San Jose State Spartans vs. Utah State Aggies Picks and Prediction for Friday, October 17, 2025
Use Code WWWC A pair of Mountain West programs collide on the gridiron in the Beehive State as the San Jose State Spartans travel to take on the Utah State Aggies Friday night and we have you covered with our San Jose State vs. Utah State prediction. San Jose State was downed 35-28 on the road by Wyoming in their previous contest, losing outright as a 1.5-point favorite. Utah State was downed 44-26 on the road by Hawaii in their previous game Saturday, losing outright as a one-point favorite. In the all-time series between the teams, the Spartans own a 21-20-1 advantage on the strength of a 42-21 home win in the most recent matchup October 21, 2023. Read more about this San Jose State vs. Utah State prediction! Don’t get penalized! Increase your bankroll with our NCAAF Betting Picks!
San Jose State Looking to Get Back in Win Column
San Jose State couldn’t build off a win over New Mexico as they fell on the road against Wyoming in their previous contest on Saturday. The Spartans dropped to 2-4 on the season overall and are 1-1 in Mountain West action on the season. Against Wyoming, San Jose State led 14-7 after one quarter, 28-14 at the half and after three quarters before fading. The Spartans gave up three touchdowns over the final 9:59 of the game, including the winning score with 40 seconds to play, to wind up with the loss. San Jose State held a 21-20 edge in first downs, controlled the clock by a 34:54 to 25:06 margin and forced three turnovers while committing a pair, one of which was a pick-six that sparked Wyoming’s comeback. The Spartans were outgained 413-383 in total offense in the contest.
On the season, the Spartans are tied for 9th in the nation in passing offense with 310.2 yards per game and 122nd in rushing offense with an average of 101.5 yards per contest. San Jose State is 96th in the FBS in scoring offense with an average of 24 points per game, while they are 102nd in scoring defense by allowing an average of 29.2 points per contest. Walker Eget (143 of 231, 1813 yards, 13 TD, three INT) has been solid under center. Tama Amisone (five of nine, 30 yards, 53 rush yards) and Xavier Ward (three of 10, 15 yards, INT, four rush yards) are next in line on the depth chart. Jabari Bates leads the team in the ground game with 27 carries for 192 yards and two scores on the year. Floyd Chalk IV (35 carries, 141 yards, two TD) and Lamar Radcliffe (34 carries, 124 yards) are next in line for the ground attack. Danny Scudero has reeled in 50 passes for 845 yards and eight scores on the season. Kyri Shoels (34 receptions, 374 yards, two TD), Leland Smith (20 catches, 277 yards, two TD) and tight end Jackson Canaan (20 grabs, 211 yards) are each over 200 receiving yards on the season. Denis Lynch is nine of nine on extra point attempts and four of 10 on field goal attempts with a long of 48 this season. Mathias Brown is nine of nine extra point attempts and zero of two on field goal attempts on the year.
Wide receiver Malachi Riley (undisclosed) is done for the year. Running back could be a position of concern for the Spartans here. Bates (undisclosed) is done for the year while Chalk IV (undisclosed) is questionable after missing last week’s contest.
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Aggies Hoping to Get Back in Win Column
Utah State suffered their second straight loss as they were outgunned on the road by Hawaii Saturday night. The Aggies fell to 3-3 overall and stand 1-1 in the Mountain West on the year. Against Hawaii, Utah State trailed 10-3 after one quarter and 24-20 at the half. The Aggies took a 26-24 lead in the opening minute of the second half but failed to score again, giving up 20 unanswered points to take the loss. Utah State was outgained 546-435 in total offense, gave up 26 first downs while picking up 20, lost time of possession by a 34:01 to 25:59 margin and turned the ball over twice while forcing one turnover in the game.
On the year, the Aggies are 51st in the nation in passing offense as they average 254.7 yards per game through the air and stand 53rd in rushing offense with 163.8 yards per contest. Utah State is 38th in the FBS in scoring offense with 34.7 points per game while they stand 125th in scoring defense as they allow an average of 32.7 points per contest. Bryson Barnes has completed 99 of 155 passes for 1,318 yards with 12 touchdowns against two interceptions while adding 81 carries for 309 yards plus six scores in the game. Jacob Conover (15 of 25, 156 yards, two TD, five rush yards) and Anthony Garcia (three of three, 48 yards, two TD, 25 rush yards, TD) are next on the depth chart. Miles Davis led the run game with 65 carries for 416 yards and three scores while Javen Jacobs (32 carries, 200 yards, two TD) and Noah White (12 carries, 54 yards) are next in line. Braden Pegan leads the team with 27 receptions for 453 yards and four scores on the year. Brady Boyd (24 catches, 356 yards, three TD), tight end Broc Lane (13 grabs, 196 yards, two TD), Davis (19 receptions, 140 yards, three TD), Kahanu Davis (three catches, 101 yards, TD) and Jacobs (18 catches, 147 yards, two TD) are all over the century mark in receiving yards on the year. Tanner Rinker hit 22 of 23 extra point attempts and four of four field goal attempts with a long of 49 on the year. The Aggies are banged up on the defensive side of the ball in terms of depth, especially at linebacker, with three players questionable.
San Jose State vs. Utah State Pick
Moneyline Pick for San Jose State vs. Utah State
- Utah State -3.5 (4 units)
San Jose State blew a chance to win in Laramie last week, blowing a two-touchdown lead by giving up three fourth-quarter touchdowns. The Spartans could be down their top two running backs in this contest, which could be a problem given their inability to run the ball as it stands. Eget leads the conference in passing yards and passing touchdowns this season. The problem is that San Jose State is prone to turning the ball over, committing 11 giveaways on the season. Throw in that the Spartans are 0-3 on the road while Utah State is 3-0 at home on the year, and you have to give the advantage to the Aggies here. Look for Utah State to pick up a win here to get back over .500 on the year.
Over/Under Pick for San Jose State vs. Utah State
- Over 64.5 (4 units)
San Jose State enters this game having seen the over post a 4-2 mark in their six games this season. The Spartans have recorded four straight overs entering this game. San Jose State has gone over the number in two of its three road games this year. Utah State has seen the over post a 4-2 mark in their six games on the year, including their last two. The Aggies are a dismal 125th in the FBS in scoring defense, while San Jose State is 102nd in that department. Given that both teams surrender more than 400 yards per game, this game has the potential for a track meet. Look for this game to wind up over the number as a result.
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