Michigan vs. TCU, Prediction and Pick, Friday, November 14, 2025
Use Code WWWC We have an early-season non-conference matchup in college basketball featuring this Michigan vs. TCU prediction. Last season, these teams met in Ann Arbor, with the Wolverines winning 74-64 and covering the 7 points. No. 6 Michigan (2-0) travels to Texas to take on TCU (3-0), where both programs meet on Friday night at 9pmET. If you want more winners, check out our college basketball picks and free winners in the other major sports.
Quick Picks and Prediction on Michigan vs. TCU
Check out a quick pick with side and total if you're in a hurry.
- Michigan 73-TCU 69
- TCU +6.5
- Under 155
Michigan vs. TCU Odds and Line Movement
Check out the odds, line movements, money lines and opening odds with totals from Michigan vs. TCU.
Opening Odds for Michigan vs. TCU
- Opening Odds: Michigan -6.5 (-110)
- Total: 155 (-110)
- Money Line: Michigan -355; TCU +265
(odds from Caesar's Sportsbook; ML from FanDuel)
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Michigan vs. TCU Line Movement
- The total moved from 155.5 (-110) to 157.5 (-110)
- The Money line moved from Michigan -335/TCU +265 to Michigan -350/TCU+275
- The spread moved from Michigan -6.5 (-110) to -7.5 (-110)
Key Matchups for Michigan vs. TCU
Wolverines need overtime to edge Wake
Michigan needed overtime to edge Wake Forest on Tuesday despite going 4-for-25 from beyond the arc. Aday Marfa led the way with 18 points, 13 rebounds, six assists and five blocks. Elliot Cadeau, the North Carolina transfer, added 17 points, including a free throw late in overtime, to help the Wolverines secure the victory.
KenPom has Michigan as their 15th-ranked team, 22nd in Adjusted Offense, and 10th in Adjusted Defensive Efficiency. Mara is a 7-3, 255-pound center from Spain, who played sparingly at UCLA for two seasons and appears to have found something at Michigan with 15 points, 12.5 rebounds, 4 assists and 5.0 blocks per game. Morez Johnson, an Illinois transfer who averaged 7.1 points per game, leads the Wolverines with 17 points and 5.5 rebounds per game. Yaxel Lendeborg, a preseason All-American, is averaging 10.5 points and 4.5 rebounds, while shooting 47.1% from the field.
TCU looking for big upset
TCU hosted No. 1 Kansas in 2003, which was the last time a team ranked as high as sixth visited Fort Worth. The Horned Frogs have won two straight after a shocking 78-74 home loss to New Orleans as a 21-point favorite. They bounced back with a 104-63 win over St. Francis (PA), before beating Lamar 78-65. Jayden Pierre led the Horned Frogs with 18 points on 8-of-12 shooting.
Head coach Jamie Dixon (10th season) has an interesting squad led by Pierre, a transfer from Providence, and David Punch (6-7, 246). His teams are usually rugged and defend well. Punch is one of those rugged players who averages 14 points, 6.7 rebounds and 2.3 blocks. Sophomore Michah Robinson (6-6, 232) adds 12.7 points and 6.3 rebounds.
Betting Trends for Michigan vs. TCU
Michigan:
- 4-1 Under last 5 on the road.
TCU:
- 1-4 ATS last 5 games.
- 16-4 SU last 20 games at home.
Key Injuries and Analysis for Michigan vs. TCU
None for either team.
Michigan vs. TCU ATS and Over/Under Betting Picks
Below, I'll have my pick and total with an analysis of why I liked the pick and total. It's early in the season and both teams have key transfers. Who is more ready to play this game?
Michigan vs. TCU Spread
- TCU +6.5 (4 units)
Total for Michigan vs. TCU
- Under 155 (4 units)
Michigan vs. TCU Final Score Prediction
- Michigan 73-TCU 69
Michigan needed overtime at home to beat Wake Forest. Are they more talented? Sure, but Dixon's clubs are usually physical and methodical. This TCU squad is 163rd in Adjusted Tempo according to KenPom, so they want to be more deliberate than Michigan and they need to get the win. Expect the Horned Frogs to pack it in some and double-team Mara to force Michigan to make threes.
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