Middle Tennessee State vs. Western Kentucky, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, November 15, 2025
Middle Tennessee State (1-8, 0-5 C-USA) will be trying to pick up their first conference win of the season when they visit Houchens Industries Stadium on Saturday afternoon to face Western Kentucky (7-2, 5-1 C-USA) at 3:30 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Blue Raiders vs. Hilltoppers prediction. Don’t get penalized! Increase your bankroll with our NCAAF Betting Picks!
The Blue Raiders are coming off a 56-30 loss to Florida International as 1.5-point favorites. The Hilltoppers are coming off a 35-16 win over New Mexico State as 7.5-point favorites.
Western Kentucky is 9-1 in its last 10 games against Middle Tennessee State. The Hilltoppers won last season’s meeting, 49-21.
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Middle Tennessee State Trying To Snap Six-Game Losing Streak
The Blue Raiders haven’t played well this season, with one win in nine games. They have lost six straight games and will try to put an end to the streak with a win on Saturday.
Middle Tennessee State averages 20.1 points per game, which is 119th in the nation. They throw for 253.6 yards and rush for 79.7 yards per game.
Nicholas Vattiato has completed 61 percent of his passes for 2,150 yards, 16 touchdowns, and seven interceptions. Jekail Middlebrook leads the team with 105 carries for 551 yards and four touchdowns, while Nahzae Cox leads the team with 38 catches for 446 yards and five touchdowns.
Middle Tennessee State is giving up 32 points per game, which is 120th in the nation. They’re giving up 239.6 passing yards and 144.5 rushing yards per game.
Injuries: S-Jared Douglas (Undisclosed), WR-Neo Clifton (Undisclosed), CB-Trevon Ferrell (Undisclosed), WR-Ben Hubbard (Undisclosed), WR-Tyree Patterson (Undisclosed), and RB-Austin Clemons (Undisclosed) have been ruled out of this game.
Western Kentucky Going For Third Consecutive Win
The Hilltoppers bounced back from their loss to Florida International with wins over Louisiana Tech and New Mexico State. They are third in the Conference USA standings, one game behind Kennesaw State and Jacksonville State, who are tied for the conference lead, and will try to move up the standings with a win on Saturday.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Earle Sports Bets | +1,154.00 |
| 2 |  David Hess | +868.00 |
| 3 |  Stephen Nover | +634.00 |
| 4 |  Rob Vincilleti | +600.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +547.00 |
Western Kentucky averages 30.3 points per game, which is 53rd in the nation. They throw for 287.8 yards and rush for 121.9 yards per game.
Maverick McIvor has completed 67 percent of his passes for 1,863 yards, 12 touchdowns, and five interceptions. Marvis Parrish leads the team with 68 carries for 325 yards, while Matthew Henry leads the team with 35 catches for 568 yards and five touchdowns.
Western Kentucky is giving up 22.8 points per game, which is 57th in the nation. They’re giving up 217.9 passing yards and 180.8 rushing yards per game.
Injuries: QB-Maverick McIvor (Shoulder), TE-Noah Myers (Undisclosed), and WR-Jairus Mack (Undisclosed) are questionable for this game.
Middle Tennessee State vs. Western Kentucky Picks
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rob Vincilleti | +1,778.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,716.00 |
| 3 | David Hess | +1,326.00 |
| 4 | Earle Sports Bets | +1,323.00 |
| 5 | Dan Kaiser | +1,071.00 |
Point Spread Pick for Middle Tennessee vs. Western Kentucky
- Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -13 (4 Units)
The Hilltoppers have won five of their last six games, while the Blue Raiders have lost six straight games. Western Kentucky has the edge here because they’re very good offensively, with one of the best passing games in the nation. The Blue Raiders have one of the worst pass defenses in the nation, and they play worse on the road, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Hilltoppers.
Middle Tennessee State will have a hard time keeping up offensively because they’re one-dimensional offensively, with one of the worst ground games in the nation. The Hilltoppers don’t have to worry about getting beaten on the ground, which will allow them to keep pressure on Vattiato and force him to make costly mistakes. Take Western Kentucky to cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for Middle Tennessee State vs. Western Kentucky
- Under 55 (4 Units)
The Blue Raiders played under the total in three of their last five games, while the Hilltoppers played under the total in five of their last six games. Middle Tennessee State averages 20.1 points per game. They throw the ball 64 percent of the time with the 25th-ranked passing game in the nation, and they’re facing a team that is 55th against the pass and is giving up 22.8 points per game. The Hilltoppers average 30.3 points per game. They throw the ball 56 percent of the time with the 22nd-ranked passing attack in the nation, and they’re facing a team that is 90th against the pass and is giving up 32 points per game. Don’t expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total. The Blue Raiders and Hilltoppers played under the total in two of their last three meetings.
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