Oklahoma State vs UCF Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 22, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Oklahoma State Cowboys (1-9, 0-7 Big 12) pay a visit to Orlando and FBC Mortgage Stadium on Saturday to play the UCF Knights (4-6, 1-6) in a Big 12 showdown. Oklahoma State lost to Kansas State 14-6 last Saturday. The Cowboys have lost each of the last nine after opening the season with their only victory. UCF lost to Texas Tech 48-9 last Saturday. The Knights have lost three straight and six of the last seven. Oklahoma State is last in the Big 12, and UCF is tied for second-to-last. UCF must win both of its last two games of the regular season to become bowl eligible. Make sure to read this in-depth Oklahoma State Cowboys vs UCF Knights prediction. Buckle up! Dive into our top NCAAF picks for Oklahoma State vs. UCF prediction and dominate your wagers.
Oklahoma State is close to the nation's worst on both sides of the wall
The Oklahoma State Cowboys score an average of 14.3 points (134th) per game and allow an average of 36.3 points (131st) per game. Oklahoma State is 101st in rushing and 106th and passing yards per game. The Cowboys average 305.2 yards of total offense per game, which is 127th. The Oklahoma State defense is 90th in rushing yards allowed and 121st in passing yards allowed. The Cowboys' defense allows an average of 427.8 yards per game, which is 123rd. This has been a rough year for the Cowboys, who fired longtime head coach Mike Gundy in September and are run by interim coach Doug Meacham.
Oklahoma State has used five quarterbacks this season. Zane Flores started the Cowboys’ most recent game and will start on Saturday. Flores has thrown for 1,164 yards with 2 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Rodney Fields Jr leads the Cowboys in rushing with 527 yards and one touchdown. Gavin Freeman is the leading receiver with 395 yards and three touchdown receptions. Safety Parker Robertson is the leading tackler with 62. The Oklahoma State defense has made 18 quarterback sacks and intercepted four passes.
Key Injuries for OK State:
Oklahoma State will play without QB Hauss Hejny, while six others are listed as questionable
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UCF is below average on offense but above average on defense
The UCF Knights score an average of 25.4 points (83rd) per game, and allow an average of 22.8 (48th) per game. UCF is 50th in rushing yards per game and 89th in passing yards per game. The Knights average 385.3 yards of total offense per game, which is 73rd. UCF’s defense is 19th in passing yards allowed and 83rd in rushing yards allowed per game. The Knights’ defense is allowing an average of 339.4 yards per game, which is 43rd.
Five quarterbacks have seen action this season for UCF, but the current starting QB is Tayven Jackson, who has thrown for 1,648 yards with six touchdowns and six interceptions. Miles Montgomery is the leading rusher with 595 yards and four touchdowns, and the leading receiver is Duane Thomas Jr with 441 yards. Linebacker Lewis Carter is the leading tackler with 75. The UCF defense has made 21 quarterback sacks and intercepted eight passes
Key Injuries for UCF:
UCF will play without RB Taevion Swint, while eight others are listed as questionable, including QBs Cam Fancher and Jacurri Brown.
UCF vs. Oklahoma State Pick
Spread Pick for UCF vs. Oklahoma State
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UCF Knights -14 (4 units)
UCF is slightly below average in scoring at 25.4 points per game, but has the 50th-best running game, averaging 172.9 yards per game, and will face an Oklahoma State defense that is 90th in the nation against the run, allowing 163.3 yards per game. Oklahoma State is 131st out of 136 in points allowed at 36.3 per game, while on the other side of the ball, the Cowboys are 134th or second from the bottom in scoring, averaging only 14.3 points per game. Oklahoma State has had a revolving door of quarterbacks this season, and that has produced zero continuity from one week to the next. The Cowboys have covered the spread in just three of the last 15 games. UCF has a solid defense, ranking 48th in points allowed and is 19th in passing yards allowed.
Over/Under Pick for UCF vs. Oklahoma State
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Over 48.5 (4 units)
The total has finished over in three of UCF’s last four games. The total has finished over in three of Oklahoma State's last five games. While Oklahoma State has problems scoring, the Cowboys are one of the worst in points allowed at 36.3 points (131st) per game. Oklahoma State may not score many points, but it will certainly give up plenty to UCF.
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