Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. New Mexico State Aggies Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 29, 2025
A pair of Conference USA programs take to the field looking to pick up a win in the Land of Enchantment when the Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders travel to face the New Mexico State Aggies Saturday afternoon and we have you covered with our Middle Tennessee vs. New Mexico State prediction. Middle Tennessee dropped Sam Houston State 31-17 at home last Saturday in their previous contest, covering the line as a 6.5-point favorite. New Mexico State beat UTEP 34-31 on the road in their previous game last Saturday, winning outright as a 3.5-point underdog. In the all-time series between the teams, the Aggies own a 4-3 advantage and have won the last three meetings, including a 36-21 road win in the most recent matchup November 23, 2024. Read more about this Middle Tennessee vs. New Mexico State prediction! Don’t get penalized! Increase your bankroll with our NCAAF Betting Picks!
Sign Up for Winners and Whiners News Alerts, Get Free Picks and Discounts
Subscribe Now
Middle Tennessee Looking to Finish Season With Back-to-Back Wins
Middle Tennessee snapped a seven-game skid as they took down Sam Houston State at home last Saturday in their previous contest. The Blue Raiders improved to 2-9 overall and stand 1-6 in Conference USA on the season. Against Sam Houston State, Middle Tennessee trailed 10-0 after the opening quarter before getting in gear. The Blue Raiders tied the game at 10 at intermission and then scored the first 21 points of the second half to take a 31-10 lead en route to the win. Middle Tennessee rolled up a 460-360 edge in total offense, picked up 24 first downs while allowing 20 and forced the game’s only turnover. Those numbers offset the fact that the Blue Raiders were edged 30:35 to 29:25 in time of possession in the contest.
On the season, the Blue Raiders are 31st in the FBS in passing offense as they average 267.2 yards per game through the air. Middle Tennessee stands just 130th among the 136 FBS teams to play so far this season in rushing offense as they average 96.5 yards per game on the ground. The Blue Raiders are 111th in scoring offense with an average of 21.6 points per game. Middle Tennessee struggles defensively as well, ranking 118th in scoring defense by allowing 31.5 points per contest. Nicholas Vattiato is 218 of 356 passing for 2,150 yards with 16 touchdowns and seven interceptions this season. Roman Gagliano is 54 of 93 for 751 yards and four scores while adding 133 yards and two scores on the ground as the backup quarterback this season. Jekail Middlebrook leads the team on the ground with 120 carries for 657 yards and four scores this season. Rickey Hunt Jr. (34 carries, 111 yards, TD) and DJ Taylor (22 carries, 122 yards, TD) are also in the mix on the ground. Nahzae Cox is one of the team’s top targets as he has reeled in 40 passes for 473 yards and five scores on the year. Myles Butler (44 catches, 449 yards, two TD), Cam’ron Lacy (36 receptions, 534 yards, three TD), Middlebrook (39 grabs, 400 yards, three TD), Amorion Walker (15 receptions, 201 yards, TD) and Hunter Tipton (35 grabs, 378 yards, three TD) are each over the 200-yard mark in receiving yards on the year. Jacob Hathaway has hit all 23 extra point attempts and 10 of 13 field goal attempts this season with a long of 50 this season. Zach Benedict hit his lone extra point attempt while not attempting a field goal on the year.
Key Injury Report for Middle Tennessee:
- Quarterback Nicholas Vattiato (undisclosed) is questionable.
Aggies Seeking to Close Season Strong
New Mexico State had dropped five straight and seven of their last eight games before upending UTEP on the road last week. The Aggies improved to 4-7 overall on the year and stand 2-5 in Conference USA action entering the finale. Against UTEP, New Mexico State trailed 21-0 after the opening quarter before getting back on track. The Aggies were tied at 21 at the half and at 24 after three quarters before falling behind 31-27 with 56 seconds remaining. New Mexico State drove 75 yards in six plays, capped by a 10-yard TD pass to TK King with 21 seconds to play, to earn the win. The Aggies owned a 470-399 advantage in total offense, recorded 27 first downs while allowing 20 and controlled the clock by a 36:44 to 23:16 margin. Those numbers helped make up for a pair of turnovers while forcing just one takeaway.
In 2025, the Aggies are 51st in the nation in passing offense with 245.2 yards per game while they are 135th in rushing offense with 76.6 yards per contest. New Mexico State stands 113th in the FBS in scoring offense as they put up an average of 21.4 points per game while they are 84th in scoring defense by allowing 27.3 points per contest. Logan Fife is 204 of 362 passing for 2,240 yards with 11 touchdowns against 12 interceptions while adding a score on the ground. Adam Damante (41 of 60, 400 yards, three TD, two INT) is the backup quarterback. Kadarius Calloway leads the ground game with 106 carries for 401 yards and three scores on the ground. Dijon Stanley (67 carries, 293 yards, two TD) and Isaiah Rudison (39 carries, 144 yards, two TD) are also involved in the run game. Donovan Faupel leads the team with 61 receptions for 661 yards and seven scores on the year. Tight end Gavin Harris (34 catches, 486 yards, TD), TK King (31 grabs, 410 yards, TD), PJ Johnson III (24 catches, 314 yards, three TD) and Brodie Malone-Bradford (19 grabs, 213 yards, two TD) are each over 200 receiving yards on the year. Ryan Hawk is 19 of 20 on extra point attempts and 15 of 21 on field goal attempts with a long of 50 on the season. David Barker is four of five on extra point attempts and three of three on field goal attempts with a long of 46 this year.
Key Injury Report for New Mexico State:
- Quarterback Logan Fife (undisclosed) is questionable.
- Kicker Ryan Hawk (undisclosed) is questionable.
Middle Tennessee vs. New Mexico State Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Earle Sports Bets | +2,298.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,840.00 |
| 3 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,757.00 |
| 4 |  David Hess | +1,745.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +987.00 |
Middle Tennessee vs. New Mexico State Spread Pick
- New Mexico State Aggies -3.5 (4 units)
Both teams snapped lengthy losing skids last week as Middle Tennessee got back on track after a seven-game slide while New Mexico State snapped a five-game skid by prevailing on the road. The starting quarterback situation is murky for both sides as both Vattiato and Fife are questionable for this contest. Neither team does a ton offensively, especially when it comes to running the ball. Middle Tennessee is 1-4 on the road this season while New Mexico State is 3-2 at home on the year. The Aggies are the better team right now and they come up with the home victory in the season finale.
Middle Tennessee vs. New Mexico State Over/Under Pick
- Under 53 (4 units)
Middle Tennessee has stayed under the number in six of their 11 games on the year. The Blue Raiders offense has sputtered and it’s hard to see them generating much in the way of offensive production. Middle Tennessee have gone over the total in three of their five road games this season, mainly because they have surrendered 42 points in three of those contests. We don’t have to worry about that kind of firepower from New Mexico State, who has scored 21 points or less in eight of their 11 games. The Aggies have stayed under the number in seven of their 11 contests. Watch for this game to fall short of the total as each team struggles to move the ball.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
Bet $5 & Get $150
