Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas State Wildcats, Odds, Preview, Picks and Prediction for Saturday, November 1, 2025
Use Code WWWC Week 8 of the college football season rolls on with a battle of Big 12 squads looking to continue strong starts as the #13 Texas Tech Red Raiders travel to take on the Kansas State Wildcats Saturday afternoon, and we have you covered with our Texas Tech vs. Arizona State prediction. Texas Tech downed Oklahoma State 42-0 at home last Saturday, covering the line as a 37.5-point favorite in their previous contest. Kansas State trounced archrival Kansas 42-17 in the Sunflower Showdown on the road last Saturday in their previous game, winning outright as a 3.5-point underdog. In the all-time series between the teams, the Wildcats own a 15-9 advantage and have won the last eight meetings, including a 38-21 road win in the most recent matchup on October 14, 2023. Read more about this Texas Tech vs. Kansas State prediction! Don’t get penalized! Increase your bankroll with our NCAAF Betting Picks!
Red Raiders Seeking to Hang in Big 12 Race
Texas Tech rebounded from a loss to Arizona State as they clobbered Oklahoma State at home in their previous contest last week. The Red Raiders improved to 7-1 overall and stand 4-1 in Big 12 play, leaving them tied with Houston for third in the conference. Against Oklahoma State, Texas Tech ran the opening kickoff back for a score and never looked back. The Red Raiders were up 21-0 after the opening quarter and cruised the rest of the way to the victory. Texas Tech rolled up 372-180 in total offense, owned a 21-9 advantage in first downs and controlled the clock by a 31:16 to 28:44 margin. Both teams turned the ball over twice, though Texas Tech did score on a scoop-six.
The Red Raiders enter this contest 13th in the nation in passing offense with an average of 300.1 yards per game while they are 27th in rushing offense by grinding out 199.3 yards per game on the ground. Texas Tech is 4th in the FBS in scoring offense by averaging 43.6 points per contest, while they are 4th in scoring defense by allowing 12.4 points per game. Behren Morton has completed 104 of 152 passes for 1,501 yards with 13 touchdowns against three interceptions on the year. Will Hammond (69 of 109, 680 yards, seven TD, three INT, 299 rush yards, five TD), Mitch Griffis (13 of 18, 212 yards, two TD, 14 rushing yards, TD) and Holden Phillips (one of one, eight yards, three rush yards) are next up on the depth chart.
Cameron Dickey leads the team on the ground with 113 carries for 678 yards and nine scores this season. Adam Hill (29 carries, 212 yards) and J’Koby Williams (75 carries, 390 yards, four TD) are secondary backs in the system. Terrance Carter Jr. is fourth on the team in the passing game with 23 receptions for 297 yards and five touchdowns. Caleb Douglas (33 grabs, 512 yards, two TD) and Coy Eakin (34 catches, 455 yards, four TD), Williams (19 catches, 295 yards, TD) and Reggie Virgil (32 receptions, 363 yards, five TD) are also over 250 receiving yards this season. Stone Harrington is 21 of 21 on extra point attempts and eight of 11 on field goal attempts with a long of 58 this year. Upton Bellenfant is 14 of 16 on extra points and six of six on field goals with a long of 33. Ian Hershey is two of two on extra points and has not attempted a field goal this season.
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Morton (undisclosed) was injured in the Kansas game and is questionable here. Hammond (knee) is done for the season after getting injured against Oklahoma State on October 25. If he can’t go, Griffis would get the call under center. Depth receivers Tristian Gentry and Roy Alexander are both questionable as well.
Kansas State Looks to Stay Hot
Kansas State won their second straight as they cruised past Kansas in the Sunflower Showdown on the road last week. The Wildcats improved to 4-4 overall on the year and are 3-2 in the Big 12, leaving them tied for fifth in the conference, two games behind BYU and Cincinnati. Against Kansas, Kansas State gave up a touchdown on the game’s opening drive but scored 21 unanswered points and didn’t let the Jayhawks closer than seven the rest of the way. The Wildcats owned a 371-247 advantage in total offense and forced four turnovers, including a scoop-six, while committing only one. Kansas State was edged 18-17 in first downs and lost time of possession by a 32:40 to 27:20 margin in the contest.
The Wildcats enter this game tied for 76th in the nation in passing offense, as they average 224 yards per game, while they are 82nd in rushing offense with 143.1 yards per contest. Kansas State is 53rd in the FBS in scoring offense with an average of 31 points per contest, while they are 83rd in scoring defense by surrendering 25.8 points per game. Avery Johnson has completed 151 of 240 passes for 1,792 yards with 15 touchdowns and two interceptions on the year. He contributes 255 yards and five scores on the ground as well. In the ground game, Joe Jackson leads the way for the Wildcats as he has 95 carries for 382 yards plus a score on the year. DeVon Rice (23 carries, 91 yards, three TD) and Dylan Edwards (34 carries, 205 yards, two TD) are effective in their time running the ball as well, giving the team several options.
Jayce Brown leads the team with 36 receptions for 577 yards and four scores on the season. Jaron Tibbs (32 catches, 403 yards, three TD), tight end Garrett Oakley (25 grabs, 271 yards, four TD) and Jerand Bradley (12 receptions, 178 yards, two TD) are other good targets in the passing game. Luis Rodriguez has connected on all 30 extra point attempts and 10 of 11 field goal tries, with a long of 51.
Edwards (ankle) is expected to miss this contest.
Texas Tech vs. Kansas State Pick
Spread Pick for Texas Tech vs. Kansas State
- Texas Tech -7 (4 units)
Texas Tech has piled up points this season, and even when Morton has been knocked out of games, the offense hasn’t missed much of a beat with Hammond running the offense. The Red Raiders are excellent at moving the ball through the air and on the ground, which will seriously test Kansas State’s defense. Morton hopes to return here, even with Griffis playing well against Oklahoma State in relief. Kansas State has been better of late, and they are at home for this contest. Still, missing Edwards takes a dynamic playmaker out of the mix for the Wildcats. If Morton stays on the field, the Red Raiders come away with a victory here.
Over/Under Pick for Texas Tech vs. Kansas State
- Under 52.5 (4 units)
Texas Tech has stayed under the number in five of their eight games in relation to the total, even though they are fourth in the nation in scoring offense. The Red Raiders have allowed 17 points or fewer in seven of their eight games this season. Kansas State has seen the over post a 5-3 mark in their eight games on the year and has recorded four straight overs coming into this game. The Wildcats have scored at least 34 points five times this season, but points will be harder to come by against the Red Raiders, who allow only 196.5 yards per game through the air and 68.1 yards per game (2.2 yards per carry) on the ground while forcing 15 turnovers. That short-circuits at least a drive or two, keeping this game under the total.
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