South Alabama vs. Texas State, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, November 29, 2025
South Alabama (4-7, 3-4 Sun Belt) will be trying to close out their season with a win when they visit UFCU Stadium on Saturday afternoon to face Texas State (5-6, 2-5 Sun Belt) at 3 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Jaguars vs. Bobcats prediction. Don’t get penalized! Increase your bankroll with our College Football Betting Picks!
The Jaguars are coming off a 42-35 win over Southern Mississippi as 2.5-point underdogs. The Bobcats are coming off a 31-14 win over Louisiana Monroe as 20.5-point favorites.
Texas State is 6-4 in its last 10 games against South Alabama. The Bobcats won last season’s meeting, 45-38.
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South Alabama Going For Third Consecutive Win
The Jaguars bounced back from their loss to Louisiana with wins over Louisiana Monroe and Southern Mississippi. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their fourth straight win when they play on Saturday.
South Alabama averages 26.5 points per game, which is 76th in the nation. They throw for 183.4 yards and rush for 199.2 yards per game.
Bishop Davenport has completed 69 percent of his passes for 1,977 yards, 12 touchdowns, and five interceptions. He also has 296 rushing yards and nine touchdowns. Kentrel Bullock leads the team with 203 carries for 1,001 yards and 13 touchdowns, while Devin Voisin leads the team with 60 catches for 724 yards and four touchdowns.
South Alabama is giving up 28.7 points per game, which is 96th in the nation. They’re giving up 202 passing yards and 166.1 rushing yards per game.
Injuries: TE-Nate Forystek (Undisclosed) and WR-Nick Simmons (Undisclosed) have been ruled out of this game. TE-Maddox Lynch (Undisclosed), RB-PJ Martin (Undisclosed), and WR-Brendan Jenkins (Undisclosed) are questionable for this game.
Texas State Going For Second Consecutive Home Win
The Bobcats followed up their five-game losing streak with wins over Southern Mississippi and Louisiana Monroe. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their third straight win when they play on Saturday.
Texas State is giving up 34.9 points per game, which is 20th in the nation. They throw for 253.2 yards and rush for 216.6 yards per game.
Brad Jackson has completed 71 percent of his passes for 2,769 yards, 16 touchdowns, and seven interceptions. He also has 579 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns. Lincoln Pare leads the team with 180 carries for 931 yards and 11 touchdowns, while Beau Sparks leads the team with 77 catches for 1,056 yards and eight touchdowns.
Texas State is giving up 31 points per game, which is 114th in the nation. They’re giving up 248.7 passing yards and 170.9 rushing yards per game.
Injuries: RB-Torrance Burgess Jr. (Undisclosed) has been ruled out of this game.
South Alabama vs. Texas State Picks
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Earle Sports Bets | +2,298.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,840.00 |
| 3 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,757.00 |
| 4 |  David Hess | +1,745.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +987.00 |
Point Spread Pick for South Alabama vs. Texas State
- Texas State Bobcats -9 (4 Units)
The Bobcats have won three of their last four games, while the Jaguars have lost four of their last six games. Texas State has the edge here because they have one of the best offenses in the country. The Jaguars have done a good job against the pass, but they’ve been unable to stop the run this season, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Bobcats.
South Alabama will have a hard time keeping up offensively because they don’t have much of a passing game and rely on their ground game. The Bobcats don’t have to worry about the Jaguars beating them through the air, which will allow them to stack the box and limit the damage the Jaguars do on the ground. Go with Texas State to cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for South Alabama vs. Texas State
- Over 62.5 (4 Units)
The Jaguars average 26.5 points per game. They run the ball 62 percent of the time with the 21st-ranked ground game in the country, and they’re facing a team that is 90th against the run and is giving up 31 points per game. The Bobcats average 34.9 points per game. They run the ball 58 percent of the time with the 12th-ranked ground game in the country, and they’re facing a team that is 87th against the run and is giving up 28.7 points per game. Expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total. The Bobcats and Jaguars played over the total in their last four meetings.
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