Nevada vs. Utah State, Odds, Preview, Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 8, 2025
Use Code WWWC Nevada Wolf Pack (1-7) vs. Utah State Aggies (4-4)
Week 11 of the 2025 college football season is upon us, and in this preview, we are breaking down the Mountain West Conference showdown from Maverik Stadium in Logan, UT, to get you the best Nevada vs. Utah State prediction for Saturday night.
The Wolf Pack take on the Aggies for the first time since November 11, 2023, when Utah State beat Nevada 41-24 as a 14.5-point home favorite. The Aggies are 9.5-point home favorites this time around, while the total sits at 52.5 points. Both Utah State and Nevada are coming off a bye.
Read more about this Nevada vs. Utah State prediction, and check out all our NCAAF picks for Week 11. The kick-off at Maverik Stadium is set at 7:30 PM ET.
Nevada hopes to break out of its funk
The Nevada Wolf Pack (1-7; 3-4-1 ATS; 2-6 O/U) are winless in six straight outings. Since the start of conference play, the Wolf Pack have gone 0-4 SU and 2-1-1 ATS, losing against Fresno State 20-17, San Diego State 44-10, New Mexico 24-22, and Boise State 24-3.
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Nevada held Boise State to 309 total yards last time out. However, the Wolf Pack lost the turnover battle 5-1. Freshman QB Carter Jones threw for 144 yards and three interceptions, while freshman RB Herschel Turner led the way with seven carries for 77 yards.
The Wolf Pack’s offense has been terrible all season. Nevada scores just 14.0 points per game (133rd in the nation) on 157.6 passing yards (124th) and 137.8 rushing yards (89th). Senior QB Chubba Purdy was benched after going 0-for-4 with two interceptions against Fresno State, and Jones has thrown for 661 yards, three touchdowns, and six interceptions across three starts and two relief appearances this season.
On the other side of the ball, the Wolf Pack allow 27.5 points per game (90th) on 212.3 passing yards (61st) and 154.1 rushing yards (81st). Junior DL Dylan Labarbera leads the charge with 69 tackles and 6.5 sacks. Nevada has accounted for 18 sacks, five interceptions, and three recovered fumbles this season.
Utah State is fighting for bowl eligibility
The Utah State Aggies (4-4; 6-2 ATS; 4-4 O/U) started their 2025 campaign with three wins in four games. Since then, the Aggies have gone 1-3 SU and 2-2 ATS. They are 2-2 in conference play, and the Aggies are coming off a disappointing 33-14 defeat at New Mexico in Week 9.
Playing as slight 3-point road dogs, the Aggies held the ball in possession for just 21:44 at University Stadium in Albuquerque, NM. They racked up 306 total yards and gave up 407 in return. Senior RB Miles Davis led the way for Utah State with 10 carries for 110 yards and a touchdown, while senior QB Bryson Barnes threw for 164 yards, a touchdown, and an interception.
The Aggies posted one tackle for loss and zero sacks against New Mexico. Their defense has struggled all season, and the Aggies allow 31.8 points per game (118th in the country) on 185.8 passing yards (117th) and 258.3 passing yards (119th).
On the other side of the ball, the Aggies tally 31.5 points per game (tied for 49th) on 160.3 rushing yards (62nd) and 252.9 passing yards (44th). Barnes has thrown for 1,808 yards, 14 touchdowns, and just three interceptions this season while scoring seven times on his own. Davis has amassed 719 yards from scrimmage and seven touchdowns.
Nevada vs. Utah State Pick
Spread Pick for Nevada vs. Utah State
- Utah State -9.5 (5 units)
The Aggies are perfect at home this season. They’ve gone 6-0 SU and ATS in their previous six showings at Maverik Stadium, and I expect the Aggies to extend their winning streak when the Wolf Pack come to town.
Nevada’s offense can only play better than it did against Boise State. The Aggies have struggled to defend all season, but I’m not sure that Nevada is good enough to keep it close for 60 minutes. The Wolf Pack’s defense will be properly tested, as the Aggies will play much better at home than they did against New Mexico on the road two weeks ago.
Over/Under Pick for Nevada vs. Utah State
- Over 52.5 (5 units)
The Aggies have scored 127 points over their previous three showings at home, and each of those three contests has seen more than 52 points on the scoreboard. I will ride this betting trend, as I’m expecting the Wolf Pack to get things going offensive-wise.
Utah State shouldn’t have too many problems moving the ball against Nevada, but the Aggies don’t look like they are capable of shutting the Wolf Pack down. That tells a lot about Utah State’s defense because Nevada has been one of the worst offensive teams in the country all season.
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