LSU Tigers vs. Alabama Crimson Tide Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 8, 2025
Use Code WWWC It’s a battle of SEC foes from the Yellowhammer State on the gridiron as the LSU Tigers are on the road to battle the #4 Alabama Crimson Tide Saturday night and we have you covered with our LSU vs. Alabama prediction. LSU comes in off a bye. The Tigers were clobbered 49-25 at home by #3 Texas A&M in their previous game October 25, failing to cover the line as a 1.5-point underdog. Alabama comes in off a bye last week as well. The Crimson Tide dropped South Carolina 29-22 on the road in their previous game October 25, failing to cover the line as a 12.5-point favorite. In the all-time series between the teams, the Crimson Tide holds a 57-25-5 advantage and has won the last two meetings, including a 42-13 road win in the most recent matchup November 9, 2024. Read more about this LSU vs. Alabama prediction! Don’t get penalized! Increase your bankroll with our NCAAF Betting Picks!
LSU Looking to Get Back on Track
LSU suffered its second straight loss and its third in its last four games as they were clobbered by #3 Texas A&M in a game that marked the end of the Brian Kelly era in Baton Rouge. The Tigers fell to 5-3 on the season and stand 2-3 in the SEC as they face their fifth-ranked opponent of the year. Against Texas A&M, LSU trailed 14-7 after the opening quarter, rallied to lead 18-14 at the half and then saw the wheels off. The Tigers were outscored 35-7 in the second half as they took the loss. LSU was outgained 426-278 in total offense, gave up 24 first downs while picking up 18 and was edged 30:12 to 29:48 in time of possession. Those numbers overshadowed the fact that the Tigers forced the game’s two turnovers and blocked a punt for a safety. Frank Wilson takes over the coaching reins after firing Kelly.
On the year, the Tigers are 50th in the nation in passing offense with an average of 249.3 yards per game through the air while they are 124th in rushing offense with 106.3 yards per contest. LSU is 83rd in the FBS in scoring offense with an average of 25.5 points per game last season, while the Tigers are 22nd in the country in scoring defense by allowing 18.9 points a contest. Garrett Nussmeier has completed 176 of 267 passes for 1,806 yards with 12 touchdowns against five interceptions while adding a score on the ground. Michael Van Buren Jr. (13 of 16, 172 yards, two TD, 23 rush yards, TD) is the backup. Caden Durham leads the ground game with 79 carries for 378 yards and two scores on the year. Harlem Berry (46 carries, 225 yards, two TD), Zavion Thomas (15 carries, 93 yards) and Ju’Juan Johnson (29 carries, 137 yards, two TD) have all seen work on the ground. Aaron Anderson is second on the team with 29 receptions for 382 yards on the season. Barion Brown (36 catches, 361 yards, TD), Bauer Sharp (18 grabs, 190 yards, TD). Kyle Parker (18 receptions, 197 yards, three TD), Trey’Dez Green (21 grabs, 264 yards, four TD) and Thomas (20 catches, 267 yards, three TD) are all over the 175-yard mark in receiving yards. Damian Ramos is 20 of 21 on extra point attempts and 14 of 17 on field goal attempts with a long of 52 on the year.
Crimson Tide Seeking to Keep Rolling
Alabama won their seventh straight game after a season-opening defeat to Florida State as they rallied to down South Carolina on the road in their previous game. The Crimson Tide ran their record to 7-1 overall and stands 5-0 in SEC action, leaving them tied with Texas A&M for the top spot. Against South Carolina, Alabama led 7-3 after the opening quarter and 14-6 at the half, only to trail 15-14 after three quarters. The Crimson Tide trailed 22-14 with 10:00 to go before outscoring the Gamecocks 15-0 the rest of the way. Germie Bernard scored the winning touchdown on a 25-yard run with 34 seconds remaining to give Alabama the win. Alabama was edged 333-325 in total offense, allowed 18 first downs while picking up 17 and lost the time of possession battle by a 32:38 to 27:22 margin. Both teams turned the ball over twice in the contest.
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The Crimson Tide is 15th in the FBS in passing offense this season, as they average 291.6 yards per game through the air. Alabama is 114th in rushing offense as they average 118.9 yards per game on the ground this year. The Crimson Tide is 30th among 136 FBS teams in scoring offense as they average 34.4 points per game this season. Alabama is 20th in scoring defense as they allow an average of 18.2 points per game on the year. Ty Simpson is 177 of 261 passing for 2,184 yards with 20 touchdowns against one interception while adding 79 yards and two scores on the ground. Austin Mack (eight of 11, 80 yards, two TD, four rush yards) and Keelon Russell (four of six, 65 yards, two TD, one rush yard) have seen action under center as well. Kevin Riley is second on the team on the ground with 47 carries for 181 yards. Germie Bernard (15 carries, 94 yards, TD), AK Dear (seven carries, 85 yards, TD), Richard Young (19 carries, 48 yards, TD) and Jam Miller (80 carries, 308 yards, two TD) are also in the mix. Bernard leads the team with 38 receptions for 526 yards and six scores. Ryan Williams (33 catches, 495 yards, three TD), Isaiah Horton (22 grabs, 272 yards, five TD), Lotzeir Brooks (16 receptions, 255 yards) and tight end Josh Cuevas (20 catches, 203 yards, three) are all over 200 receiving yards on the season. Connor Talty is 30 of 30 on extra point attempts and nine of 13 on field goal attempts with a long of 46 this year. Peter Notaro is four of four on extra points while not attempting a field goal on the season.
Edge rusher Qua Russaw is out after undergoing foot surgery following an injury sustained against Georgia. Defensive lineman Jah-Marien Latham (neck) is done for the season. Cornerback Dre Kirkpatrick Jr. is suspended and won’t take the field here.
LSU vs. Alabama Prediction
Spread Pick for LSU vs. Alabama
- Alabama -9.5 (4 units)
LSU is struggling right now with three losses in their last four games after getting trounced by Texas A&M in their previous contest. The Tigers have their work cut out for them here as they travel to Tuscaloosa in this one in Wilson’s debut as head coach. Alabama has reeled off seven straight wins and has a world of momentum on their side with seven straight wins and they overcame a potential trap game by taking down South Carolina in their previous contest. That came after successive wins over Georgia, Vanderbilt, Tennessee and Missouri. The Crimson Tide will be ready for this contest and they will take care of business here to earn the victory.
Over/Under Pick for LSU vs. Alabama
- Over 49 (4 units)
LSU comes into this game having stayed under the total in five of its eight games this season. The Tigers have gone over the mark in their last two contests, losses to Vanderbilt and Texas A&M. Alabama has split their eight games in relation to the total entering this game. The Crimson Tide split their four games in relation to the total this season at home. We’ve seen the over hit in four of the last six meetings between the teams entering this contest. The Tigers are sputtering, allowing at least 24 points in three of their last four games and Alabama has scored a minimum of 24 points in each game in their win streak, including more than 30 four times. Look for this game to wind up over the total as Alabama puts up at least 31.
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