North Texas Mean Green vs UAB Blazers Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 15, 2025
Use Code WWWC On Saturday, the North Texas Mean Green (8-1, 4-1 AAC) visit Birmingham, Alabama, and Protective Stadium for an American Athletic Conference clash with the UAB Blazers (3-6, 1-4 AAC). North Texas beat Navy 31-17 last time out and has won three straight before their bye last week. The Mean Green are tied for second in the AAC, a half-game behind first-place Navy with three games remaining. UAB lost to Rice 24-17 in its last outing. The Blazers have lost two straight and five of the last six. UAB is well down in the AAC standings and must win each of its final three games to become bowl eligible. North Texas will play without DL Fatafehi Vailea II, while five others are questionable. UAB has 11 players listed as questionable. Make sure to read this in-depth North Texas Mean Green vs UAB Blazers prediction. Buckle up! Dive into our top NCAAF picks for North Texas Mean Green at UAB Blazers prediction and dominate your wagers.
North Texas is one of the best on offense and above average on defense
The North Texas Mean Green score an average of 44.4 points per game, which is second best in the country, while allowing an average of 24.1 points per game, which is 64th. North Texas averages 487.8 yards of total offense per game, which is 5th. The Mean Green averages the sixth-most passing yards and the 45th-most rushing yards. North Texas allows an average of 364.4 yards per game, which is 63rd. The Mean Green are 8th in passing yards allowed and 130th in rushing yards allowed.
QB Drew Mestemaker has been sensational, having thrown for 2,702 yards with 21 touchdowns and only four interceptions, while completing 69% of his attempts. Caleb Hawkins leads all rushers for North Texas with 744 yards and 11 touchdowns, averaging 6.1 yards per carry. Wyatt Young has a team-best 638 yards receiving and seven touchdown receptions, averaging 15.9 yards per reception. Linebacker Trey Fields is the leading tackler with 67. The North Texas defense has made 20 quarterback sacks and intercepted nine passes.
UAB is below average offensively, while well below average defensively
The UAB Blazers score an average of 27.1 points per game, which is 74th, but allow an average of 37.1 points. which is 132nd or fourth from the bottom. UAB averages 399.6 yards of total offense per game, which is 63rd. The Blazers are 25th in passing yards and 106th in rushing yards per game. The UAB defense allows an average of 408.1 yards per game, which is 105th. The Blazers are 69th in passing yards allowed and 120th and rushing yards allowed per game.
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Quarterback Ryder Burton has started two of the last three games for UAB and has played in most of those three games, and likely will start on Saturday. Burton has 680 yards passing with seven touchdowns and three interceptions. Jalen Kitna has thrown for 1,785 yards with 10 touchdowns and five interceptions. Jevon Jackson is the leading rusher with 592 yards and three touchdowns, while averaging 5.3 yards per carry. Iverson Hooks is the leading receiver with 677 yards and six touchdown receptions. Hooks averages 13.3 yards per reception. Linebacker Devin Hightower is the leading tackler with 64. The UAB defense has made 14 quarterback sacks and intercepted two passes.
North Texas Mean Green vs. UAB Blazers Pick
Spread Pick for North Texas vs. UAB
- North Texas Mean Green -18 ( units)
The North Texas Mean Green have one of the best offenses in the nation, scoring an average of 44.4 points per game, which is 4th, and averaging 487.8 yards of total offense per game, which is 5th. North Texas averages 308.3 yards (6th) passing per game and faces a UAB defense that allows 219.7 yards per game passing. While it may seem that UAB does not give up that many yards passing, the biggest reason is that the Blazers give up so many yards rushing at 188.4 (120th) per game; opponents do not have to pass as much. Therefore, do not expect UAB’s secondary to stop the North Texas passing attack or its running game. North Texas has covered the spread in six of its last seven games, while UAB has covered the spread in just one of its last five games. Look for North Texas to dominate this matchup and UAB to continue to struggle in a lost season featuring a coaching change (interim coach Alex Mortensen for Trent Dilfer).
Over/Under Pick for North Texas vs. UAB
- Over 69.0 (5 units)
The total has finished over in six of North Texas’ last eight games and in eight of the last nine that the Mean Green have played on the road. As mentioned previously, North Texas scores an average of 44.4 points per game, and UAB is allowing an average of 37.1 points per game, and the Blazers score a respectable 27.1 points per game. The Mean Green will score more than their share of points, and UAB will help push the total over.
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