San Jose State vs. San Diego State, Preview, Odds, Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 22, 2025
Week 11 of the college football season rolls on with a battle of squads looking for momentum as a pair of Mountain West teams battle as the San Jose State Spartans travel to take on the San Diego State Aztecs Saturday night and we have you covered with our San Jose State vs. San Diego State prediction. San Jose State fell 55-10 on the road at Nevada last Saturday in their previous contest, losing outright as a 9.5-point favorite. San Diego State earned a 17-7 win at home over Boise State last Saturday, covering the line as a 2.5-point favorite. In the all-time series between the teams as FBS opponents, the Aztecs own a 24-21-2 advantage, but the Spartans picked up a 24-13 home win in the most recent matchup on November 18, 2023. Read more about this San Jose State vs. San Diego State prediction! Don’t get penalized! Increase your bankroll with our NCAAF Betting Picks!
Sign Up for Winners and Whiners News Alerts, Get Free Picks and Discounts
Subscribe Now
San Jose State Trying to Rebound
San Jose State dropped their second straight and their fourth in the last five games as they were trounced by Nevada on the road last week. The Spartans fell to 3-7 overall and stand 2-4 in Mountain West action on the season. Against Nevada, San Jose State was out of this one early as they trailed 14-0 after the opening quarter and 31-0 at the half en route to the loss. The Spartans never made a sustained push the rest of the way, trailing 38-3 after three quarters as they were blown out in the game. San Jose State was beaten 413-270 in total offense, gave up 23 first downs while picking up 14, lost time of possession by a 37:25 to 22:35 margin, and turned the ball over five times while failing to record a takeaway. They surrendered a pick-six and a kick return for a score in the game.
On the season, the Spartans are 4th in the nation in passing offense with 313.8 yards per game and 111th in rushing offense with an average of 119.4 yards per contest. San Jose State is 93rd in the FBS in scoring offense with an average of 24 points per game, while they are 123rd in scoring defense by allowing an average of 32.4 points per contest. Walker Eget (228 of 305, 3015 yards, 17 TD, eight INT, 98 rush yards) has been solid under center. Tama Amisone (nine of 14, 89 yards, 76 rush yards, TD) and Xavier Ward (four of 11, 22 yards, INT, two rush yards) are next in line on the depth chart. Jabari Bates is third on the team in the ground game with 27 carries for 192 yards and two scores on the year. Floyd Chalk IV (35 carries, 141 yards, two TD), Steve Chavez-Soto (64 carries, 347 yards, seven TD) and Lamar Radcliffe (66 carries, 340 yards, TD) are next in line for the ground attack. Danny Scudero has reeled in 72 passes for 1,155 yards and 10 scores on the season. Kyri Shoels (55 receptions, 727 yards, two TD), Leland Smith (39 catches, 654 yards, three TD) and tight end Jackson Canaan (30 grabs, 308 yards) are each over 300 receiving yards on the season. Denis Lynch is 17 of 17 on extra point attempts and eight of 14 on field goal attempts with a long of 48 this season. Mathias Brown is 10 of 11 extra point attempts and three of five on field goal attempts with a long of 46 on the year.
Key Injury Report for San Jose State:
- Running back Jabari Bates (undisclosed) is out for the year.
- Running back Floyd Chalk IV (undisclosed) is questionable.
Aztecs Looking to Maintain Top Spot in Mountain West
San Diego State bounced back from getting trounced at Hawaii as they took down Boise State at home last week. The Aztecs improved to 8-2 overall and at 5-1, stand atop the Mountain West, one game ahead of five teams tied for second in the conference with two games to play in the regular season. Against Boise State, San Diego State shook off a scoreless first quarter and broke a 7-7 tie just before the half for a 14-7 lead. The Aztecs held the Broncos scoreless in the second half and added a field goal to earn the victory. San Diego State held a 294-268 edge in total offense despite losing the first down battle 14-12 and time of possession by a 31:05 to 28:55 margin. Neither team turned the ball over in the contest.
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Earle Sports Bets | +1,154.00 |
| 2 |  David Hess | +808.00 |
| 3 |  Stephen Nover | +644.00 |
| 4 |  Dan Kaiser | +547.00 |
| 5 |  Rob Vincilleti | +500.00 |
On the year, the Aztecs are tied for 119th in the nation in passing offense as they average 160.1 yards per game through the air, while they are 31st in rushing offense with 189.7 yards per contest on the ground. San Diego State is 82nd in the FBS in scoring offense with an average of 25.4 points per game, while they are 4th in scoring defense by allowing 12.5 points per contest. Jayden Denegal is 121 of 203 passing for 1,564 yards with eight touchdowns against seven interceptions while adding 95 yards and three scores on the ground. Bert Emanuel Jr. (five of nine, 37 yards, 98 rush yards) is the backup. Lucky Sutton leads the team with 197 carries for 1,048 yards and eight scores this season. Christian Anderson (68 carries, 339 yards, two TD) and Bryon Caldwell Jr. (45 carries, 253 yards, TD) are solid secondary backs for the Aztecs this season. Jordan Napier has reeled in a team-high 48 balls for 629 yards plus two scores this season. Donovan Brown (23 catches, 321 yards, TD) and Jacob Bostick (11 receptions, 157 yards, three TD) are each over 150 receiving yards this season. Gabriel Plascencia is 26 of 26 on extra point attempts and 17 of 19 field goal attempts with a long of 53 this season. Nick Clegg is one of one on extra point attempts and has not attempted a field goal this season.
Key Injury Report for San Diego State:
- Wide receiver Jacob Bostick (undisclosed) is out for the year.
- Wide receiver Jordan Napier (leg) is questionable here.
San Jose State vs. San Diego State Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Earle Sports Bets | +2,298.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,840.00 |
| 3 | Rob Vincilleti | +1,757.00 |
| 4 | David Hess | +1,745.00 |
| 5 | Dan Kaiser | +987.00 |
Spread Pick for San Jose State vs. San Diego State
- San Diego State -11.5 (4 units)
San Jose State is trending in the wrong direction with four losses in their last five games. Getting obliterated by Nevada in a game where they were favored by 9.5 points on the road is cause for concern. The Spartans now have to travel to face a San Diego State squad that is extremely stingy on the defensive side of the ball. We’ve seen the Aztecs limit seven of their 10 opponents to 10 points or less this season, including three shutouts. San Diego State is 5-0 at home while San Jose State is 0-5 on the road after getting thrashed last week by the Wolf Pack. The Aztecs don’t score a ton of points but the Spartans are stifled here. San Diego State wins here to maintain their spot atop the Mountain West.
Over/Under Pick for San Jose State vs. San Diego State
- Under 50.5 (4 units)
San Jose State has seen the over hit in six of their 10 games on the year. The Spartans have gone over the number in six of their last eight games, but they have scored just 26 combined points in the last two games. San Diego State has stayed under the number in seven of their 10 games on the season. The Aztecs have seen the under post a 4-1 mark in their five home games this season. San Diego State has given up only 7.6 points per game in their home tilts this season and expecting much more from San Jose State is dangerous. We know the Aztecs aren’t an offensive powerhouse so lean to the under in this contest.
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
Bet $5 & Get $150
