New Mexico State vs. Western Kentucky, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, November 1, 2025
Use Code WWWC New Mexico State (3-4, 1-3 C-USA) will be trying to snap their two-game losing streak when they visit Houchens Industries Stadium on Saturday afternoon to face Western Kentucky (6-2, 4-1 C-USA) at 3:30 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Aggies vs. Hilltoppers prediction. Don’t get penalized! Increase your bankroll with our NCAAF Betting Picks!
The Aggies are coming off a 24-17 overtime loss to Missouri State as 2.5-point underdogs. The Hilltoppers are coming off a 28-27 win over Louisiana Tech as 5.5-point underdogs.
New Mexico State and Western Kentucky split their two meetings. The Hilltoppers won last season’s meeting, 41-28.
New Mexico State Trying To Snap Three-Game Road Losing Streak
The Aggies followed up their win over Sam Houston with losses to Liberty and Missouri State. They have also lost three straight road games, and will try to put an end to both streaks with a win on Saturday. In their loss to Missouri State, last Wednesday, they were down 17-10 in the fourth quarter, before scoring 10 points to tie the game and send it to overtime. The Bears scored and the Aggies were held scoreless as Missouri State took the win in overtime on a Jacob Clark pass to Ronnel Johnson. Logan Fife had a rough game for New Mexico State, with 207 yards and a TD, but also threw four picks.
Get Free $30 Credit for Premium Picks + Exclusive Discounts
Subscribe Now
New Mexico State averages 22.1 points per game, which is 106th in the nation. They throw for 250.7 yards and rush for 68.7 yards per game.
Logan Fife has completed 58 percent of his passes for 1,721 yards, nine touchdowns, and eight interceptions. Kadarius Calloway leads the team with 73 carries for 280 yards and three touchdowns, while Donovan Faupel leads the team with 36 catches for 447 yards and three touchdowns.
New Mexico State is giving up 24 points per game, which is 65th in the nation. They’re giving up 251 passing yards and 155.8 rushing yards per game.
Injuries: RB-Tim Gans (Undisclosed) and AJ Williams (Undisclosed) are questionable for this game.
Western Kentucky Going For Second Consecutive Win
The Hilltoppers bounced back from their loss to Florida International with a win over Louisiana Tech in their last game, making them bowl eligible in the process. Rodney Tisdale started for Western Kentucky for the einured Maverick McIvor and threw for 227 yards with one TD and one INT, but also rushed for 73 yards to help lead the Hilltoppers to the victory.
Western Kentucky averages 29.8 points per game, which is 62nd in the nation. They throw for 286.1 yards and rush for 121.1 yards per game.
Maverick McIvor has completed 67 percent of his passes for 1,863 yards, 12 touchdowns, and five interceptions. He's listed as questionable for this game. Marvis Parrish leads the team with 61 carries for 291 yards, while Matthew Henry leads the team with 28 catches for 487 yards and three touchdowns.
Western Kentucky is giving up 23.6 points per game, which is 60th in the nation. They’re giving up 233.3 passing yards and 197.1 rushing yards per game.
Injuries: QB- Maverick McIvor (Shoulder), TE-Noah Myers (Undisclosed), WR-Jairus Mack (Undisclosed), and QB-Tucker Parks (Undisclosed) are questionable for this game.
New Mexico State vs. Western Kentucky Picks
Point Spread Pick for New Mexico State vs. Western Kentucky
- Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -8.5 (4 Units)
The Hilltoppers have won four of their last five games, while the Aggies have lost four of their last five games. Western Kentucky has the edge here because they’re very good offensively, even if Tisdale Jr. starts at QB due to his ability to pass and run. The Aggies aren’t very good defensively, and they’re one of the worst teams when it comes to defending the pass, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Hilltoppers. New Mexico State will have a hard time keeping up with the Hilltoppers because they’re one-dimensional offensively, with one of the worst ground games in the country, and a decent passing attack. The Hilltoppers don’t have to worry about the Aggies beating them on the ground, which will allow them to keep pressure on New Mexico State’s quarterback and force him to make costly mistakes. Take Western Kentucky to cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for New Mexico State vs. Western Kentucky
- Under 52.5 (4 Units)
The Aggies played under the total in two of their last three games, while the Hilltoppers played under the total in four of their last five games. New Mexico State averages 22.1 points per game. They throw the ball 58 percent of the time with the 38th-ranked passing attack in the country, and they’re facing a team that is 79th against the pass and is giving up 23.6 points per game. The Hilltoppers average 29.8 points per game. They throw the ball 57 percent of the time with the 23rd-best passing attack in the country, and they’re facing a team that is 99th against the pass and is giving up 24 points per game. Don’t expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total.
Betting on College Football?
- Bet with other College Football fans at the best sportsbooks
- Sign up today and get started with the latest college football sportsbook promos
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
