Texas State vs. Louisiana, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, November 8, 2025
Use Code WWWC Texas State (3-5, 0-4 Sun Belt) will be trying to snap their four-game losing streak when they visit Cajun Field on Saturday night to face Louisiana (3-6, 2-3 Sun Belt) at 5 PM. ET. It's going to a warm one on Saturday as the weather could reach 80 degrees. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Bobcats vs. Ragin’ Cajuns prediction. When it comes to NCAAF selections, our College Football Picks are stellar.
The Bobcats are coming off a 52-20 loss to JMU as seven-point underdogs. The Ragin’ Cajuns are coming off a 31-22 win over South Alabama as four-point underdogs.
Louisiana is 10-0 in its last 10 games against Texas State. The Ragin’ Cajuns won last season’s meeting, 23-17.
Texas State Trying To Snap Three-Game Road Losing Streak
The Bobcats followed up their win over Nicholls with four straight losses. They last played on October 28 and were pounded at home against JMU. While the offense produced 352 yards, the defense allows the Dukes to run for 247 yards and pass for 264.
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Texas State averages 34.1 points per game, which is 32nd in the country. They throw for 254 yards and rush for 217.1 yards per game.
Brad Jackson has completed 68 percent of his passes for 2,016 yards, 10 touchdowns, and five interceptions. Three of those interceptions came against JMU. He also has 427 rushing yards and nine touchdowns.
Lincoln Pare leads the team with 130 carries for 648 yards and nine touchdowns, while Beau Sparks leads the team with 51 catches for 741 yards and six touchdowns.
Texas State is giving up 33.9 points per game, which is 125th in the country. They’re giving up 266 passing yards and 179.9 rushing yards per game.
Injuries: RB-Torrance Burgess Jr. (Undisclosed) is questionable for this game.
Louisiana Going For Second Consecutive Win
The Ragin’ Cajuns snapped their three-game losing streak with a win over South Alabama in their last game. QB Lunch Winfield completed 14 of 15 for 232 ayrds and two TDs, while rushing for 45 yards and a TD against the Jaguars.
Louisiana averages 24.3 points per game, which is 90th in the country. They throw for 156.6 yards and rush for 185.8 yards per game.
Lunch Winfield has completed 57 percent of his passes for 903 yards, seven touchdowns, and four interceptions. He also has 453 rushing yards and five touchdowns.
Zylan Perry leads the team with 96 carries for 543 yards and seven touchdowns, while Shelton Sampson Jr. has 19 catches for 362 yards and three touchdowns.
Louisiana is giving up 29.3 points per game, which is 99th in the country. They’re giving up 202.3 passing yards and 214.3 rushing yards per game.
Injuries: WR-Evan Stroman (Undisclosed), WR-Landon Baptise (Undisclosed), and TE-Caden Johnson (Undisclosed) are questionable for this game.
Texas State vs. Louisiana Picks
Point Spread Pick for Texas State vs. Louisiana
- Texas State Bobcats -2.5 (4 Units)
Neither team is playing well at the moment, but the Bobcats have the edge here because they have a potent attack, with one of the best ground games in the country and a passing game that has been almost as good. They are facing a Louisiana team that has been unable to stop the run this season, giving up more than 210 rushing yards per game, so expect the Bobcats to keep the ball on the ground and wear their defense out.
Louisiana won’t be as successful because they’re one-dimensional offensively. They have one of the worst passing games in the country, but they’ve been able to run the ball effectively. The Bobcats don’t have to worry about the Ragin’ Cajuns beating them through the air, which will allow them to stack the box and slow down the run. Go with Texas State to cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for Texas State vs. Louisiana
- Over 64 (4 Units)
The Bobcats played over the total in their last three games, while the Ragin’ Cajuns played over the total in their last two games. Texas State averages 34.1 points per game. They run the ball 59 percent of the time with the 14th-ranked ground game in the country. They are facing a team that is 129th against the run and is giving up 29.3 points per game. The Ragin’ Cajuns average 24.3 points per game. They run the ball 58 percent of the time with the 46th-ranked ground game in the country. They are facing a team that is 105th against the run and is giving up 33.9 points per game. Expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total.
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