Louisiana Tech vs. Missouri State, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, November 29, 2025
Louisiana Tech (6-5, 4-3 C-USA) will be going for their second consecutive win when they visit Robert W. Plaster Stadium on Saturday afternoon to face Missouri State (7-4, 5-2 C-USA) at 2 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Bulldogs vs. Bears prediction. Do you need a boost in your handicapping? Try our NCAAF FREE Picks.
The Bulldogs are coming off a 34-28 win over Liberty as 1.5-point underdogs. The Bears are coming off a 41-34 loss to Kennesaw State as 6.5-point underdogs.
This will be the first meeting between the two teams.
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Louisiana Tech Trying To Snap Three-Game Road Losing Streak
The Bulldogs snapped their two-game losing streak with a win over Liberty in their last game. They have lost three straight road games and will try to put an end to the streak with a win on Saturday. QB Trey Kukuk threw for 118 yards and rushed for 143 yards on 19 carries with two TDs.
Louisiana Tech averages 26.5 points per game, which is 76th in the nation. They throw for 175.3 yards and rush for 179.2 yards per game.
Blake Baker has completed 66 percent of his passes for 1,251 yards, five touchdowns, and three interceptions. He also has 260 rushing yards and three touchdowns, but will not play due to injury. Clay Thevenin leads the team with 111 carries for 559 yards and eight touchdowns, while Eli Finley leads the team with 36 catches for 423 yards.
Louisiana Tech is giving up 20.5 points per game, which is 31st in the nation. They’re giving up 237.1 passing yards and 145.7 rushing yards per game.
Injuries: WR-David Pierro (Undisclosed) is questionable for this game. QB-Evan Bullock (Undisclosed) and QB-Blake Baker (Knee) have been ruled out.
Missouri State Trying To Bounce Back From Loss
The Bears had their six-game winning streak snapped by Kennesaw State in their last game. They will try to bounce back from the loss and pick up their seventh win in their last eight games when they play on Saturday.
Missouri State averages 25 points per game, which is 85th in the nation. They throw for 272.1 yards and rush for 117.5 yards per game.
Jacob Clark has completed 66 percent of his passes for 2,601 yards, 22 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions. Shomari Lawrence leads the team with 170 carries for 880 yards and eight touchdowns, while Jmariyae Robinson leads the team with 37 catches for 470 yards and five touchdowns.
Missouri State is giving up 27.1 points per game, which is 82nd in the country. They’re giving up 245.8 passing yards and 146.3 rushing yards per game.
Injuries: K-Josh Deal (Undisclosed) and TE-Hayden Hagler (Undisclosed) are questionable for this game. RB-Sage White (Undisclosed) has been ruled out.
Louisiana Tech vs. Missouri State Picks
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Earle Sports Bets | +2,298.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,840.00 |
| 3 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,757.00 |
| 4 |  David Hess | +1,745.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +987.00 |
Point Spread Pick for Louisiana Tech vs. Missouri State
- Missouri State Bears -2.5
The Bears have the edge here because they’re playing well offensively, thanks in large part to one of the best passing attacks in the country. They will also be able to move the ball on the ground against a defense that is giving up more than 140 rushing yards per game, so expect them to play well offensively in this game.
Louisiana Tech won’t be as successful offensively because they’re one-dimensional offensively. Their ground game is one of the best in the country, but they don’t move the ball effectively through the air. The Bears have done well against the run and don’t have to worry about the Bulldogs beating them on the ground, which will allow them to keep pressure on Louisiana Tech’s quarterback and force him to make costly mistakes. Go with Missouri State to cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for Louisiana Tech vs. Missouri State Bears
- Under 48.5 (4 Units)
The Bulldogs average 26.5 points per game. They run the ball 59 percent of the time with the 32nd-ranked ground attack in the country, and they’re facing a team that is 53rd against the run and is giving up 27.1 points per game. The Bears average 25 points per game. They throw the ball 54 percent of the time with the 25th-ranked passing attack in the nation, and they’re facing a team that is 83rd against the pass and is giving up 20.5 points per game. Don’t expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total.
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