Troy Trojans vs. Buffalo Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 20, 2025
Use Code WWWC The Troy Trojans (1-2) pay a visit to Buffalo and UB Stadium on Saturday to play the Buffalo Bulls (2-1). Troy opened the season with a 38-20 victory over Nicholls, but has since lost to #8-ranked Clemson (27-16) and Memphis (28-7). Buffalo opened the regular season with a 23-10 loss to Minnesota, but has since defeated FCS St. Francis (PA) (45-6) and Kent State (31-28). Troy QB Goose Crowder is questionable. Buffalo will play without TE Ryan Daly, while 10 others are listed as questionable. Make sure to read this in-depth Troy Trojans vs Buffalo Bulls prediction. Buckle up! Dive into our top NCAAF picks for the Troy Trojans at Buffalo Bulls prediction and dominate your wagers.
Troy needs to improve on both sides of the line of scrimmage
The Troy Trojans score an average of 20.3 points per game and allow an average of 25.0 points per game, which are 107th and 88th, respectively. Troy averages 130.0 yards rushing and 146.3 yards passing for 276.3 yards of total offense per game, which is 129th. Troy's defense allows an average of 134.0 yards rushing and 197.7 yards passing for 331.7 yards per game, which is 65th.
Troy quarterback Goose Crowder has thrown for 374 yards with four touchdowns and three interceptions. Crowder has been sacked four times and is listed as questionable for this game. Tae Meadows leads all rushers for Troy with 269 yards on an average of 6.1 yards per carry with one touchdown. Tray Taylor has 97 yards receiving to lead the Trojans and has caught a pair of touchdown passes. Troy’s leading tackler is linebacker Jordan Stringer with 26. The Trojans have sacked the quarterback 8 times and have intercepted two passes.
Buffalo is average on offense, while above average on defense
The Buffalo Bulls score an average of 28.7 points per game and allow an average of 19.0 points per game, which are 74th and 57th, respectively. Buffalo’s offense averages 187.7 yards rushing and 186.0 yards passing for 373.7 yards of total offense per game, which is 82nd. The Buffalo defense allows an average of 102.7 yards rushing and 228.0 yards passing for a total of 330.7 yards per game, which is 64th.
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Buffalo quarterback Ta’Quan Roberson has 558 yards passing with five touchdowns and two interceptions. Roberson has been sacked twice. Al-Jay Henderson has 198 yards rushing, averaging 4.0 yards per carry with three touchdowns to lead Buffalo. Victor Snow has 168 yards receiving, averaging 15.3 yards per reception with three touchdowns. The leading tackler for Buffalo is linebacker Red Murdock with 32. Buffalo’s defense has sacked the quarterback 9 times and has made one interception.
Troy Trojans vs. Buffalo Pick
Spread Pick for Troy vs. Buffalo
- Buffalo Bulls -6 (4 units)
Buffalo is 74th in scoring, averaging 28.7 points per game, and 57th in points allowed at 19.0 points per game. In contrast, Troy averages 20.3 points per game, which is 107th, and allows 25.0 points per game, which is 88th. Troy is allowing an average of 134.0 yards rushing per game, which plays to the strength of Buffalo, as the Bulls average 187.7 (51st) yards per game on the ground. Troy’s strength on offense is its ground game, averaging 130 yards per game, which is 103rd, but it faces a Buffalo defense that is allowing an average of only 102.7 yards per game, which is 37th in the country. Buffalo has covered the number in two of its first three games this season, while Troy is 1-2 ATS in its first three games.
Over/Under Pick for Troy Trojans vs. Buffalo
- Under 42.5 (4 units)
The total has finished under in each of Troy's last two games, and in its third game, finished over by just a half point. The total has finished over in two of Buffalo's first three games, but the Bulls will face a more difficult defensive opponent in Troy than in their most recent two games, which both finished over. The Trojans allow 25 points per game and are scoring just 20.3 points per game. Buffalo’s defense is allowing just 19 points per game, which is 57th. Both offenses use a rush-first approach, which will eat more time off the clock, creating fewer possessions.
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