UL Monroe Warhawks vs. UTEP Miners Prediction and Picks - September 20, 2025
Use Code WWWC Saturday evening college football action, and we have a UL Monroe vs. UTEP Prediction ready to rock and roll for you. UL Monroe (1-1) enters this contest off a bye week, and before it, they were blasted 73-0 by Alabama. The Miners are off a 27-10 loss at Texas to fall to 1-2 on the year. These teams last met in 2020, and UTEP won that game on the road by a score of 31-6. Read on to see our UL Monroe vs. UTEP prediction.
If you are struggling to pick winners, you've come to the right place. We have the strongest College Football Picks
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________
ULM Was The Sacrificial Lamb To Alabama
UL Monroe is coming off a brutal 73–0 loss to Alabama, where they managed just 148 total yards and turned the ball over twice on Sept. 6. Quarterback Aidan Armenta struggled, throwing for just 28 yards on 8-of-14 passing with an interception. The Warhawks’ offense has been inconsistent, averaging just 14.5 points per game and ranking 131st nationally in scoring. Running back Braylon McReynolds has been a bright spot, averaging 7.6 yards per carry in Week 1 and leading the team with 137 rushing yards on the season.
Get Free $30 Credit for Premium Picks + Exclusive Discounts
Subscribe Now
Despite the blowout loss, UL Monroe’s defense has shown flashes, ranking 70th in passing yards allowed (210.5 per game) and generating pressure in early downs. However, they’ve surrendered 36.5 points per game and rank 125th in scoring defense. The Warhawks have allowed 4.7 yards per carry and seven passing touchdowns through two games, struggling to contain explosive plays. Their secondary will be tested by UTEP’s vertical threats, and their ability to limit chunk gains will be key.
UL Monroe is 0–2 ATS this season and has failed to cover as an underdog of 5.5 or more. They’ve committed nine penalties for 86 yards and have struggled to sustain drives, converting just 33 first downs across two games. The Warhawks do rank 38th nationally in rushing offense (202 yards per game), which could help shorten the game and keep things close. But unless Armenta finds rhythm and the defense stiffens, UL Monroe will be chasing points again in El Paso.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________
UTEP Showed Gumption Vs Texas
UTEP returns home after a 27–10 loss to Texas, where quarterback Malachi Nelson threw for 209 yards but was picked off twice. Despite the defeat, Nelson has shown flashes, completing 62.5% of his passes this season for 665 yards and five touchdowns. The Miners’ run game remains a work in progress, averaging just 115.7 yards per game, but Hahsaun Wilson has been efficient in limited touches, averaging 6.5 yards per carry. Wideout Kenny Odom leads the receiving corps with 236 yards and two scores, giving Nelson a reliable deep threat.
Defensively, UTEP has been solid against the pass, allowing just 214 yards per game and holding Texas to a 44% completion rate. Linebacker Micah Davey leads the team with 31 tackles and a sack, while Udoka Ezeani has racked up 6.0 TFLs and two sacks. The Miners have allowed 24 points per game, ranking 81st nationally, and have shown the ability to tighten up in the red zone. Their biggest challenge has been stopping the run, giving up 143 yards per game, which could be tested by UL Monroe’s ground-heavy approach.
UTEP is 1–1 ATS this season and opens as a 5.5-point favorite. They’ve struggled historically in this role, but UL Monroe’s recent form gives them a chance to cover. The Miners have averaged 338.3 total yards per game and have committed just four turnovers through three contests. If Nelson can avoid early mistakes and the defense keeps UL Monroe one-dimensional, UTEP has the tools to control the tempo and grind out a win at home.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________
UL Monroe vs. UTEP Pick
UL Monroe vs. UTEP Spread Pick
- UTEP -6 (4 Units)
UTEP -6 is a well-supported play with both matchup fundamentals and historical trends pointing in their favor. The Miners are 6–1 ATS in games preceding a matchup with Louisiana Tech, a spot where they’ve consistently shown discipline and focus. Coming off a competitive showing against Texas, UTEP returns home with a quarterback in Malachi Nelson who’s steadily improving—throwing for 665 yards and five touchdowns through three games while completing over 62% of his passes. The offense isn’t explosive, but it’s efficient, and Nelson has a reliable deep threat in Kenny Odom plus a quietly productive backfield led by Hahsaun Wilson. Against a UL Monroe defense that’s allowed 36.5 points per game and ranks 125th nationally, UTEP has the tools to control tempo and build a lead.
UL Monroe, meanwhile, is in a tough situational spot. They’re just 1–7 ATS in their last eight games following rest, and they’re coming off a 73–0 dismantling at the hands of Alabama that exposed major flaws on both sides of the ball. Quarterback Aidan Armenta has struggled to find rhythm, and while Braylon McReynolds offers some spark in the run game, the Warhawks have failed to sustain drives and rank near the bottom nationally in scoring. Their defense has allowed seven passing touchdowns in two games and has struggled to contain vertical threats—bad news against a UTEP team that’s shown a willingness to stretch the field. With the Miners playing at home, trending upward, and facing a team that’s failed to cover in either outing this season, laying the six points is a sharp, trend-aligned move with matchup support.
_____________________________________________________________________________________________________
UL Monroe vs. UTEP Over/Under Pick
- Under 47 (5 Units)
Under 47 makes sense in a matchup where offensive limitations and clock-heavy playcalling are likely to dominate. UTEP averages just 22.7 points per game and has leaned on a methodical, run-first approach that limits possessions and keeps the clock moving. UL Monroe, meanwhile, ranks near the bottom nationally in scoring and is coming off a shutout loss where they managed only 148 total yards. Neither team plays with tempo, and both have struggled to convert red zone chances into touchdowns. With limited explosive threats and defenses that bend but don’t break, this game profiles as a slow, low-scoring contest that stays well below the posted total.
Betting on College Football?
- Bet with other College Football fans at the best sportsbooks
- Sign up today and get started with the latest college football sportsbook promos
Up To $1500 in Bonus Bets Paid Back if your First Bet Does Not Win
New Users – Bet $5 Get $200 in Bet Reset Tokens for 5 Days
