Ole Miss Rebels vs Georgia Bulldogs Prediction and Picks - October 18, 2025

By: Dean Whitaker Updated 10/17/2025, 11:51 AM ET
Gunner Stockton looks to lead the Bulldogs over the Rebels
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Saturday evening, SEC play on the College gridiron, and we have an Ole Miss vs Georgia Prediction ready to roll. The Rebels come in at a perfect 6-0 on the year after dispatching of Washington State at home by a score of 24-21. Georgia is now at 5-1 on the year after topping Auburn 20-10 on the road. Ole Miss has won two of the last three in this series. Can they make it three of four? Read on to see our Ole Miss vs Georgia prediction.

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Rebels Look To Stay Perfect

Ole Miss enters Week 8 undefeated but battle-tested, having survived a 24–21 scare against Washington State. Quarterback Trinidad Chambliss has been steady and efficient, completing 65.4% of his passes for 1,286 yards, 7 touchdowns, and just 1 interception, while adding 281 rushing yards and 3 scores on the ground. The Rebels rank 5th nationally in total offense at 515.3 yards per game, with a balanced attack that includes 311.0 passing yards and 204.3 rushing yards per contest. Running back Kewan Lacy leads the ground game with 587 yards and 8 touchdowns, while tight end Dae’Quan Wright and wideout Harrison Wallace III have combined for 720 receiving yards and 5 scores.

Offensively, Ole Miss thrives on tempo and chunk plays, averaging 37.8 points per game and converting 51.3% of third downs (17th nationally). However, red zone efficiency has been inconsistent, and the Rebels rank 125th in penalty yards, averaging 73.8 yards per game, which has stalled momentum in key spots. Chambliss has shown poise in late-game situations, but the offense can sputter when the run game is bottled up early. Ole Miss has scored 27 touchdowns through six games and averages 8.3 yards per play, but they’ll need to clean up execution to challenge Georgia’s disciplined defense.

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Defensively, the Rebels allow 337.7 yards and 19.2 points per game, ranking 49th and 34th nationally. The pass defense is solid at 180.0 yards per game, but the run defense has been vulnerable, giving up 157.7 yards per contest (96th nationally). Defensive linemen William Echoles and Zxavian Harris have combined for 7 TFLs, 5 sacks, and an interception, while linebacker T.J. Dudley leads the team with 37 tackles. Ole Miss has forced just 4 turnovers all season, and their red zone defense ranks outside the top 50, which could be problematic against Georgia’s methodical attack.

Defense Stands Tall In Win Over Auburn

Georgia enters Saturday with a 5–1 record and a defense that’s starting to round into form. Quarterback Gunner Stockton has thrown for 1,264 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 1 interception, completing 67.9% of his passes while adding 220 rushing yards and 6 scores. The Bulldogs average 414.8 total yards and 32.2 points per game, with a run-first identity led by Chauncey Bowens (315 yards, 4 TDs) and Nate Frazier (277 yards, 2 TDs). Wideout Colbie Young and Zachariah Branch have combined for 591 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, with Branch also contributing in the return game.

Offensively, Georgia ranks 50th in scoring and 52nd in total offense, but they’ve struggled to generate explosive plays in the passing game, averaging just 7.4 yards per attempt. The Bulldogs have committed only 7 turnovers and average 44.0 penalty yards, showing strong discipline. They’ve converted 24.2 first downs per game and rank top-20 in time of possession, controlling tempo and wearing down defenses. Stockton’s mobility and decision-making have kept the offense efficient, even if the vertical game remains underdeveloped.

Defensively, Georgia allows just 17.0 points per game and 307.2 total yards, ranking 19th and 26th nationally. The run defense is elite, giving up just 91.7 yards per game (17th), and the unit has recorded 8 sacks, led by linebackers CJ Allen and Chris Cole. The secondary allows 215.5 passing yards, but opponents convert 40.2% of third downs, which ranks 84th nationally. Georgia’s red zone defense is a strength, allowing scores on just 66.7% of trips (5th nationally), and they’ve forced 6 turnovers while committing only 3. If the front seven can disrupt Ole Miss’s tempo and contain Lacy, Georgia has the tools to control the game script.

Ole Miss vs Georgia Pick

Ole Miss vs Georgia Spread Pick

  • Georgia -7.5 (5 Units)

Georgia -7.5 is a sharp position in a matchup where the Bulldogs’ defensive structure and tempo control give them a clear edge at home. Ole Miss has leaned on explosive plays and tempo to build its undefeated record, but Georgia’s front seven—allowing just 91.7 rushing yards per game—is built to neutralize Kewan Lacy and force Trinidad Chambliss into longer reads. The Bulldogs rank top-5 in red zone defense and have allowed just 17.0 points per game, while Ole Miss has struggled with penalties and red zone efficiency. If Georgia can dictate pace and win early downs, they’re well-positioned to cover the number.

Offensively, Georgia’s methodical approach matches up well against an Ole Miss defense that’s allowed over 150 rushing yards per game and ranks outside the top 50 in red zone stops. Gunner Stockton has thrown just 1 interception all season and adds mobility that can extend drives and punish soft edges. With Chauncey Bowens and Nate Frazier grinding out yardage and Zachariah Branch offering field-flipping potential, Georgia has the tools to wear down the Rebels over four quarters. In a game where discipline, field position, and red zone execution will be decisive, Georgia’s consistency and home-field advantage make the -7.5 spread a favorable spot.

Ole Miss vs Georgia Spread Pick

  • Under 55 (5 Units)

Under 55 makes sense in a matchup where both defenses are built to limit explosive plays and control tempo. Georgia allows just 17.0 points per game and ranks top-5 in red zone defense, while Ole Miss—despite its offensive firepower—has struggled with penalties and red zone efficiency. The Rebels average 37.8 points, but Georgia’s front seven is equipped to slow Kewan Lacy and force longer drives. On the other side, Georgia’s offense is methodical, averaging 32.2 points but leaning on run-heavy possessions and clock control. With both teams likely to trade field position and grind through possessions, this game profiles as a lower-scoring, physical SEC battle that stays under the posted total.

 

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