Northern Illinois Huskies vs. UMass Minutemen Picks and Prediction for Wednesday, November 12, 2025

By: Kevin V. Published 11/10/2025, 06:21 PM ET
Northern Illinois Huskies vs Massachusetts Minutemen Picks and Prediction
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The Northern Illinois Huskies (2-7, 1-4 MAC) pay a visit to Amherst, Massachusetts, and Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium on Wednesday for a Mid-American Conference clash with the UMass Minutemen (0-9, 0-5 MAC). Northern Illinois lost to Toledo 42-3 last Wednesday, and the Huskies have lost seven of the last eight. Massachusetts lost to Akron 44-10 last Tuesday. UMass has lost all nine of its games this season. Northern Illinois will play without CB Malik Armstrong, while five others are questionable. UMass will play without WR T.Y. Harding, while three others are questionable. Make sure to read this in-depth Northern Illinois Huskies vs UMass Minutemen prediction. Exciting vibes? Get ready with our free NCAAF picks for Northern Illinois Huskies at Massachusetts Minutemen prediction and stay ahead of the game.

Northern Illinois is one of the worst on offense, but above average on defense

The Huskies have lost five of their last six games, with their only win coming up against Ball State (21-7) on Oct. 25. In their loss at Toledo, NIU had just 13 first downs and 203 total yards. They gave up 309 yards in the air. The Northern Illinois Huskies score an average of 12.2 points per game, which is 135th or next to last in the nation, while allowing an average of 24.3 points per game, which is 68th. The Northern Illinois offense is 62nd in rushing and 134th in passing. The Huskies average 268.0 yards of total offense per game, which is 135th. Northern Illinois is 103rd in rushing yards allowed and 24th in passing yards allowed. The Huskies allow an average of 354.9 yards per game, which is 52nd.

Northern Illinois has played two quarterbacks as of late. Josh Holst has passed for 689 yards with four touchdowns and three interceptions, while Brady Davidson has 269 yards with one touchdown and three interceptions. Holst completed 5 of 13 for 87 yards, while Davidson completed 6 of 16 for 54 yards against Toledo in their last game. Telly Johnson Jr has rushed for a team-best 601 yards with three touchdowns, while Chavon Wright has 512 yards rushing and two touchdowns. DeAree Rogers is the leading receiver with 468 yards and three touchdown receptions. Linebacker Quinton Urwiler is the leader in tackles with 110. Northern Illinois’ defense has made 12 quarterback sacks and intercepted 7 passes.

UMass is at or near the bottom in both offense and defense

The Minutemen continue to lose games against FBS and FCS members.Β  They've now lost 13 straight games, going back to last season. The UMass Minutemen are 136th or last in scoring at 11.5 points per game, and 130th in points allowed at 35.9 points per game. UMass is 132nd in rushing yards and 113th in passing yards per game. The Minutemen average 275.1 yards of total offense per game, which is 134th. The UMass defense is 132nd in rushing yards allowed and 133rd in passing yards allowed. The Minutemen allow an average of 497.0 yards per game, which is 136th or last in the country.

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UMass quarterback AJ Hairston has 866 yards passing with four touchdowns and four interceptions. Hairston has been sacked 17 times. Brandon Hood is the leading rusher, averaging 4.0 yards per carry, for a total of 315 yards with two touchdowns. Jacquon Gibson is the leading receiver with 393 yards, averaging 9.4 yards per reception, and has not caught a touchdown pass. Linebacker Tyler Martin is the leading tackler with 72. The UMass defense has 13 quarterback sacks and four interceptions

Northern Illinois Huskies vs. Massachusetts Minutemen Pick

Spread Pick for Northern Illinois vs. UMass

  • Northern Illinois Huskies (5 units)

The Northern Illinois Huskies have a very poor offense, but it's the defense that separates them from the UMass Minutemen. Northern Illinois allows 354.9 yards per game and 24.3 points per game, which is 68th, while in comparison, UMass allows an average of 497 yards per game, which is 136th or last, and 35.9 points per game, which is 130th. UMass is -7 in turnover ratio, while Northern Illinois is just -3. The Minutemen have a very poor offense as well, as they are 134th in total offense at 275.1 yards per game and are last in scoring at 11.5 points per game. They played two quarterbacks in their last game and both were awful. UMass has failed to cover the spread in four of its last five games, and the Minutemen are 2-6 ATS in the last eight games as the underdog.

Over/Under Pick for Northern Illinois vs. UMass

  • Under (4 units)

Both offenses in this matchup are terrible, with Northern Illinois averaging 12.2 (135th) points per game and UMass averaging just 11.5 (136th) points per game. Although UMass has a terrible defense, allowing more than 35 points per game, the Northern Illinois defense allows just 24.3 points per game. The total has finished under six of Northern Illinois’ last nine games. The total finishes over more often than not for UMass, but they will face a poor offense and Northern Illinois will not be able to push the total over.

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