Toledo vs. Miami (OH), Picks and Prediction, Wednesday, November 12, 2025

By: Bosun Akinpelu Published 11/10/2025, 11:45 PM ET
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Toledo (5-4, 3-2 MAC) will be going for their second consecutive win when they visit Yager Stadium on Wednesday night to face Miami (OH) (5-4, 4-1 MAC) at 7 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Rockets vs. Redhawks prediction. If you are struggling to pick winners, you've come to the right place. We have the strongest NCAAF Predictions

The Rockets are coming off a 42-3 win over Northern Illinois as 14.5-point favorites. The Redhawks are coming off a 24-20 loss to Ohio as 2.5-point underdogs.

Miami (OH) and Toledo split their last 10 meetings. The Rockets won last season’s meeting, 30-20.

Toledo Trying To Snap Four-Game Road Losing Streak

The Rockets bounced back from their loss to Washington State with a win over Northern Illinois in their last game, giving them their fifth straight home win. They have lost all four of their road games and will try to put an end to the streak and become bowl-eligible with a win on Wednesday.

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Toledo averages 32.9 points per game, which is 34th in the country. They throw for 259.4 yards and rush for 177.8 yards per game.

Tucker Gleason has completed 67 percent of his passes for 2,030 yards, 15 touchdowns, and five interceptions. Chip Trayanum leads the team with 114 carries for 637 yards and eight touchdowns, while Junior Vandeross III leads the team with 58 catches for 705 yards and nine touchdowns.

Toledo is giving up 14.6 points per game, which is ninth in the nation. They’re giving up 157.9 passing yards and 99.6 rushing yards per game.

Injuries: QB- John Alan Richter (Undisclosed), RB-Mike Drennen II (Undisclosed), and RB-Noah Sanders (Undisclosed) are questionable for this game.

Miami (OH) Trying To Bounce Back From Loss

The Redhawks had their five-game winning streak snapped by Ohio in their last game, giving them their first conference loss of the season. They are now in a four-way tie at the top of the standings and will try to retake sole possession of first place with a win on Wednesday.

Miami (OH) averages 25.6 points per game, which is 82nd in the country. They throw for 199.2 yards and rush for 160.2 yards per game.

Dequan Finn has completed 59 percent of his passes for 1,451 yards, nine touchdowns, and six interceptions. He also has 395 rushing yards and four touchdowns. Jordan Brunson leads the team with 102 carries for 444 yards and two touchdowns, while Kam Perry leads the team with 25 catches for 657 yards and four touchdowns.

Miami (OH) is giving up 21.7 points per game, which is 41st in the nation. They’re giving up 217.4 passing yards and 133 rushing yards per game.

Injuries: TE-Eric Karner (Undisclosed), RB-Kenny Tracy (Undisclosed), WR-Antwon Thomas (Undisclosed), and WR-Deion Colzie (Undisclosed) are questionable for this game.

Toledo vs. Miami (OH) Picks

Point Spread Pick for Toledo vs. Miami (OH)

  • Toledo Rockets -3.5 (4 Units)

The Rockets have the edge here because they have one of the best offenses in the country, and they’re playing very well at the moment. Their passing game has been great in recent games, and they will be able to throw against a Miami (OH) defense that struggled against the pass in their last three games. They will also be able to move the ball on the ground against a defense that gives up more than 130 rushing yards per game, so expect the Redhawks to have a hard time slowing them down.

The Redhawks won’t be as successful offensively because they’re one-dimensional offensively, with one of the worst passing games in the nation and a decent run game. The Rockets, who have the sixth-best pass defense in the nation, don’t have to worry about the Redhawks beating them through the air, which will allow them to stack the box and prevent them from beating them on the ground. Go with Toledo to cover the spread.

Over/Under Pick for Toledo vs. Miami (OH)

  • Under 44.5 (4 Units)

The Rockets average 32.9 points per game. They run the ball 52 percent of the time with the 45th-ranked ground game in the country. They are facing a team that is 42nd against the run and is giving up 21.7 points per game. The Redhawks average 25.6 points per game. They run the ball 57 percent of the time with the 67th-ranked ground game in the country, and they’re facing a team that is 10th against the run and is giving up 14.6 points per game. Don’t expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total. The Redhawks and Rockets played under the total in two of their last three meetings.

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