Troy vs. Southern Miss, Picks and Prediction, Saturday, November 29, 2025
Use Code WWWC Troy (7-4, 5-2 Sun Belt) will be trying to clinch the Sun Belt West title when they visit M.M. Roberts Stadium on Saturday afternoon to face Southern Mississippi (7-4, 5-2 Sun Belt) at 3:30 PM. ET. Read on to find out which team picks up the win in this Trojans vs. Golden Eagles prediction. Don’t get penalized! Increase your bankroll with our NCAAF Betting Picks!
The Trojans are coming off a 31-19 win over Georgia State as 9.5-point favorites. The Golden Eagles are coming off a 42-35 loss to South Alabama as 2.5-point favorites.
Troy is 5-2 in seven games against Southern Mississippi. The Trojans won last season’s meeting, 52-20.
Troy Going For Second Consecutive Win
The Trojans snapped their two-game losing streak with a win over Georgia State in their last game. They are tied with Southern Mississippi at the top of the Sun Belt West Division, and will try to clinch the division title with a win on Saturday.
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Troy averages 24.9 points per game, which is 87th in the nation. They throw for 209.2 yards and rush for 107.1 yards per game.
Tucker Kilcrease has completed 60 percent of his passes for 1,414 yards, nine touchdowns, and four interceptions. He also has 131 rushing yards and five touchdowns. Tae Meadows leads the team with 131 carries for 591 yards and four touchdowns, while Tray Taylor leads the team with 26 catches for 459 yards and three touchdowns.
Troy is giving up 24.5 points per game, which is 67th in the nation. They’re giving up 209.2 passing yards and 188.8 rushing yards per game.
Injuries: WR-Mojo Dortch (Undisclosed) has been ruled out of this game. WR-Jackson Thomas (Undisclosed) and QB-Tucker Kilcrease (Upper Body) are questionable for this game.
Southern Miss Trying To Snap Two-Game Losing Streak
The Golden Eagles followed up their five-game winning streak with losses to Texas State and South Alabama. They will try to snap their losing streak and secure a spot in the conference championship game when they play on Saturday.
Southern Miss averages 30.9 points per game, which is 45th in the nation. They throw for 272 yards and rush for 140.8 yards per game.
Braylon Braxton has completed 66 percent of his passes for 2,587 yards, 22 touchdowns, and six interceptions. Jeffrey Pittman leads the team with 136 carries for 589 yards and eight touchdowns, while Elijah Metcalf leads the team with 46 catches for 615 yards and two touchdowns.
Southern Mississippi is giving up 27.4 points per game, which is 86th in the nation. They’re giving up 228.7 passing yards and 179.4 rushing yards per game.
Injuries: TE-Kadinn Morris (Undisclosed) is questionable for this game.
Troy vs. Southern Miss Picks
Point Spread Pick for Troy vs. Southern Miss
- Southern Miss Golden Eagles -6.5 (4 Units)
Southern Mississippi has the edge here because they have a balanced offense that can beat opponents on the ground or through the air. The Trojans have a decent pass defense, but their run defense is one of the worst in the country, with the team giving up more than 185 yards per game on the ground, so expect them to have a hard time slowing down the Golden Eagles.
Troy will have a hard time keeping up offensively because they has one of the worst ground games in the country and rely heavily on their passing game. The Golden Eagles don’t have to worry about the Trojans beating them on the ground, which will allow them to keep pressure on the opposing quarterback and force him to make costly mistakes. Go with Southern Mississippi to cover the spread.
Over/Under Pick for Troy vs. Southern Miss
- Under 50.5 (4 Units)
The Trojans average 24.9 points per game. They throw the ball 50 percent of the time with the 81st-ranked passing game in the country, and they’re facing a team that is 72nd against the pass and is giving up 27.4 points per game. The Golden Eagles average 30.9 points per game. They run the ball 51 percent of the time with the 78th-ranked ground game in the country, and they’re facing a team that is giving up 24.5 points per game. Don’t expect these teams to score enough points to push the score over the total.
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