Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Buffalo Bulls Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, November 19, 2025

On Wednesday, the Miami (OH) Redhawks (5-5, 4-2 MAC) pay a visit to Buffalo and UB Stadium to play a Mid-American Conference showdown with the Buffalo Bulls (5-5, 4-2 MAC). Miami (OH) lost to Toledo 24-3 last week and has lost two straight. Buffalo lost to Central Michigan 38-19 last time out and has lost two of the last three. The Redhawks and Bulls have identical records and are tied for second with three other teams in the conference standings, one game behind Western Michigan with two games remaining on the regular season schedule. I expect Western Michigan to win its final two games and finish first. The likelihood is that there will be a log Jam at 6-2 for second place, and tiebreakers will need to be used to determine who will play in the conference title game. Make sure to read this in-depth Miami (OH) Redhawks vs Buffalo Bulls prediction. Your ultimate guide to NCAAF excitement—don’t miss our free picks for Miami (OH) RedHawks at Buffalo Bulls prediction!

Miami (OH) takes a big hit

The Miami (OH) Redhawks score an average of 23.1 points per game, which is 102nd in the nation, but it's the defense that determines the team’s success, allowing an average of 21.9 points per game, which is 38th in the nation. Miami (OH) is 77th in rushing and 107th in passing yards per game, while the defense is 32nd in rushing and 43rd in passing yards allowed per game. The Redhawks average 345.7 yards of total offense and allow an average of 326.3 yards per game, which are 105th and 32nd, respectively.

Miami (OH) took a big hit when quarterback Dequan Finn announced that he was leaving the team to prepare for the NFL. Finn threw for 1,451 yards with nine touchdowns and six interceptions, while rushing for 395 yards and four touchdowns. Henry Hesson is the new starting quarterback for the Redhawks. Hesson has thrown for 489 yards with three touchdowns and three interceptions. Jordan Brunson is the leading rusher with 488 yards, and Kam Perry is the leading receiver with 726 yards. Linebacker Corban Hondru is the leading tackler with 83. Miami (OH)’s defense has made 26 quarterback sacks and has intercepted 12 passes.

Key Injuries for Miami (OH):

• QB Dequan Finn (left the team). Has 1,451 yds with 9 Tds and 6 INTs.
• RB Kenny Tracy (knee) is out. Has 272 yards and averages 5.6ypc

Buffalo's defense is its key to its success

The Buffalo Bulls score an average of 24.2 points (91st) per game, but it's the defense that determines the Bulls' success, holding opponents to 21.4 points (34th) per game. Buffalo is 79th in passing yards and 85th in rushing yards per game, while the defense is 28th in passing yards and 50th in rushing yards allowed per game. Buffalo averages 361.1 yards total offense per game and allows an average of 327.0 yards per game, which are 90th and 33rd, respectively.

Buffalo quarterback Ta’Quan Roberson has 1,947 yards passing with 13 touchdowns and nine interceptions. Buffalo's leading rusher is Al-Jay Henderson with 702 yards and five touchdowns, and the leading receiver is Nik McMillan with 712 yards and three touchdown receptions. Linebacker Red Murdock is the leading tackler with 114, which is 53 more than any other teammate. The Buffalo defense has made 34 quarterback sacks and intercepted six passes.

Key Injuries for Buffalo:

• LB Dion Crawford (undisclosed) is ? Has 61 tackles and 2.5 sacks.

Miami (OH) vs. Buffalo Pick

Spread Pick for Miami (OH)  vs. Buffalo

•  Buffalo Bulls (4 units)

Both teams have identical records of 5-5 overall and 4-2 in Mid-American Conference play. Statistically, both are solid on defense, allowing nearly the same number of points as Miami (OH) allows 21.9 points per game, and Buffalo allows 21.4 points per game. But the big difference heading into this important game with conference title game implications is Miami (OH) will play without its star Quarterback Dequan Finn, who has decided to prepare for the NFL Draft. This gives Buffalo a huge advantage in playing at home. Miami (OH) backup QB Henry Hesson has passed for fewer than 500 yards, lacks game-time experience, and does not have the dual-threat abilities that Finn has. Buffalo will use its defense to shut down the Miami (OH) offense, and the Bulls will force Hesson into making mistakes. Buffalo will take advantage of better field position but causing Miami (OH) to take three-and-outs more often than usual.

Over/Under Pick for Miami (OH) vs. Buffalo

• Under ( units)

The game will have two teams whose defenses are key to their winning. Miami (OH) is without its offensive leader, QB Finn. The total has finished under in four of Miami (OH)’s last five games against a team from the MAC East. The total has finished under in 10 of Buffalo’s last 15 games played at home. The weather could be a factor with temperatures expected around freezing.