North Carolina vs. Wake Forest, Odds, Preview, Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 15, 2025
Use Code WWWC A pair of ACC programs take to the field looking to pick up a win in a Tobacco Road rivalry when the North Carolina Tar Heels travel to face the Wake Forest Demon Deacons Saturday afternoon and we have you covered with our North Carolina vs. Wake Forest prediction. North Carolina took down Stanford 20-15 at home last Saturday, failing to cover the line as a nine-point favorite in their previous game. Wake Forest upset #14 Virginia 16-9 on the road in their previous contest last Saturday, winning outright as a 6.5-point underdog. In the all-time series between the teams, the Tar Heels own a 73-36-2 advantage and have won the last four meetings, including a 31-24 home win in the most recent matchup on November 16, 2024. Read more about this North Carolina vs. Wake Forest prediction! Don’t get penalized! Increase your bankroll with our NCAAF Betting Picks!
North Carolina Looking for Third Straight Win
North Carolina won their second straight game as they took down Stanford at home in their previous game and look to continue a late-season push. The Tar Heels improved to 4-5 on the year overall and stand 2-3 in ACC play on the year. Against Stanford, North Carolina was even at three at the half before reeling off 17 unanswered points to take a 20-3 edge with 12:04 remaining. The Tar Heels saw Stanford score a pair of touchdowns late but hung on for the victory. North Carolina was beaten 320-253 in total offense, gave up 22 first downs while picking up 13, and lost time of possession by a 32:37 to 27:23 margin. The Tar Heels did force a pair of turnovers while committing only one in the win.
For the year, the Tar Heels are 113th in the nation in passing offense with 178 yards per game through the air and 117th in rushing offense by picking up 115.1 yards per contest on the ground. North Carolina is 123rd in the FBS in scoring offense as they put up 19.4 points per game but stand 37th in scoring defense by allowing 21.3 points per contest. Gio Lopez is 117 of 182 passing for 1,224 yards with eight touchdowns and five interceptions while adding 119 rushing yards plus two scores. Max Johnson (46 of 72, 378 yards, two TD, 10 rush yards) has also seen action. The run game is anchored by Demon June, who has run the ball 67 times for 420 yards and two scores. Davion Gause (52 carries, 191 yards, two TD) and Benjamin Hall (55 carries, 215 yards, two TD) have been effective in their work as well. Jordan Shipp leads the team with 40 receptions for 467 yards and four scores on the year. Kobe Paysour (20 grabs, 286 yards, TD), June (12 catches, 117 yards, TD), Javarius Green (10 receptions, 116 yards) and Chris Culliver (five catches, 100 yards, TD) are over the century mark in receiving yards. Rece Verhoff has hit 17 of 17 extra point attempts and 12 of 14 field goal attempts with a long of 49 this season.
Demon Deacons Try to Build Off Upset
Wake Forest bounced back from a thrashing at Florida State as they upset #14 Virginia on the road last week. The Demon Deacons improved to 6-3 overall on the year, 3-3 in ACC play, as they try to build momentum. Against Virginia, Wake Forest trailed 6-0 late in the first half before Carlos Hernandez returned a punt 88 yards for a score to give them a 7-6 lead they wouldn’t relinquish. The Demon Deacons led 10-6 at the half and held on for the win from there. Wake Forest was outgained 327-203 in total offense, gave up 13 first downs while picking up 12, owned a 31:42 to 28:18 edge in time of possession, and forced three turnovers without committing one.
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The Demon Deacons enter this game 86th in the nation in passing offense with 215.6 yards per game through the air and 86th in rushing offense with an average of 141.1 yards per contest. Wake Forest is 101st in the FBS in scoring offense as they average 23.3 points per game, while they stand 31st in scoring defense by allowing 20.3 points a contest. Robby Ashford is 114 of 199 passing for 1,344 yards with three touchdowns and five interceptions while ranking second on the team with 344 yards and four scores on the ground. Deshawn Purdie (40 of 78 passing, 596 yards, six TD, two INT) and Steele Pizzella (zero of one) are next up on the depth chart. Demond Claiborne is the leading ground gainer with 131 carries for 714 yards and eight scores on the season. Ty Clark III (43 carries, 131 yards, TD) is next in line. Chris Barnes leads the team with 34 receptions for 504 yards and three scores. Sterling Berkhalter (20 catches, 305 yards, TD), Micah Mays Jr. (17 grabs, 295 yards, two TD) and tight end Eni Falayi (16 catches, 214 yards, two TD) are each over 200 receiving yards on the year. Connor Calvert is 20 of 20 on extra point attempts and 14 of 18 on field goal attempts with a long of 50 this season.
North Carolina vs. Wake Forest Prediction
Spread Pick for UNC vs. Wake Forest
- North Carolina +6.5 (4 units)
Belichick has gotten his team to play better of late with two straight conference wins to climb within a game of the .500 mark on the year. The Tar Heels have been tough defensively, helping keep them in games even with a sputtering offensive attack. North Carolina gets a break in the fact that Wake Forest isn’t blowing teams away either. In fact, the Demon Deacons have just one offensive touchdown combined in their last two wins and only two in their last three games. That means this one is a rock fight, and with the Tar Heels getting nearly a touchdown, take the points here.
Over/Under Pick for North Carolina vs. Wake Forest
- Under 38.5 (4 units)
North Carolina has stayed under the number in seven of their nine games on the year. Their two overs came in blowout losses at TCU and Clemson on the road. Wake Forest has seen the under post a 5-4 mark in their nine games in relation to the total this season. The Demon Deacons come in off three straight unders as they have scored a combined 36 points in those contests. We saw the last two meetings between the teams end up short of the total and with a pair of struggling offenses, combined with stingy defenses, this game likely doesn’t take more than 17 points to win. Take the under.
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