South Alabama vs. North Texas, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, September 27, 2025
Use Code WWWC South Alabama (1-3, 0-1 Sun Belt) will be trying to pick up its first road win of the season when they visit DATCU Stadium on Saturday afternoon to face North Texas (4-0, 1-0 American) at 12 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Jaguars vs. Mean Green prediction. When it comes to NCAAF selections, our College Football Picks are stellar.
The Jaguars are coming off a 38-20 win over Coastal Carolina as 14.5-point favorites. The Mean Green are coming off a 45-38 win over Army as 2.5-point favorites.
North Texas is 2-0 in two games against South Alabama. The Mean Green won last season’s meeting 52-38.
South Alabama Trying To Snap Three-Game Losing Streak
The Jaguars followed up their season-opening win over Morgan State with losses to Tulane, Auburn, and Coastal Carolina. They will try to put an end to their losing streak and pick up their first road win of the season when they play on Saturday.
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South Alabama averages 29 points per game, which is 81st in the country. They throw for 193 yards and rush for 186.5 yards per game.
Bishop Davenport has completed 69 percent of his passes for 764 yards, six touchdowns, and three interceptions. He also has 56 rushing yards and one touchdown. Kentrel Bullock leads the team with 76 carries for 364 yards and four touchdowns, while Devin Voisin leads the team with 27 carries for 360 yards and four touchdowns.
South Alabama is giving up 30.8 points per game, which is 114th in the country. They are giving up 139.7 passing yards and 206 rushing yards per game.
North Texas Going For Fifth Consecutive Win
The Mean Green are off to a great start this season, reeling off four straight wins, covering the spread in three of those games. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their fifth straight win when they play on Saturday.
North Texas averages 47 points per game. They throw for 262.3 yards and rush for 176.8 yards per game.
Drew Mestemaker has completed 71 percent of his passes for 1,013 yards and 10 touchdowns. Makenzie McGill II leads the team with 50 carries for 271 yards and four touchdowns, while Miles Coleman leads the team with 19 catches for 182 yards.
North Texas is giving up 19.5 points per game, which is 47th in the country. They are giving up 133 passing yards and 222.3 rushing yards per game.
South Alabama vs. North Texas Pick
Point Spread Pick for South Alabama vs. North Texas
- North Texas Mean Green -13
The Mean Green have won four straight games, while the Jaguars have lost three of their four games. North Texas has the edge here because they have one of the best offenses in the country, with a strong ground game and a passing game that is just as good. They are facing a team that is one of the worst in the country when it comes to stopping the run, so expect them to keep the ball on the ground to exploit their weakness.
South Alabama won't be as successful offensively because they are one-dimensional offensively, with a good ground game and a passing game that picks up less than 200 yards per game. Even though the Mean Green have struggled against the run, they don’t have to worry about the Jaguars beating them through the air, which will allow them to stack the box and keep the Jaguars from burning them on the ground. Go with North Texas to cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for South Alabama vs. North Texas
- Over 63 (4 Units)
The Jaguars played over the total in three of their last four games, while the Mean Green played over the total in their last three games. South Alabama averages 29 points per game. They run the ball 58 percent of the time with the 37th-best ground game in the country. They are facing a team that is 120th against the run and is giving up 26 points per game against FBS teams. The Mean Green average 47 points per game. They run the ball 48 percent of the time, and they’re facing a team that is 115th against the run and is giving up 34 points per game against FBS teams. Expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total.
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