Rice Owls vs. UTSA Roadrunners Picks and Prediction for Saturday, October 11, 2025
Use Code WWWC It’s a battle of programs from the AAC on the gridiron as a pair of teams looking to pick up a victory collide in the Lone Star State as the Rice Owls face the UTSA Roadrunners Saturday night and we have you covered with our Rice vs. UTSA prediction. Rice fell 27-21 at home to Florida Atlantic in their previous contest last Saturday, losing outright as a five-point favorite. UTSA was downed 27-21 on the road by Temple in their previous contest last Saturday, losing outright as a 6.5-point favorite. In the all-time series between the teams, the Roadrunners own an 8-4 advantage but it was the Owls picking up a 29-27 home win in the most recent matchup on October 12, 2024. Read more about this Rice vs. UTSA prediction! Don’t get penalized! Increase your bankroll with our NCAAF Betting Picks!
Rice Hoping to Earn Road Victory
Rice dropped their second straight game as they were upended at home by Florida Atlantic in their previous contest last week. The Owls fell to 3-3 overall and stand 1-2 in AAC play on the season. Against Temple, Rice scored less than 90 seconds into the game before giving up 17 unanswered points to trail 17-7 at the half. The Owls never got closer than three the rest of the way as they went down in defeat. Rice was outgained 393-350 in total offense, gave up 20 first downs while picking up 18 and held a 31:14 to 28:46 edge in time of possession. The Owls forced a pair of turnovers while not committing one but ended up falling short.
The Owls are 135th in the nation in passing offense with 93.2 yards per contest, while they are 18th in rushing offense with 219.7 yards per game. Rice is 112th of the 136 teams in the FBS to play this season in scoring offense with 20.5 points per game, while they are 59th in the country by allowing 21.5 points per contest. Chase Jenkins is 59 of 86 passing for 520 yards with four touchdowns and one interception while adding 268 yards plus four scores on the ground on the year. Drew Devillier is four of five for 39 yards and a score as the backup quarterback. In the run game, Quinton Jackson leads the way with 92 carries for 481 yards and three scores on the year. Daelen Alexander (51 carries, 241 yards, two TD) and D’Andre Hardeman Jr. (32 carries, 120 yards) are also effective when called upon in the run game. Drayden Dickmann leads the Owls with 22 receptions for 229 yards and three scores this season. Aaron Turner (18 grabs, 126 yards) is the only other player with more than six catches or 66 receiving yards this season. Enock Gola is 14 of 14 on extra points and four of seven on field goal attempts with a long of 49 on the year. Chase Allen hit his lone extra point attempt and has not attempted a field goal this season.
Rice has serious issues when it comes to depth at the wide receiver position. Receivers Keenan Arcega-Whiteside, Max Balthazar, Owen Carter, Ryan Guillo and Landon Ransom-Goelz (leg) and tight end Will Swartz are all questionable here.
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Roadrunners Seeking to Rebound at Home
UTSA had their chances but wilted in the second half as they fell at Temple in their previous contest. The Roadrunners fell to 2-3 overall on the year and stand 0-1 in the AAC this season. Against Temple, UTSA led 14-3 at the half and held a 21-17 edge with 5:28 to play in the third quarter. The Roadrunners went scoreless the rest of the way as they gave up the final 10 points to wind up with the loss. UTSA was edged 309-304 in total offense and committed the game’s two turnovers. Those numbers overshadowed the Roadrunners owning a 19-15 edge in first downs and holding a 32:19 to 27:41 margin in time of possession in the loss.
The Roadrunners are tied for 89th of the 136 teams in the FBS to take the field so far in passing offense this season, as they average 207.8 yards per contest. UTSA is 49th in rushing offense as they put up 177.8 yards per game. The Roadrunners have been average on the offensive side of the ball as they are 68th in the FBS in scoring offense by averaging 29.2 points per contest. UTSA has been sputtering defensively on the year, ranking 107th as they allow an average of 29.6 points per game. Owen McCown is 111 of 175 passing for 990 yards with nine touchdowns against four interceptions while adding 45 yards on the ground. Brandon Tennison (two of two, 49 yards, TD) is the backup. Will Henderson is second on the team in the ground game with 40 carries for 159 yards this season. Robert Henry Jr. (80 carries, 666 yards, seven TD) and A’Marion Peterson (13 carries, 36 yards, TD) are also involved in the ground attack. Devin McCuin leads the team with 28 catches for 277 yards and three scores this season. AJ Wilson (10 grabs, 223 yards, two TD), Henry Jr. (14 catches, 105 yards, two TD), David Amador Jr. (15 receptions, 104 yards) and tight end Houston Thomas (12 grabs, 143 yards) are each over 125 receiving yards on the season, providing solid options in the passing game. Michael Petro is 18 of 18 on extra point attempts and four of five on field goals with a long of 40 this season.
Receivers DJ Allen Jr. and Mekhi Anderson are both dealing with undisclosed injuries. They are both questionable here.
Rice vs. UTSA Pick
Spread Pick for Rice vs. UTSA
- UTSA -10.5 (4 units)
Rice has transitioned to more of an option-style offense this season, which is a jarring style change offensively. The Owls are effective in the run game but could be challenged by a UTSA defense that allows only 118.2 yards per game and 3.6 yards per carry on the ground on the year. Rice is ill-equipped to take advantage of UTSA’s pass defense issues. On the flip side, the Roadrunners are at home here, and they should be able to take advantage of Rice’s defensive front. McCown is an experienced signal caller, and the Roadrunners have weapons to do damage with. The Owls aren’t built to play from behind, and that proves to be too much for them to handle. Take UTSA at home in this contest.
Over/Under Pick for Rice vs. UTSA
- Under 49.5 (4 units)
Rice enters this game having split their six games in relation to the total this season. The Owls stayed under the total in two of their three road games on the year. Their lone over came in a win over Charlotte, where the teams combined for 45 points to go over the mark of 42.5 points back on September 18. UTSA has gone over the number in three of their five games on the year. Their first three games went over the mark but come in with back-to-back unders. Both home games went over the mark but those were track meets with Texas State and Incarnate Word. This one is more of a rock fight and a slog as Rice’s grind-it-out attack chews up clock. Take the under in this contest as a result.
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