Temple vs North Texas, Preview, Picks and Prediction for Friday, November 28, 2025

By: Kevin V. Published 11/26/2025, 06:04 PM ET
Temple Owls vs North Texas Mean Green Picks and Prediction
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The Temple Owls (5-6, 3-4 AAC) visit DATCU Stadium in Denton, Texas, on Friday to play the North Texas Mean Green (10-1, 6-1 AAC) in an American Athletic Conference showdown, and the final game of the regular season for both teams. Temple lost to Tulane 37-13 last Saturday for its third consecutive loss. Temple can become bowl eligible with a victory on Friday, but is well down in the standings of the AAC. North Texas won its fifth straight game when defeating Rice 56-24 last Saturday. North Texas is tied with two others at the top of the AAC standings. A victory over Temple will put North Texas into the AAC Championship game. The only way North Texas will not play in the conference title game is losing to Temple and Navy defeating Memphis on Thanksgiving Day. Make sure to read this in-depth Temple Owls vs North Texas Mean Green prediction. Buckle up! Dive into our top NCAAF picks for Temple Owls at North Texas Mean Green prediction and dominate your wagers.

Temple is scoring well, but giving up far too much

The Temple Owls score an average of 30.9 points (62nd) per game. Temple is 78th in rushing yards and 95th in passing yards per game. The Owls average 382.2 yards of total offense per game, which is 90th. Temple’s defense allows an average of 30.4 (96th) points per game. The Owls’ defense is 27th in passing yards allowed and 123rd in rushing yards allowed per game. Temple allows an average of 415.7 yards per game, which is 81st.

Temple quarterback Evan Simon has 2,015 yards passing with 24 touchdowns and just one interception. Jay Ducker is the leading rusher with 746 yards and six touchdowns, while averaging 5.1 yards per carry. Kajiya Hollawayne is the leading receiver with 471 yards and six touchdowns, with an average of 12.7 yards per reception. Linebacker Curly Ordonez is the leading tackler with 68. Temple has made 16 sacks and intercepted seven passes.

Injuries: Temple will play without seven players, including four wide receivers, two running backs, and one safety, while eight players are listed as questionable.

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North Texas is well above average on both sides of the line.

The North Texas Mean Green score an average of 46.3 (3rd) points per game. The Mean Green are 8th in passing yards and 62nd in rushing yards per game. North Texas averages 503.3 yards of total offense per game, which is 15th. The North Texas defense holds opponents to an average of 24.1 points (48th) per game. The Mean Green are 8th in passing yards allowed and 122nd in rushing yards allowed per game. North Texas allows an average of 377.7 yards per game, which is 47th.

North Texas quarterback Drew Mestemaker has 3,469 yards passing with 26 touchdowns and four interceptions, while completing 70.1% of his attempts. Caleb Hawkins is the leading rusher with 1,030 yards and 19 touchdowns, while the leading receiver is Wyatt Young with 1,076 yards and 10 touchdowns. Linebacker Ethan Wesloski is the leading tackler with 88. The North Texas defense has made 23 sacks and intercepted 12 passes.

Injuries: North Texas will play without three players, while seven others are questionable

Temple Owls vs. North Texas Mean Green Pick

Spread Pick for Temple vs. North Texas

  • North Texas Mean Green -19.5Β  (4 units)

The North Dallas Mean Green have a big spread to cover at nearly three touchdowns, but playing at home behind quarterback Drew Mestemaker will do just that on Friday. North Texas is third in scoring, averaging 46.3 points per game and allowing an average of only 24.1 points per game, which is 48th. North Texas is 8th in passing yards per game at 322 and will use that passing attack along with the 62nd best running game, averaging 181.3 yards per game, against a Temple defense that is 123rd against the run, allowing 212.9 yards per game, and 27th against the pass at 202.8 yards per game. Temple appears strong against the pass, but that is due to being so poor against the run that few opponents need to throw against Temple. North Texas has covered the spread in each of its last five games and in five of its last six games played at home. The Mean Green have plenty of incentive to run away and hide with a big victory, which will clinch first place in the AAC regular season and send the Mean Green to the conference title game.

Over/Under Pick for Temple vs. North Texas

  • Over 64.5 (4 units)

The North Texas Mean Green are third in the country in scoring at 46.3 points per game, and at the same time are allowing 24.1 points per game. Temple can score points, averaging 30.9 points per game, and the Owls allow nearly the same number at 30.4 points per game. The total has finished over in five of North Texas’ last 6 games, and in four of Temple's last six games.

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