Sacramento State vs Central Michigan Picks and Predictions for Wednesday, November 11, 2026

Sacramento State travels to Central Michigan. The Hornets (2-8, 1-6 MAC, 12th) lost 20-17 to Toledo last Wednesday, while the Chippewas (4-5, 2-3 MAC, 10th) hammered Eastern Michigan 35-7. Sacramento State has lost four of five, and Central Michigan has won two of five. Kelly/Shorts Stadium in Mount Pleasant hosts the matchup, which kicks off at 7:30 pm ET on ESPNU. Check out our free college football picks for Wednesday.

Sacramento State Trying to Finish Strong

Sacramento State nearly caught Toledo last week. The Hornets stayed close in a 20-17 defeat but couldn't find the points to complete the upset. That result followed their lone victory in five games, leaving Sacramento State with four losses in that stretch. The scoring has been a problem: just 16.4 points per game over those five contests, compared with 30.0 allowed. The Hornets have occasionally made opponents work, but they haven't turned enough stretches into wins.

Jackson Sharman has thrown for 1,476 yards, nine touchdowns and six interceptions. Isaiah Ene leads the ground game with 411 yards and three touchdowns; Matt Coleman has 538 receiving yards and six scores. Those numbers put pressure on the passing attack to make something happen. Defensively, Miles Bailey leads Sacramento State with two sacks, while Boogsie Silvera has four interceptions and 78 tackles. The Hornets have recorded 14 sacks and six interceptions as a team. Turnovers could offer their best chance to change Wednesday's game.

Injuries: K. Peevy, C. Borders, A. Bryant, E. Huddle and B. Collins are out. J. Williams is questionable.

Central Michigan Seeking Another Win

Central Michigan made short work of Eastern Michigan last Wednesday. The Chippewas won 35-7, holding their visitors to one touchdown and snapping a three-game losing streak. It was their second victory in five outings, but the margin offered encouragement. Central Michigan has averaged 26.2 points across those five games and allowed 20.8. Another defensive performance like last week's would make life difficult for a Sacramento State offense that has struggled to finish drives.

Jadyn Glasser leads the passing numbers with 638 yards, three touchdowns and three interceptions. Angel Flores leads the team on the ground, rushing for 618 yards and four scores, although he's questionable. Langston Lewis has 379 receiving yards and two touchdowns. The Chippewas have 15 sacks, paced by Jaxon Cherry's three, while Justin Taylor leads the secondary with three interceptions. Central Michigan has nine picks. Those defensive plays have helped the Chippewas stay competitive.

Injuries: J. Allen is out. A. Flores, S. Foster II and J. Clerveaux are questionable.

Key To The Game

Sacramento State needs to limit mistakes in the passing game. Sharman has six interceptions, while Central Michigan's defense has picked off nine passes. Flores' availability also matters to a rushing attack built around his 618 yards. If the Chippewas control the ground game and force Sharman into difficult throws, they should dictate the pace.

Sacramento State vs Central Michigan Game Pick

• Central Michigan Chippewas

The 35-7 win over Eastern Michigan showed what Central Michigan can do when its defense takes charge. Sacramento State managed only 17 points against Toledo and has averaged 16.4 across its last five games. The Chippewas have nine interceptions, including three from Taylor, and should be able to test Sharman's decision-making. Flores is questionable, making his status important, but Central Michigan still has the stronger recent defensive performance. The Hornets have lost four of five and haven't scored enough to overcome repeated mistakes. I'll take Central Michigan to win at home.

Sacramento State vs Central Michigan Over/Under Pick

• Under

Sacramento State's recent scoring doesn't suggest a shootout. The Hornets have averaged 16.4 points over five games, and Toledo held them to 17 last Wednesday. Central Michigan just limited Eastern Michigan to seven, a result that could shape Wednesday's game. The Chippewas average 26.2 points across their last five, but uncertainty around Flores could make explosive rushing plays harder to find. Both teams have quarterbacks with three or more interceptions, so possessions may stall. Central Michigan should get enough offense to win without needing a huge total. Under is my pick.