Miami vs. Texas A&M Picks and Prediction for Saturday, December 20, 2025
Use Code WWWC Miami Hurricanes (10-2) vs. Texas A&M Aggies (11-1)
The College Football Playoff First Round continues Saturday, December 20, when the No. 10 Miami Hurricanes take on the No. 7 Texas A&M Aggies at Kyle Field in College Station, TX, so here’s our Miami vs. Texas A&M prediction along with the latest team stats, news, and odds update.
Miami meets Texas A&M for the first time since September 9, 2023, when the Hurricanes beat the Aggies 48-33 as 2.5-point road favorites. This time around, Miami is a 3.5-point road underdog, while the total sits at 48.5 points.
The kick-off at Kyle Field is set at noon ET, so let’s take a closer look at this Miami vs. Texas A&M prediction, one of our NCAAF picks for the first round of the playoffs.
Miami aims for its fifth straight W
The Miami Hurricanes (10-2; 7-5 ATS; 5-7 O/U) have been out of the playoff picture lately, but they jumped the Notre Dame Fighting Irish in the last set of rankings, mostly because the Hurricanes beat the Fighting Irish 27-24 in Week 1.
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Miami finished the regular season with a nice four-game winning streak. During that stretch, the Hurricanes have only allowed 34 points, beating Syracuse 38-10, NC State 41-7, Virginia Tech 34-17, and Pittsburgh 38-7 in the process.
In their regular-season finale, the Hurricanes routed the No. 22 Panthers as 6.5-point road favorites. Miami outgained Pittsburgh 416-229 in total yards, and senior QB Carson Beck led the way, going 23-of-29 for 267 yards, three touchdowns, and an interception.
Beck has thrown for 3,072 yards, 25 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions this season. Freshman wideout Malachi Toney has amassed 1,059 yards from scrimmage and eight touchdowns, while junior running back Mark Fletcher Jr. has recorded 792 yards from scrimmage and 11 touchdowns.
The Hurricanes score 34.1 points per game (tied for 20th in the country) and surrender just 13.8 points in return (6th). Their defense ranks seventh in the country in rushing yards (86.8 per game) and 30th in passing yards (190.9).
Senior DL Akheem Mesidor has been outstanding this season, tallying seven sacks and 12 tackles for loss across 11 games, while defensive backs Jakobe Thomas and Bryce Fitzgerald have accounted for four interceptions each.
Defensive back Keionte Scott suffered a foot injury in the NC State game and missed the final two games of the regular season. According to Miami head coach Mario Cristobal, Scott should be ready for Saturday’s game against Texas A&M. Scott has amassed 44 tackles, three sacks, and a pick this season.
Texas A&M looks to bounce back from a tough loss
The Texas A&M Aggies (11-1; 5-7 ATS; 8-4 O/U) suffered a 27-17 road defeat at No. 16 Texas in their regular-season finale. The Aggies’ first loss of the season cost them a place in the SEC championship game and a first-round bye in the College Football Playoff.
Texas A&M blew a 10-3 lead from halftime at Texas. The Aggies lost the turnover battle 2-0 and were outgained 397-337 in total yards. They went 4-for-14 on 3rd down and committed eight penalties for 62 yards.
Sophomore QB Marcel Reed struggled against the Longhorns, going 20-of-32 for 180 yards and two interceptions. He rushed 12 times for 71 yards, while senior running back EJ Smith and junior wideout KC Concepcion scored a rushing touchdown each.
Reed has tossed for 2,932 yards, 25 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions this season while rushing 89 times for 466 yards and six touchdowns. Running backs Rueben Owens and Le’Veon Moss have combined for 1,007 rushing yards and 11 touchdowns, while Concepcion has recorded 949 yards from scrimmage and 10 scores.
The Aggies tally 36.3 points per game (14th in the country) and allow 21.9 points in return (tied for 41st). Their defense is 38th in rushing yards (127.1 per game) and 21st in passing yards (182.8).
Keep your eyes on senior DE Cashius Howell, who’s been unstoppable this season. He’s posted a staggering 11.5 sacks and 14 tackles for loss across 12 games. Five Aggies have recorded at least three sacks, including junior linebacker Daymion Sanford, who’s forced two fumbles and had one interception.
Moss hasn’t played since October 11, when he suffered an ankle injury. According to Texas A&M head coach Mike Elko, three players are questionable for Saturday’s clash against Miami – Moss, linebacker Scooby Williams, and safety Bryce Anderson.
Miami vs. Texas A&M Pick
Spread Pick for Miami vs. Texas A&M
- Miami +3.5 (5 units)
The Aggies are undefeated in seven consecutive outings at home (2-5 ATS). Their fans are among the loudest in the country, so the Hurricanes will have a tall task to come out on top. However, it doesn’t mean the Hurricanes are not capable of keeping it close and beating the number.
Miami’s pass blocking has been excellent all season, and the Hurricanes should be able to slow down the Aggies’ pass rush. The Hurricanes are a tough defensive unit. Their run D is one of the best in the nation and surrenders just 2.9 yards per carry. Moreover, the Hurricanes have forced 11 more turnovers than the Aggies.
On the other side, the Aggies allow 4.0 yards per carry. Miami has three running backs who can hurt Texas A&M’s defense. I expect the Hurricanes to rush a lot, lean on their defense, and cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for Miami vs. Texas A&M
- Under 48.5 (5 units)
Just two days ago, the total was sitting at 51.5 points. Everyone’s expecting a tight, low-scoring affair, and I cannot argue about it. I have to take the under, though this 48.5-point line is a sharp one.
Miami’s defense has been terrific lately. As I noted above, the Hurricanes allow just 2.9 yards per carry. I think they have enough weapons to slow the Aggies down.
The Hurricanes should pound the rock in this matchup. The Aggies’ pass rush is excellent, so the Hurricanes have to minimize its influence on the game.
The under has hit in six of Miami’s last nine games overall. On the other side, the over is 5-2 in Texas A&M’s previous seven outings at any location.
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