South Florida vs Army Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 12, 2026

South Florida visits Army on Saturday at Michie Stadium in West Point, with the opening kickoff at 12:00 PM ET and televised on CBSSN. Both teams are 1-0, with South Florida coming off a 19-9 win over FIU and Army beating Bryant 59-3. Army is a 3-point favorite after opening at -1.5, while the total has moved from 52.5 to 51.5. Check out our free NCAAF picks.

South Florida Coming Off a Strong Defensive Performance

South Florida beat FIU 19-9 despite gaining only 208 total yards. Michael Van Buren Jr. completed 11 of 18 passes for 100 yards without a touchdown or interception. The Bulls gained 108 rushing yards on 38 attempts, averaging 2.8 yards per carry. Jason Collins Jr. led the backfield with 59 yards on 17 attempts, while D.J. Crowther rushed for 42 yards and scored South Florida's only touchdown. Arhmad Branch led the receivers with five catches for 47 yards.

The Bulls relied heavily on defense and special teams. South Florida forced three turnovers without committing one, as Tavin Ward and Tayvion Beasley each recorded an interception. Michael Williams II and Major Dillard combined for the team's only sack. Rodney Hill led the defense with six tackles. Kicker Nico Gramatica was also important, making all four of his field-goal attempts, including a 53-yarder. South Florida held FIU to nine points despite allowing 381 total yards and 19 first downs.

Injuries: South Florida has no injuries to report.

Army Coming Off a Dominant Rushing Performance

Army overwhelmed Bryant 59-3 behind 648 total yards, including 569 rushing yards on 57 attempts. The Black Knights averaged 10 yards per carry and scored eight rushing touchdowns. Zach Mundell rushed four times for 105 yards and two touchdowns, including a 66-yard score. Quarterback Cale Hellums added 87 yards and two touchdowns on seven carries. Stratton Fuller gained 67 yards on four attempts, while Samari Howard rushed for 63 yards on four carries.

Army attempted only 13 passes because the rushing attack consistently produced big gains. Hellums completed 4 of 9 passes for 59 yards, while Howard led the receiving group with three catches for 52 yards. The Black Knights held Bryant to 165 total yards and nine first downs. Dillon Stowers recorded five tackles and one sack, while Elijah Walton and Jaquavious Moss also finished with five tackles. Army did not commit a turnover and converted six of nine third-down attempts.

Injuries: Army has no injuries to report.

Key to the Game

South Florida's front seven against Army's rushing attack is the central matchup. The Black Knights produced 569 rushing yards and had seven players gain at least 30 yards against Bryant. South Florida allowed only nine points against FIU, but the Bulls surrendered 381 total yards and recorded just one sack. Army's option-based ground attack puts added pressure on assignment discipline and tackling. South Florida needs to limit long runs and create difficult third downs. Army can dictate the game if Mundell, Hellums and the other rushing options consistently reach the second level.

South Florida vs Army Game Pick

• Army -3

Army is the pick at -3 after rushing for 569 yards and eight touchdowns in a 59-3 victory over Bryant. South Florida's defense forced three turnovers against FIU, but the Bulls allowed 381 total yards and managed only 208 yards offensively. Army also finished without a turnover and averaged 10 yards per rushing attempt. South Florida needs more production from Michael Van Buren Jr. and its ground game. At Michie Stadium, Army's rushing depth and ability to sustain drives support the Black Knights against this spread.

South Florida vs Army Over/Under Pick

• Under 51.5

Under 51.5 is the pick because South Florida's offense produced only 19 points and 208 total yards against FIU, with four field goals accounting for most of the scoring. Army scored 59 against Bryant, but the Black Knights rely heavily on the ground and attempted only 13 passes. That approach can shorten possessions when drives remain methodical. South Florida also forced three turnovers and allowed nine points. Army's defense surrendered just 165 yards, creating another difficult afternoon for the Bulls' offense.