Texas A&M vs. Texas, Picks and Prediction for Friday, November 28th, 2025
The Texas A&M Aggies (11-0, 5-6 ATS, 8-3 O/U) take on the Texas Longhorns (8-3, 3-7-1 ATS, 5-6 O/U) in an SEC rivalry showdown on Friday evening, and we have you covered with the prediction. The Aggies posted a home win against Samford last week. Last week, the Longhorns earned a home win against Arkansas. The Longhorns posted a 17-7 road win against the Aggies last season.
Can the Aggies finish the regular season undefeated with a road win on Friday? Check out the Aggies vs. Longhorns prediction. When it comes to college football selections, our NCAAF Predictions are stellar.
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Aggies Remain Undefeated on Season
The Texas A&M Aggies are attempting to conclude the regular season with an unbeaten record. Texas A&M is 7-0 in SEC play. There have been a few close games, but for the most part, they are winning by big margins. They beat Missouri by 21 points earlier this month, along with a narrow 31-30 home win against South Carolina two weeks ago. Next, the Aggies posted a 48-0 home win against Samford last week but did not cover the mammoth 53-point spread. They remain at 3rd in the AP Top 25 rankings. The Aggies have covered the spread in two of their past five games.
Marcel Reed is having a steady season. The sophomore QB has posted 225 or more yards in five games this season. Reed has amassed 2752 passing yards and a 25:8 TD to INT ratio. He has added 395 yards on the ground. Texas A&M will run more than pass. Rueben Owens II has surpassed 100 yards on two occasions. The sophomore RB has 570 rushing yards. The receiving core has depth. KC Concepcion is one of the biggest threats in the country. The junior WR netted 42 yards last week and leads the squad with 829 yards. Mario Craver is just behind with 781 yards. The Texas A&M offense delivered 475 total yards last week. They are averaging 511 yards per game.
The Aggies' defense is a strength, but not quite as good as the offense. They have conceded 25 or more points in three of their past five games. Taurean York leads the squad with 56 tackles. They had no challenge last week, keeping Samford to 77 total yards. The unit is conceding an average of only 332 yards per game. The pass defense is ranked 28th, while the rush defense stands at 32nd.
Texas A&M is averaging 41.9 points on the year, ranking them 10th. The Aggies are keeping opponents to an average of only 23.6 points, placing them 42nd.
Key injuries for Aggies:
- S Bryce Anderson (undisclosed) is out.
- LB Scooby Williams (undisclosed) is doubtful
- RB Le'Veon Moss (389 yards) is doubtful with an undisclosed injury.
Longhorns Rebound with Dominating Home Win
The Texas Longhorns are seeking their sixth conference win of the season. Texas is in a groove, winning five of its past six games to improve to 5-2 in conference play. The Longhorns beat Vanderbilt to begin this month. They were dealt a 35-10 road loss by a ranked Georgia squad in week 12 and answered with a dominating 52-37 home win against Arkansas last week to cover the 7.5-point spread. The Longhorns climbed one spot to #16 in the AP Top 25 this week. The Longhorns have covered the spread in just one of their past five games.
Arch Manning took some time to click early in the season and has been dominant since. The sophomore QB has posted 290 or more passing yards in five games this season, including 389 yards in the win last week. Manning has delivered 273 passing yards and a 23:7 TD to INT ratio on the season. Texas will run quite a bit, but doesn't have big threats. Quintrevion Wisner netted 67 yards in the win last week. The junior RB leads the team with only 442 rushing yards.
The receiving core is a strength. Ryan Wingo has contributed with 60 or more receiving yards in four of his past five games. The sophomore WR has registered 736 yards on the season. DeAndre Moore Jr. is also a threat, recording 528 yards. The Texas offense posted 490 total yards last week, bringing its season average to 419 yards per game.
The Longhorns' defense has been hit or miss in conference play. They have conceded 30+ points in five SEC games. The group had one of its worst games of the season last week, giving up 512 yards, but it was against a potent Arkansas offense. The Longhorns are conceding an average of 369 yards per game. Michael Taaffe Jr. has made 65 tackles. The pass defense is pegged 115th, while the rush defense is stingy, coming in at ninth.
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Key Injuries for Texas:
- LB Anthony Hill (undisclosed) is questionable. Leading tackler.
Texas A&M vs. Texas Pick
Spread Pick for Texas A&M vs. Texas
- Texas Longhorns +2.5 (5 units)
The Texas A&M Aggies have been involved in close games recently. They only beat Arkansas by three points and South Carolina by one point, all within their past five games. Except for playing Notre Dame in September, Texas A&M has not played a team ranked in the top 20 in the AP Rankings. The Texas Longhorns are in a groove, winning five of their past six games. They are undefeated at home.
Furthermore, Arch Manning and the Texas offense have a potent passing offense. They are averaging 295 passing yards per game. While the Aggies have a strong defense, they can be solved in the air, ranking 28th in the country against the pass. Also, the Texas A&M offense will run more than pass. They run in 55% of their plays. This is good news for the Longhorns' defense. They are keeping opponents to an average of only 102 rushing yards per game, ranking them ninth in the country.
Over/Under Pick for Texas A&M vs. Texas
- Under 51.5 (5 units)
I expect this one to go under. The Aggies continue to contain the opposition. They have conceded 25 or fewer points in three of their past four games. The Longhorns' defense has been stingy at home, conceding an average of only 17 points in five home games on the season.
In addition, these squads have slow offenses. Texas A&M is ranked 60th in offensive plays per game, while Texas is rated 90th in the country. Texas has been contained offensively against strong defensive opponents, scoring only seven against Ohio State and 10 points against Georgia. The under is a convincing 4-1 in the past five meetings between these combatants.
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