Troy vs. Louisiana Monroe, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, October 18, 2025
Use Code WWWC Troy (4-2, 2-0 Sun Belt) will be going for their third consecutive road win when they visit Malone Stadium on Saturday afternoon to face Louisiana Monroe (3-3, 1-1 Sun Belt) at 3 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Trojans vs. Warhawks prediction. Do you need a boost in your handicapping? Try our NCAAF FREE Picks.
The Trojans are coming off a 48-41 win over Texas State as 7.5-point underdogs. The Warhawks are coming off a 23-8 loss to Coastal Carolina as 2.5-point favorites.
Louisiana Monroe is 6-4 in its last 10 games against Troy. The Warhawks won last season’s meeting, 13-9.
Troy Going For Fourth Consecutive Win
The Trojans followed up their two-game losing streak with wins over Buffalo, South Alabama, and Texas State, covering the spread in all three games.
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Troy averages 28.8 points per game, which is 72nd in the country. They throw for 209.8 yards and rush for 135.5 yards per game.
Tucker Kilcrease has completed 59 percent of his passes for 831 yards, eight touchdowns, and two interceptions. He also has 130 rushing yards and two touchdowns. Tae Meadows leads the team with 85 carries for 432 yards and three touchdowns, while DJ Epps leads the team with 20 catches for 255 yards and three touchdowns.
Troy is giving up 26.2 points per game, which is 81st in the country. They are giving up 182.8 passing yards and 210.6 rushing yards per game.
Louisiana Monroe Trying To Snap Two-Game Losing Streak
The Warhawks followed up their two-game winning streak with losses to Northwestern and Coastal Carolina, failing to cover the spread in both games. They will try to put an end to the streak and pick up their third win in their last five games when they play on Saturday.
Louisiana Monroe averages 17.2 points per game, which is 130th in the nation. They throw for 145.7 yards and rush for 179.8 yards per game.
Aidan Armenta has completed 56 percent of his passes for 749 yards, seven touchdowns, and four interceptions. Braylon McReynolds leads the team with 70 carries for 436 yards and two touchdowns, while Jonathan Bibbs leads the team with 12 catches for 156 yards and two touchdowns.
Louisiana Monroe is giving up 29.8 points per game, which is 114th in the country. They are giving up 285.2 passing yards and 156 rushing yards per game.
Troy vs. Louisiana Monroe Picks
Point Spread Pick for Troy vs. Louisiana Monroe
- Troy Trojans -6 (4 Units)
The Trojans have won three straight games, while the Warhawks have lost two of their last three games. Troy has the advantage here because they’ve been able to throw the ball effectively, and they’re going up against one of the worst pass defenses in the country, so expect them to air the ball out in this game.
The Warhawks will have a hard time keeping up with the Trojans because they’re one of the worst offensive teams in the country. Their passing game isn’t very good, but they’ve been able to run the ball. Even though the Trojans aren’t very good at defending the run, they don’t have to worry about the Warhawks beating them through the air, which will allow them to stack the box and stifle their ground game. Go with Troy to cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for Troy vs. Louisiana Monroe
- Over 45.5 (4 Units)
The Trojans played over the total in their last two games, while the Warhawks played over the total in three of their last five games. Troy averages 28.8 points per game. They throw the ball 50 percent of the time with the 73rd-best passing attack in the country, and they’re facing a team that is 127th against the pass and is giving up 29.8 points per game. The Warhawks average 17.2 points per game. They run the ball 60 percent of the time with the 60th-best ground game in the country, and they’re facing a team that is 125th against the run, and is giving up 26.2 points per game. Expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total. The Trojans and Warhawks played over the total in four of their last six meetings.
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