South Alabama vs. Troy, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, October 4, 2025
Use Code WWWC South Alabama (1-4, 0-1 Sun Belt) will be trying to pick up their first conference win of the season when they visit Veterans Memorial Stadium on Saturday night to face Troy (2-2, 0-0 Sun Belt) at 7 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Jaguars vs. Trojans prediction. If you are struggling to pick winners, you've come to the right place. We have the strongest College Football Picks.
The Jaguars are coming off a 36-22 loss to North Texas as 13-point underdogs. The Trojans are coming off a 21-17 win over Buffalo as 5.5-point underdogs.
Troy is 7-3 in its last 10 games against South Alabama.
South Alabama Trying To Snap Four-Game Losing Streak
The Jaguars haven’t played well since their season-opening win over FCS Morgan State, and come into this game on a four-game losing streak. Their defense has been abysmal as they've allowed 31 or more points in four straight games. They will try to snap their losing streak and pick up their first conference win of the season when they play on Saturday.
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South Alabama averages 25.2 points per game, which is 89th in the country. They throw for 192.8 yards and rush for 190 yards per game.
Bishop Davenport has completed 64 percent of his passes for 959 yards, seven touchdowns, and four interceptions. He also has 115 rushing yards and two touchdowns. Kentrel Bullock leads the team with 87 carries for 410 yards and five touchdowns, while Devin Voisin leads the team with 32 catches for 457 yards and four touchdowns.
South Alabama is giving up 31.8 points per game. They are giving up 163.3 passing yards and 204.8 rushing yards per game.
Troy Going For Second Consecutive Win
The Trojans snapped their two-game losing streak with a win over Buffalo in their last game on September 20. They will try to keep the momentum going and pick up their second straight win when they play on Saturday after a bye week.
Troy averages 20.5 points per game, which is 113th in the country. They throw for 160.3 yards and rush for 138.3 yards per game.
Goose Crowder has completed 60 percent of his passes for 374 yards, four touchdowns, and three interceptions. Tae Meadows leads the team with 58 carries for 337 yards and two touchdowns, while Roman Mothershed leads the team with 13 catches for 142 yards and one touchdown.
Troy is giving up 23 points per game, which is 64th in the country. They are giving up 187.3 passing yards and 154 rushing yards per game.
South Alabama vs. Troy Picks
Point Spread Pick for South Alabama vs. Troy
- South Alabama Jaguars +2 (4 Units)
Neither team has looked impressive so far, but the Jaguars have the edge in this game because they have one of the best ground games in the country, and they’re facing a defense that has struggled against the run, giving up more than 150 yards per game, so expect them to keep the ball on the ground in this game.
Troy won’t be as successful offensively because they have one of the worst ground games in the country, averaging less than 100 yards per game, and their passing game is only a little better. With the Jaguars not having to worry about the Trojans running the ball against them, expect them to keep pressure on the Trojans’ quarterback and force him to make mistakes, which he is prone to do. Go with South Alabama to cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for South Alabama vs. Troy
- Over 47.5 (4 Units)
The Jaguars played over the total in three of their last five games, while the Trojans played over the total in three of their last six games. South Alabama averages 25.2 points per game. They run the ball 57 percent of the time with the 29th-best ground game in the country. They are facing a team that is 67th against the pass and is giving up 23 points per game. The Trojans average 20.5 points per game. They throw the ball 53 percent of the time, and they’re facing a team that is 16th in the country against the pass and is giving up 31.8 points per game. Expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total.
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