Miami Hurricanes vs. Pitt Panthers Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 29, 2025
A pair of ACC programs take to the field looking to pick up a win in the Steel City when the #12 Miami Hurricanes travel to face the #22 Pitt Panthers Saturday afternoon and we have you covered with our Miami vs. Pitt prediction. Miami beat Virginia Tech 34-17 on the road, failing to cover the line as an 18-point favorite, in their previous contest last Saturday. Pitt dropped #16 Georgia Tech 42-28 on the road last Saturday, winning outright as a 2.5-point underdog in their previous contest. In the all-time series between the teams, the Hurricanes own a 29-12-1 advantage, though the Panthers picked up a 42-16 road win in the most recent meeting on November 26, 2022. Read more about this Miami vs. Pitt prediction! Don’t get penalized! Increase your bankroll with our NCAAF Betting Picks!
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Hurricanes Trying to Hang in CFP Picture
Miami won their third straight game as they took care of business on the road against Virginia Tech last Saturday in their previous contest. The Hurricanes enter this one 9-2 overall and tied for fifth in the ACC with a 5-2 mark in conference play. Against Virginia Tech, Miami never trailed as they took a 7-0 lead on the opening drive of the contest. The Hurricanes were up 7-3 at the end of one quarter before outscoring the Hokies 13-0 in the second quarter to lead 20-3 at the half. Miami led the rest of the way as Virginia Tech got no closer than nine in the second half to earn the win. The Hurricanes held a 418-395 advantage in total offense, picked up 22 first downs while allowing 20, controlled the clock by a 33:29 to 26:31 margin and forced the game’s lone turnover.
On the season, the Hurricanes are 21st in the nation in passing offense with 275.8 yards per game. Miami stands 76th in rushing offense by piling up 151 yards per game on the ground. The Hurricanes are 27th in the FBS in scoring offense with 33.7 points per game, while they stand 7th in scoring defense by allowing 14.5 points a contest. Carson Beck is 240 of 323 passing for 2,805 yards with 22 touchdowns and nine interceptions while adding 56 yards plus a score on the ground. Emory Williams (13 of 19, 156 yards, 19 rush yards) is the backup quarterback. Mark Fletcher Jr. leads the run game with 131 carries for 655 yards and nine scores. CharMar Brown (92 carries, 374 yards, five TD) and Girard Pringle Jr. (48 carries, 280 yards, four TD) are the next backs in the system. Malachi Toney leads the team with 71 receptions for 844 yards and six scores. CJ Daniels (33 catches, 351 yards, six TD), Keelan Marion (39 grabs, 544 yards, TD), Joshua Moore (14 catches, 194 yards, two TD), Elija Lofton (20 grabs, 186 yards, two TD), Joshiha Trader (10 receptions, 158 yards, TD) and Tony Johnson (seven catches, 162 yards) are also over the 150-yard mark in receiving yards. Carter Davis is 37 of 37 on extra points and 13 of 15 on field goal attempts with a long of 53 on the year. Bert Auburn is seven of seven on extra points and hit his lone field goal attempt from 31 yard,s while Will Rocha hit his lone extra point attempt while not attempting a field goal on the year.
Key Injury Report for Miami:
- Wide receiver Tony Johnson (undisclosed) is questionable.
- Cornerback Keionte Scott (undisclosed) is questionable. (44 tackles, 3 sacks, FF, two FR, INT, TD)
- Cornerback Jakobe Thomas (arm) is questionable. (43 tackles, 3 sacks, 2 FF, 2 FR, 4 INT, TD)
Pitt Seeking to Pick Up Win in Regular Season Finale
Pitt bounced back from a loss to #9 Notre Dame by upending #16 Georgia Tech on the road last week. The Pirates improved to 8-3 overall and are tied for the top spot in the ACC with a 6-1 mark in conference play. Against Georgia Tech, Pitt bolted to a 21-0 lead after the opening quarter and led the rest of the way. The Panthers were up 28-0 in the second quarter and 28-14 at the half. They saw Georgia Tech get within 35-28 in the fourth quarter before securing the win on a touchdown with under three minutes to play. Pitt owned a 412-378 edge in total offense, recorded 22 first downs while allowing 21, and forced two turnovers, including a pick-six, while not committing any in the game. That made up for the narrow 30:25 to 29:35 disadvantage in time of possession in the contest.
This season, the Panthers are 18th in the nation in passing offense with an average of 281.6 yards per game, while they are 104th in rushing offense with 124.9 yards per contest. Pitt is 12th in the FBS in scoring offense with an average of 37.6 points per game, while they are 62nd in scoring defense by giving up 23.7 points a contest. Eli Holstein is 77 of 125 passing for 1,081 yards with 12 touchdowns against six interceptions. He is fifth on the team on the ground with 88 rushing yards plus a score. Mason Heintschel (154 of 244, 1899 yards, 14 TD, six INT, 121 rush yards, two TD) and Cole Gonzales (11 of 22, 118 yards, TD, INT, one rush yard) have also seen action, with Heintschel the current starter after displacing Holstein ahead of the Boston College game on October 4. Desmond Reid is the team’s second leading rusher with 60 carries for 278 yards and two scores on the ground. Ja’Kyrian Turner (114 carries, 615 yards, seven TD) and Juelz Goff (66 carries, 256 yards, five TD) are next in line with the run game. Raphael Williams Jr. is second on the team with 41 receptions for 578 yards and six scores on the year. Kenny Johnson (47 catches, 691 yards, five TD), Reid (23 grabs, 317 yards, two TD), Cataurus Hicks (22 receptions, 378 yards, four TD), Justin Holmes (19 grabs, 187 yards, three TD) and Bryce Yates (nine catches, 190 yards, TD) have each gone over the 175-yard mark this season in receiving yards. Trey Butkowski has connected on 40 of 41 extra point attempts and 19 of 21 field goals with a long of 47 on the year. Sam Carpenter is six of six on extra points and one of three on field goal attempts with a long of 24 this season.
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Key Injury Report for Pitt:
- Running back Desmond Reid (undisclosed) is questionable.
- Kicker Trey Butkowski (illness) is questionable.
Miami vs. Pitt Prediction
Spread Pick for Miami vs. Pitt
- Miami -6.5 (4 units)
While Pitt is in the mix for a potential spot in the ACC title game, the conference is so muddled that it’s tough to get an accurate read on anyone. This game is critical for Miami if they hope to have a shot at the CFP after getting tripped up by SMU back on November 1. The Hurricanes bounced back with a vengeance since that point, winning three straight by a combined 113-34 margin. Pitt bounced back from their loss to Notre Dame by upsetting Georgia Tech, though having a freshman quarterback against an experienced one like Beck is a tough sell. Pitt is at home, and the weather will be chilly, but Miami has too much at stake here. Take the Hurricanes to earn the victory in this contest.
Over/Under Pick for Miami vs. Pitt
- Under 50.5 (4 units)
Miami comes in having seen the under post a 6-5 mark in their 11 games on the year. The Hurricanes stayed under the total in two of their three road contests this season, combining for 50 points to stay under the number of 54.5 in a six-point win over Florida State on October 4 and 46 points against a number of 50.5 in the loss to SMU. Their win over Virginia Tech saw the teams combine for 51 points against a number of 49.5 points. Pitt has gone over the number in seven of their 11 games on the year. The Panthers have gone over the mark in four of their six home games on the year. Miami is stingy on the defensive side of the ball, and that helps keep this game under the number.
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