesday, October 28, 2025
Use Code WWWC Jacksonville State (4-3, 3-0 C-USA) will be going for their second consecutive road win when they visit Johnny “Red” Floyd Stadium on Wednesday night to face Middle Tennessee State (1-6, 0-3 C-USA) at 7:30 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Gamecocks vs. Blue Raiders prediction. Don’t get sacked this football season! Try our College Football Picks!
The Gamecocks are coming off a 38-25 win over Delaware as three-point underdogs. The Blue Raiders are coming off a 31-28 loss to Delaware as nine-point underdogs.
Jacksonville State is 2-0 in two games against Middle Tennessee State. The Gamecocks won last season’s meeting, 42-20.
Jacksonville State Going For Fourth Consecutive Conference Win
The Gamecocks bounced back from their loss to Southern Mississippi with wins over Sam Houston and Delaware. They have won three straight conference games and will try to make it four in a row when they play on Wednesday. They are also tied with Kennesaw State for first place in Conference USA.
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Jacksonville State averages 30.7 points per game, which is 54th in the nation. They throw for 140.6 yards and rush for 276 yards per game.
Gavin Wimsatt has completed 56 percent of his passes for 593 yards, two touchdowns, and two interceptions. He also has 236 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Cam Cook leads the team with 160 carries for 949 yards and 10 touchdowns, while Brock Rechsteiner leads the team with 20 catches for 263 yards and four touchdowns.
In their win over the Blue Hens on Oct. 15, JSU ran for 255 yards and Caden Creel completed 14 of 21 for 116 yards with a TD. Creel injured his elbow in the Delaware game and is questionable for this one. Creel is the second-leading rusher behind Cook with 438 yards and three TDs, while throwing for 386 yards. If he can't go, the Gamecocks are in solid shape with Wimsatt.
Jacksonville State is giving up 26.6 points per game, which is 86th in the country. They’re giving up 258.3 passing yards and 156.2 rushing yards per game.
Middle Tennessee State Trying To Snap Four-Game Losing Streak
The Blue Raiders followed up their first win of the season with four straight losses. That included a loss to Delaware by three points on October 22 on the road in Newark. The Blue Raiders led the game in the first quarter, but Delaware scored 17 points in the second quarter and never relinquished the lead. Nicholas Vattiato completed 31 of 48 for 281 yards and three TDs with one pick to lead MTSU. They also committed nine penalties for 80 yards and turned the ball over twice.
Middle Tennessee State averages 18.6 points per game, which is 125th in the country. They throw for 245.1 yards and rush for 85.7 yards per game.
Vattiato has completed 62 percent of his passes for 1,673 yards, 11 touchdowns, and five interceptions. Jekail Middlebrook has 87 carries for 501 yards and three touchdowns, while Nahzae Cox leads the team with 31 catches for 390 yards and five touchdowns.
Middle Tennessee State is giving up 29.7 points per game, which is 103rd in the country. They’re giving up 241 passing yards and 144.8 rushing yards per game.
Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennessee State Picks
Point Spread Pick for Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennessee State
- Jacksonville State Gamecocks -6 (4 Units)
The Gamecocks have won three of their last four games, while the Blue Raiders have lost four straight games. Jacksonville State has the edge here because they’re very good offensively, with one of the best ground games in the country. The Blue Raiders aren’t very good defensively, and they’ve had trouble slowing down the run, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Gamecocks. Even if they return to Wimsatt at quarterback, they still have a distinct advantage and don't lose much on offense.
Middle Tennessee State will have a hard time keeping up with the Gamecocks because they have one of the worst offenses in the country, and rely heavily on their passing game. With the Blue Raiders rushing for less than 100 yards per game, the Gamecocks don’t have to worry about them getting beaten on the ground, which will allow them to focus on defending the pass. Go with Jacksonville State to cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennessee State
- Over 54.5 (4 Units)
The Gamecocks played over the total in their last three games, while the Blue Raiders played over the total in two of their last four games. Middle Tennessee State averages 18.6 points per game. They throw the ball 62 percent of the time with the 27th-ranked passing attack in the country, and they’re facing a defense that is 107th against the pass, and is giving up 26.6 points per game. The Gamecocks average 30.7 points per game. They run the ball 68 percent of the time with the third-ranked ground game in the country, and they’re facing a team that is 55th against the run and is giving up 29.7 points per game. Expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total.
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