Tennessee vs Texas A&M Picks and Predictions for Saturday, November 14, 2026

The 9th-ranked Tennessee Volunteers head to College Station on Saturday for an SEC matchup against Texas A&M at Kyle Field. Tennessee improved to 7-2 overall and 4-2 in conference play with a 34-6 win over Kentucky last weekend. The Volunteers sit fifth in the SEC standings. Texas A&M is 4-5, with a 1-5 conference record, after losing 17-9 to South Carolina. The Aggies are 14th in the SEC and have lost two straight. Kickoff is 3:00 pm ET on ESPN. Tennessee is favored by 2.5 points, with the total at 43.5. Cash in a winner with our free college football picks.

Tennessee Finding Ways to Win

Kentucky had a tough time getting anything going against Tennessee last Saturday. The Volunteers held the Wildcats to six points and walked away with a comfortable 34-6 victory. It was a good response after Tennessee's 27-24 loss at South Carolina. Before that setback, the Volunteers had beaten Alabama 26-10, Arkansas 24-17 and Auburn 24-14. Tennessee has won four of five games, with its defense holding opponents to 17 points or fewer in four of those contests.

DeSean Bishop has been difficult to stop this season, rushing for 1,066 yards and 13 touchdowns while averaging 5.4 yards per carry. Daune Morris has added 434 yards, giving Tennessee another option in the backfield. George MacIntyre has thrown for 853 yards, while Faizon Brandon has 721 passing yards and eight touchdowns. Mike Matthews leads the receivers with 566 yards and four scores. Tennessee also has Tyree Weathersby causing problems up front with seven sacks, while Dejuan Lane has intercepted four passes.

Injuries: B. Brady, W. Moe Jr. and J. Harmon are out.

Texas A&M Looking for an Answer

Texas A&M struggled offensively at South Carolina Saturday. The Aggies fell 17-9, a week after losing 31-20 at Alabama. Their only win in the last four games came against The Citadel, a 41-0 shutout. Missouri also held Texas A&M to six points in a 27-6 defeat on October 10. Scoring has become a problem against SEC competition, and the Aggies now face a Tennessee defense coming off a six-point outing against Kentucky.

Marcel Reed has thrown for 1,641 yards, eight touchdowns and eight interceptions, completing 57.0% of his passes. Rueben Owens II leads the rushing game with 469 yards, while KJ Edwards adds 397 at 6.1 yards per carry. Isaiah Horton leads the receivers with 392 yards and three touchdowns, followed by Mario Craver with 311 yards. On defense, Ray Coney leads the team with 45 tackles, and Marco Jones has 3.5 sacks. The Aggies have to avoid turnovers if they want to keep Tennessee within reach.

Injuries: B. Ivy, T. Bussey, M. Williams and T. Riden Jr. are out. A. Bethel-Roman and M. Craver are questionable.

Key To The Game

Tennessee has rushed for 1,944 yards, while Texas A&M's attack has struggled against SEC opponents. Bishop can control possessions if the Volunteers establish the ground game. Reed's eight interceptions are another concern against Tennessee's ball-hawking secondary. The Aggies need to sustain drives rather than hand Tennessee extra chances.

Tennessee vs Texas A&M Game Pick

• Tennessee Volunteers -2.5

Tennessee has the stronger recent results and a reliable way to move the ball with Bishop. The Volunteers have beaten Alabama and Kentucky while allowing just 16 combined points. Texas A&M scored nine at South Carolina and six at Missouri, and Reed has as many interceptions as touchdown passes. Kyle Field presents a challenge, but Tennessee's defensive pressure and running game should travel well. With the spread under a field goal, I'll back the Volunteers to cover 2.5.

Tennessee vs Texas A&M Over/Under Pick

• Under 43.5

Texas A&M has scored fewer than 10 points in two of its last four games, while Tennessee has held four of its last five opponents to 17 or fewer. Both teams can rely on their running games, which could keep the clock moving. Bishop's workload gives Tennessee a way to move methodically, and the Aggies haven't consistently finished drives. The Volunteers should have the edge, but a high-scoring game looks less likely than another defensive battle. I'm taking the under 43.5.