Missouri State vs Kennesaw State Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 22, 2025

By: Kevin V. Published 11/20/2025, 06:30 PM ET
Missouri State vs Kennesaw State Picks and Prediction
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Two Conference USA rivals with identical records face off on the gridiron on Saturday when the Missouri State Bears (7-3, 5-1 CUSA) visit the Kennesaw State Owls (7-3, 5-1 CUSA). Missouri State defeated UTEP 38-24 last Saturday for its 5th consecutive win. Kennesaw State lost to Jacksonville State 35-26 last week and knocked the Owls out of first place in conference play, snapping a seven-game winning streak. Both Missouri State and Kennesaw State are 1 ยฝ games behind first place in conference play with two games remaining. Make sure to read this in-depth Missouri State Bears vs Kennesaw State Owls prediction. Kickoff confidence! Unlock expert insights with our NCAAF picks for Missouri State vs. Kennesaw State prediction.

Missouri State is performing better on defense than on offense

The Missouri State Bears score an average of 24.1 points (93rd) per game and allow an average of 25.7 points (77th) per game. Missouri State is 34th in passing yards per game and 121st in rushing yards. The Bears average 375.1 yards of total offense per game, which is 79th. Missouri State's defense is 56th in rushing yards allowed and 71st in passing yards allowed per game. The Bears allow an average of 364.2 yards per game, which is 58th.

Missouri State quarterback Jacob Clark has 2,257 yards passing with 19 touchdowns and eight interceptions. Shomari Lawrence leads all rushers for Missouri State with 707 yards and five touchdowns, while the leading receiver is Jmariyae Robinson with 438 yards and four touchdown receptions. Linebacker Jalen Brooks is the leading tackler with 60. Missouri State's defense has made 17 quarterback sacks and intercepted eight passes.

Injuries: Missouri State will play without TE Gary Clinton and RB Sage White, while two others are questionable.

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Kennesaw State is slightly below average on offense but strong on defense

The Kennesaw State Owls score an average of 26.0ย  points (77th) per game and allow an average of 22.5 points (46th) per game. Kennesaw State is 58th in rushing yards and 67th in passing yards per game. The Owls average 398.6 yards of total offense per game, which is 62nd. The Kennesaw State defense is 84th in rushing yards allowed and 87th in passing yards allowed per game. The Owls allow an average of 389.8 yards per game, which is 83rd.

Kennesaw State quarterback Amari Odom has 1,512 yards passing with eight touchdowns and six interceptions. Coleman Bennett is the leading rusher for Kennesaw State with 515 yards and a pair of touchdowns, while the leading receiver is Gabriel Benyard with 668 yards and five touchdown receptions. Kennesaw State linebacker Baron Hopson is the leading tackler with 96, which is 52 more than any other teammate. The Owlsโ€™ defense has made 25 quarterback sacks and intercepted five passes.

Injuries: Kennesaw State will play without TE Rowan Darnell, WR Navelle Dean, K Daniel Kinney, and TE Semaj Parker.

Kennesaw State vs. Missouri State Pick

Spread Pick for Kennesaw State vs. Missouri State

  • ย Kennesaw State Owls -6.5 (4 units)

Kennesaw State is performing very well on defense, holding opponents to an average of 22.5 points per game, while at the same time scoring an average of 26.0 points per game. Kennesaw Stateโ€™s offense is balanced as the Owls average 166.5 yards per game on the ground and 232.1 yards per game through the air. Missouri State is 77th in points allowed at 25.7 per game and is giving up 222.1 yards per game through the air, which Kennesaw State will take advantage of. Kennesaw State has covered the spread in five of its last seven games. These two teams are very evenly matched statistically, and the game will likely be decided late in the fourth quarter. With Kennesaw State playing at home, the advantage goes to the Owls in this one.

Over/Under Pick for Kennesaw State vs. Missouri State

  • Under 57.5 (4 units)

Missouri State is 77th in points allowed at 25.7 points per game and is 66th in takeaways, creating eight turnovers, which stalls opponentsโ€™ drives. Kennesaw State is 46th in points allowed, at 22.5 points per game. The total has finished under in 8 of Missouri State's last nine games and in five of the last six games that the Bears have played against a team from Conference USA. The total has also finished under in six of Kennesaw State's last seven games played at home on a Saturday.

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