Missouri vs. Arkansas, Odds, Preview, Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 29, 2025
The Arkansas Razorbacks (2-9, 0-7 SEC) will host the Missouri Tigers 7-4. 3-4 SEC) in the Battle Line Rivalry. Missouri leads the all-time series 11-4, including the last three straight. Last season in Columbia, the Tigers won 28-21.
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Missouri Looking to Finish the Regular Season Strong
Missouri has dropped three of its last four games and is coming off a 17–6 loss to Oklahoma. The Tigers remain balanced offensively, averaging 437.3 yards per game (27th in FBS), with 211.2 passing yards (85th) and 226.1 rushing yards (9th). They score 32.3 points per game (39th) and rank 12th nationally in time of possession thanks to their dominant ground game.
Quarterback Beau Pribula has missed two games but still leads the Tigers with 1,921 passing yards, 11 touchdowns, and 9 interceptions. After not playing in the losses to Texas A&M or Mississippi State, Pribula returned and struggled last week, going 20-for-36 with 231 yards and two interceptions against Oklahoma.
Ahmad Hardy, who ran wild for 300 yards against Mississippi State, was limited to 57 yards on 17 carries by Oklahoma. Even with that setback, Hardy is second in the nation with 1,403 rushing yards while averaging 6.6 yards per attempt with 15 touchdowns. Kevin Coleman Jr. leads the receiving corps with 63 catches for 715 yards, though he has only one touchdown.
Missouri’s defense has kept them competitive in the SEC. The Tigers allow just 274.8 total yards per game (10th nationally), including 170.2 passing yards (18th) and 104.6 rushing yards (19th). They give up only 19.6 points per game, ranking 22nd in the country.
Arkansas Looking to Avoid a 10th Straight Loss
Arkansas opened the season with blowout non-conference wins over Alabama A&M and Arkansas State but has since dropped nine straight. After a 2–3 start and a 56–13 loss to Notre Dame, head coach Sam Pittman was fired and replaced by Bobby Petrino. Last week’s 52–37 loss to Texas wasn’t even as close as the final score, with the Razorbacks trailing 52–23 late in the fourth quarter.
The biggest issues for Arkansas have been defense and turnovers. Arkansas allowed 432.3 yards per game (126th in FBS). Opponents are throwing for 258.7 yards (123rd) and rushing for 173.5 yards (102nd) per game. As a team, the Razorbacks surrender 34.1 points per game, also 126th nationally, and they are 130th with a -12 turnover margin.
The offense has tried to keep Arkansas in games. The Razorbacks move the ball extremely well, averaging 473.8 yards per game (11th in FBS). They throw for 270.0 yards (29th) and run for 203.8 yards (20th) while scoring 34.4 points per game, ranking 23rd.
Taylen Green has thrown for 2,655 yards with 19 touchdowns and 11 interceptions while completing 61.3 percent of his passes. Mike Washington leads the rushing attack with 1,018 yards and eight touchdowns, and O’Mega Blake has posted 707 receiving yards and four scores on 53 receptions.
Missouri vs Arkansas Predictions
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Earle Sports Bets | +2,298.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,840.00 |
| 3 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,757.00 |
| 4 |  David Hess | +1,745.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +987.00 |
Missouri vs Arkansas Moneyline Pick:
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Arkansas +125 (4 units)
Arkansas hasn’t quit. Even at 0–6 under Petrino, the Razorbacks continue to fight. Four of those six defeats have been by three points or fewer (Tennessee, Texas A&M, Mississippi State, and LSU). The defense is a mess, but the offense absolutely has the firepower to match scores, and with Pribula clearly not 100 percent, Missouri becomes more one-dimensional offensively.
Despite their 2–9 record, Arkansas sits 37th in the College Football Power Index and has faced the third-toughest schedule in the country. At home, with nothing to lose, this sets up as a nice spot for a team that’s far better than its record. I expect an inspired effort and an aggressive game plan for Petrino.
I’m on Arkansas to win this outright.
Missouri vs Arkansas Total Pick:
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Over 55.5 (5 units)
If I’m taking Arkansas to win, the over has to be the play. The Razorbacks aren’t winning a defensive slugfest; they rank near the bottom nationally in yards and points allowed, and opponents consistently hit explosive plays on them. Missouri will move the ball on the ground, but Arkansas will punch back.
The Razorbacks are 5–2 to the over in conference games and 5–1 to the over at home. Missouri’s defense is strong, but Petrino is going to be aggressive and creative, dialing up ways to put his offense in scoring situations.
Both teams should have sustained drives, both should finish possessions with points, and the pace points toward scoring.
Take the over.
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