Texas State Bobcats vs. Arizona State Sun Devils Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 13, 2025
Week 3 of the college football season rolls on with a battle of squads looking to continue strong starts as a team from the Sun Belt clashes on the gridiron with the Big 12 as the Texas State Bobcats travel to take on the Arizona State Sun Devils Saturday night and we have you covered with our Texas State vs. Arizona State prediction. Texas State outgunned UTSA 43-36 on the road in their previous game last Saturday, winning outright as a 4.5-point underdog. Arizona State fell 24-20 on the road to Mississippi State last Saturday in their previous game, losing outright as a 5.5-point favorite. In the all-time series between the teams as FBS opponents, the Sun Devils picked up a 31-28 road win in the only previous matchup on September 12, 2024. Read more about this Texas State vs. Arizona State prediction! Don’t get penalized! Increase your bankroll with our NCAAF Betting Picks!
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Texas State Shooting for 3-0 Start
Texas State won a wild shootout in a battle with an in-state rival as they outgunned UTSA on the road last week. The Bobcats improved to 2-0 on the season and look to upend a power conference program in this contest. Against UTSA, Texas State went back and forth in the contest, leading 2-0 after the opening quarter and 19-14 at the half. The Bobcats were up 29-28 after three quarters and broke a 36-36 tie with a 65-yard TD pass one play after the Roadrunners tied the game. Texas State was outgained 464-454 in total offense, gave up 25 first downs while picking up 17, lost time of possession by a 30:23 to 29:37 margin and committed the game’s lone turnover, yet managed to prevail.
The Bobcats enter this contest 52nd in the FBS in passing offense as they average 250 yards per game through the air. Texas State stands 7th in the nation in rushing offense as they average 280 yards per game this season on the ground. The Bobcats are 17th in the country in scoring offense by putting up 47.5 points per game. Texas State is 114th in the country in scoring defense, as they allow an average of 31.5 points per game. Brad Jackson is 30 of 46 passing for 500 yards with five touchdowns against one interception while adding 82 yards plus two scores on the ground. Keldric Luster (zero of one,12 rush yards) is the backup. Lincoln Pare leads the Bobcats on the ground with 33 carries for 238 yards and two touchdowns this season. Jaylen Jenkins (12 carries, 126 yards, two TD), Greg Burrell (seven carries, 79 yards, TD) and Torrance Burgess Jr. (seven carries, 30 yards) are next up on the depth chart. Beau Sparks leads the team with 12 receptions for 237 yards and five scores this season. Chris Dawn Jr. (seven grabs, 159 yards) and Pare (four catches, 33 yards) are the only other players with more than two grabs on the year. Tyler Robles has drilled 12 of 12 extra point attempts and three of three field goal attempts with a long of 50 on the year.
Sun Devils Trying to Rebound From Upset Loss
Arizona State started off miserably, managed to take the lead late but gave up the winning score in the final minute to wind up with the loss. The Sun Devils dropped to 1-1 with the loss and fell out of the rankings so they look to rebound here. Against Mississippi State, Arizona State trailed 10-0 after the opening quarter and 17-0 early in the second quarter before regrouping. The Sun Devils rallied to take a 20-17 lead with 1:38 remaining, only to give up a 58-yard game-winning score with 30 seconds remaining. Arizona State was outgained 345-333 in total offense and turned the ball over twice while not forcing a takeaway in the game. The Sun Devils did pick up 23 first downs while allowing 17 and controlled the clock by a 37:57 to 22:03 margin only to fall short.
The Sun Devils are averaging 169.5 yards per game through the air this season (105th in the nation) while they run for 226 yards per contest, which is 28th in the country. Arizona State is 65th in the FBS in scoring offense with an average of 29 points per game and they stand 74th in scoring defense by allowing 21.5 points per contest. Sam Leavitt is 35 of 61 passing for 339 yards with three touchdowns against three picks while ranking third on the team with 98 yards and two scores this season. Raleek Brown is the leading rusher for the team with 23 carries for 148 yards and a touchdown this season. Kyson Brown (nine carries, 84 yards) and Kanye Udoh (25 carries, 124 yards, TD) have seen work as well. In the passing game, Jordyn Tyson (18 receptions, 209 yards, three TD) is the team’s top target. Brown (six catches, 73 yards) and Brown (six grabs, 23 yards) are the only other players with more than two catches this season. Jesus Gomez is seven of seven on extra points and three of four on field goal attempts with a long of 51 on the year.
Texas State vs. Arizona State Spread Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Earle Sports Bets | +2,298.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,840.00 |
| 3 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,757.00 |
| 4 |  David Hess | +1,745.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +987.00 |
Spread Pick for Texas State vs. Arizona State
- Texas State +18.5 (4 units)
Arizona State sputtered in crunch time against Mississippi State on the road last week and while they return home here, it’s tough to give three scores based on what we’ve seen from them this season. Leavitt has stepped back a bit in the first two games without Cam Skattebo in the backfield. Texas State has been explosive offensively but their defense needs some work. We’ve seen the Bobcats do damage through the air and on the ground so far this season. Texas State downed UTSA on the road last week, and while the Sun Devils should prevail here, it’s closer than the spread. Take the Bobcats and the points here.
Over/Under Pick for Texas State vs. Arizona State
- Over 60.5 (4 units)
Texas State enters this one having gone over the total in both their games this season. The Bobcats combined with Eastern Michigan for 79 points in their opener, surpassing the total of 56 points set by the books. Texas State followed that up with another 79 combined points in the win over UTSA, surpassing the mark of 64.5 points set by the books. Six of the Bobcats’ last seven games have gone over the mark. Arizona State had gone over the number in five straight games before falling short of the mark in Starkville last week. Look for plenty of points in this one, pushing past the mark.
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