Tulsa vs New Mexico State Picks and Prediction for Saturday, September 6, 2025
On Saturday, the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (1-0) pay a visit to Las Cruces, New Mexico, and Aggie Memorial Stadium to play the New Mexico State Aggies (1-0). Tulsa opened its regular season with a 35-7 victory over the Abilene Christian Wildcats. New Mexico State opened its regular season with a 19-3 victory over the Bryant Bulldogs. Tulsa has two players listed as questionable, while New Mexico State will play without LB Tyler Martinez. Make sure to read this in-depth Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs New Mexico State Aggies prediction. Your ultimate guide to NCAAF excitement—don’t miss our free picks for Tulsa Golden Hurricane vs. New Mexico State Aggies prediction!
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Tulsa performed well on both offense and defense in its season opener
The Tulsa Golden Hurricane scored 35 points in its season opener, with 263 yards rushing and 236 yards passing for 499 yards of total offense. Tulsa scored two touchdowns on the ground and two touchdowns through the air. Tulsa’s defense gave up just seven points on 120 yards rushing and 140 yards passing for 260 total yards. The only touchdown Tulsa allowed was in the fourth quarter when the game was all but locked up.
Tulsa quarterback Kirk Francis has 218 yards passing with two touchdowns. Francis was sacked once in the season opener. Dominic Richardson leads Tulsa in rushing with 142 yards and one touchdown, while Ajay Allen has 67 yards on the ground and one touchdown. Micah Tease leads in receiving, with 69 yards. On defense, linebacker Ray Coney has a team-best 14 tackles. Tulsa's defense has five quarterback sacks and one interception.
New Mexico State needs improvement on offense, but its defense is solid
The New Mexico State Aggies scored 19 points in their season opener with 78 yards rushing and 227 yards passing for 305 yards of total offense. New Mexico State scored one touchdown on the ground and one through the air. The Aggies’ defense allowed just three points, while holding Bryant to 68 yards rushing and 187 yards passing for 255 yards of total offense.
New Mexico State quarterback Logan Fife has 227 yards passing with one touchdown and one interception. Fife was sacked twice in the first game. Kadarius Calloway leads the Aggies in rushing with 50 yards and one touchdown, while Dijon Stanley has 33 yards on the ground. The leading receiver is Donovan Faupel with 99 yards. PJ Johnson III has one touchdown reception. On defense, end Jamall Thompson Jr is the leading tackler with nine and has a team-high 2.0 quarterback sacks. As a team, New Mexico State has three quarterback sacks and one interception
Tulsa vs. New Mexico State Pick
| # | Handicapper | Profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Earle Sports Bets | +2,298.00 |
| 2 |  Ross Benjamin | +1,840.00 |
| 3 |  Rob Vincilleti | +1,757.00 |
| 4 |  David Hess | +1,745.00 |
| 5 |  Dan Kaiser | +987.00 |
Spread Pick for Tulsa vs. New Mexico State
- Tulsa Golden Hurricane to cover (5 units)
Tulsa will be on the road and have a tougher time with its second game of the season against New Mexico State, but it will come out on top thanks to a very strong offense that produced 263 yards on the ground and 236 yards through the air. Although New Mexico State gave up just three points in its season opener, the Aggies allowed 187 yards passing to a much less talented Bryant team and face a tough passing game from Tulsa led by QB Kirk Francis, who threw for 218 yards in a 28-point rout of Abilene Christian. New Mexico State’s offense produced just 19 points against a much less talented opponent than the Aggies will face on Saturday when hosting Tulsa. Tulsa’s defense produced five sacks in its season opener and faces a New Mexico State offensive line that gave up two sacks in its opening game, which was against a weaker opponent.
Over/Under Pick for Tulsa vs. New Mexico State
- Under (4 units)
Tulsa scored 35 points in its season opener but its defense held Abilene Christian to just one touchdown, and the 42 points combined easily finished under a 59-point closing time. New Mexico State scored only 19 points and allowed just three in its season opener, with the combined 22 points easily finishing under a closing line of 53.5 points.
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